{"id":120865,"date":"2016-04-19T10:56:50","date_gmt":"2016-04-19T08:56:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=120865"},"modified":"2016-04-19T11:32:32","modified_gmt":"2016-04-19T09:32:32","slug":"400000-poor-whites-in-south-africa-a-myth-africa-check","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/trending\/120865\/400000-poor-whites-in-south-africa-a-myth-africa-check\/","title":{"rendered":"400,000 &#8220;poor whites&#8221; in South Africa a myth: Africa Check"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With a picture spread, the UK Mail Online <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-3462336\/The-white-squatter-camps-South-Africa-home-hundreds-families-enduring-terrible-poverty-blame-fall-Apartheid.html\">documented<\/a> the \u201csqualid conditions\u201d of South Africa\u2019s \u201cwhite squatter camps\u201d earlier this year.<\/p>\n<p>The first picture shows a white woman sitting on a makeshift bench below the tiny window of her corrugated iron shack. In another, a grey-bearded white man in a wheelchair sits in the shade of a tree with a goat urinating next to him.<\/p>\n<p>Later two white children smile at the camera. \u201cOne is barefoot,\u201d the caption reads, \u201cand walks across the scratchy, sharp earth without any protection.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The people in these pictures, from a squatter camp in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.co.za\/maps\/place\/Munsieville,+Krugersdorp,+1739\/@-26.0727892,27.7452422,15z\/data=!3m1!4b1!4m2!3m1!1s0x1e959a054c1e37c1:0x8d4480f718995d4a\">Munsieville<\/a> in Gauteng province, are part of a group of \u201cmore than 400,000 white South Africans [who] are thought to live in poverty\u201d, according to the Mail Online.<\/p>\n<p>Is the figure correct?<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Three different degrees of poverty<\/h3>\n<div id=\"attachment_1138\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/africacheck.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/000_Par1892895.jpg\"><br \/>\n<\/a><\/div>\n<p>Africa Check <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/kateomega\/status\/704288825284108288\">tweeted the journalist<\/a> who wrote the story and emailed the Mail Online\u2019s editor, but did not get a reply to our questions about the source of the claim.<\/p>\n<p>It seems, though, that the Mail Online referred to a measurement of <a href=\"https:\/\/africacheck.org\/factsheets\/factsheet-what-is-poverty\/\">absolute poverty<\/a> to work out how many white people are poor.<\/p>\n<p>The article said that \u201cthose living in squalid conditions are forced to survive on around \u00a328.99 a month\u201d. (<i>Note: At the time of publishing, this was <\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/www.xe.com\/currencytables\/?from=ZAR&amp;date=2016-02-24\"><i>equal to about R630 per month<\/i><\/a><i>.<\/i>)<\/p>\n<p>South Africa\u2019s national statistics agency, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/\">Statistics South Africa<\/a> (Stats SA), has three absolute poverty lines which capture different degrees of poverty, lecturer at Stellenbosch University\u2019s economics department, Marisa von Fintel,<a href=\"https:\/\/africacheck.org\/reports\/fact-checking-the-sona2016-debates\/#poverty\">previously told Africa Check<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe food poverty line captures their estimate of what is needed in terms of food intake in order to survive, while the lower and upper bounds include the cost of other basic living needs,\u201d Von Fintel explained.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">How poverty is measured<\/h3>\n<p>The figure used by the Mail Online \u2013 of about R630 per month \u2013 does not reflect South Africa\u2019s current national poverty lines, which were <a href=\"http:\/\/beta2.statssa.gov.za\/publications\/Report-03-10-11\/Report-03-10-11.pdf\">rebased last year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The highest poverty line is the <b>upper poverty line<\/b>. It is currently R779 per person per month (in March 2011 prices).<\/p>\n<p>Below this level someone will have to sacrifice buying some essential food in order to afford basic non-food needs like shelter or education (or vice versa). Above this level a person is considered able to buy necessary food and basic non-food items and is therefore classified as \u201cnon-poor\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The points at which poverty lines are placed can look arbitrary. For example, someone earning R778 per month is considered to be living in poverty while her neighbour earning R780 is not.<\/p>\n<p>However, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.treasury.gov.za\/publications\/other\/povertyline\/Woolard%20Murray%202005%20Towards%20a%20Poverty%20Line.pdf\">academics have argued that<\/a> \u201cfor purposes of analysis one frequently needs to draw the line somewhere\u201d.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">42,115 poor white people<\/h3>\n<p>So is the Mail Online\u2019s figure of more than 400,000 poor white people supported by data from the national poverty lines? The short answer is no.<\/p>\n<p>Stats SA\u2019s living conditions survey manager, Patricia Koka, used their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/publications\/P0100\/P01002011.pdf\">2010\/2011 Income and Expenditure Survey<\/a> to check the numbers for us. The survey has been conducted every 5 years since 2000 and just over 25,000 households were surveyed most recently.