Reports from the third and final day of the ANC’s NEC meeting indicate the president Jacob Zuma has survived an attempt to have him recalled.
According to reports from Media24 (News24 and Netwerk24), the motion to have the president recalled did not proceed to a vote, after Zuma’s supporters rushed to the meeting to defend him.
The motion was reportedly proposed by tourism minister Derek Hanekom, and backed by several other big names, including health minister Aaron Motsoaledi, public works Minister Thulas Nxesi and ANC chief whip Jackson Mthembu.
Sources from NEC told News24 that Zuma’s supporters were caught by surprise by the motion on Saturday, but were “on fire”, and dominated the speaking on Monday.
Zuma told the NEC that all the charges and claims against him – including Nkandla, state capture and corruption – were “made up” by an unnamed enemy, all in a bid to get him to step down. He said that “the enemy” wanted to see him in jail, and would never stop.
The president refused to step down.
Several analysts on Monday said that it was unlikely that the NEC would vote for the president to go, as party stability and many jobs linked to Zuma hung in the balance.
Research analyst at Nomura, Peter Attard Montalto said that “Zuma will only leave when the patronage faction around him decide it is time”.
There has been speculation that those who stand opposed to Zuma may work with opposition parties to pass a motion of no confidence against the president in Parliament – however, this route would be an absolute last resort, Attard Montalto said.
“Ultimately the ANC may well be tired of Zuma, but its not clear its ready to conclude anything on succession yet. Hence, the baseline remains status quo.”
“We do however have to be alert that the anti-Zuma faction (could) work with opposition in Parliament on a no-confidence vote if Zuma walks away from the NEC with a pure ‘win’.
“That route would seem less likely under a negotiated solution. Even then, we have to remember that Zuma won the last no-confidence vote with the help of security structures.”
Attard Montalto warned that the “scorched earth” option still remained for Zuma (a cabinet reshuffle, taking out all that oppose him), that would have an extremely negative impact on the economy.
The ANC will address the public and the media on the outcomes of the meeting at a press briefing to be held at 14h00.