<\/p>\n<p>Koka told Africa Check that 42,115 white South Africans were estimated to have lived on less than R779 per month in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>This represented 0.9% of the total white population. In comparison, 63.2% of black people, 37% of colored people and 6.9% of Indian\/Asian people were living in poverty.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bt_table\">\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"6\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"50%\">Population group<\/th>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"25%\">Number<\/th>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"25%\">% of population group<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>African\/Black<\/td>\n<td>25 311 744<\/td>\n<td>63.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Coloured<\/td>\n<td>1 676 144<\/td>\n<td>37.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Indian\/Asian<\/td>\n<td>87 969<\/td>\n<td>6.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>White<\/td>\n<td>42 115<\/td>\n<td>0.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>South Africa<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>27 117 973<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>53.8%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i>(Note: Stats SA uses consumption data \u2013 as opposed to income data \u2013 to calculate the number of people living in poverty. That is because it may \u201cbetter reflect a household\u2019s actual standard of living and ability to meet basic needs\u201d, Koka told Africa Check.)<\/i><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">But is poverty underestimated?<\/h3>\n<div id=\"attachment_7834\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/africacheck.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/000_6D0YR.jpg\"><br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">\n<\/div>\n<p>Some academics think that Stats SA\u2019s poverty lines might underestimate poverty in South Africa.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.opensaldru.uct.ac.za\/bitstream\/handle\/11090\/784\/2015_151_Saldruwp.pdf?sequence=1\">Research published last year<\/a> by the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.saldru.uct.ac.za\/\">Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit<\/a> (SALDRU) suggested that the upper poverty line should actually be R1,042 per person per month in 2011 prices \u2013 not the lower figure of R779 used by Stats SA.<\/p>\n<p>The difference is a methodological one. When Stats SA calculated its upper poverty line it decided to exclude some people\u2019s spending habits which seemed very different from the norm \u2013 for example, extremely high or extremely low.<\/p>\n<p>Josh Budlender was one of the authors of the SALDRU report. He is now a research fellow at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seri-sa.org\/\">Socio-Economic Rights Institute of South Africa.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Budlender told Africa Check that \u2013 while an adjustment was necessary \u2013 Stats SA may have overcorrected when they excluded these outliers.<\/p>\n<p>He explained that while the issue of outliers was genuine, \u201cthe adjustment was too drastic, and actually made the poverty line more unrealistic than if they hadn\u2019t adjusted it\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSALDRU used a different method to adjust for outliers, and ended up with a poverty line of R1,042 per month, which we think is a more methodologically correct figure,\u201d Budlender said.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">1.8% of white people poor<\/h3>\n<p>But even a higher poverty line doesn\u2019t support the Mail Online\u2019s claim.<\/p>\n<p>Using Stats SA\u2019s 2010\/2011 Income and Expenditure Survey, Budlender extracted the number of people who reported that they consumed less that R1,042 per month.<\/p>\n<p>Using this higher poverty line, the number of white people estimated to be living in poverty increased to 82,573. This equalled 1.8% of the white population then.<\/p>\n<p>In comparison, 73% of black people and 48.1% of coloured people lived under this poverty line.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bt_table\">\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"6\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"50%\">Population group<\/th>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"25%\">Number<\/th>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"25%\">% of population group<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>African\/Black<\/td>\n<td>29 236 632<\/td>\n<td>73.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Coloured<\/td>\n<td>2 175 417<\/td>\n<td>48.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Indian\/Asian<\/td>\n<td>150 409<\/td>\n<td>11.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>White<\/td>\n<td>82 573<\/td>\n<td>1.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>South Africa<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>31 645 031<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>62.8%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"my-4\">Conclusion: Latest estimates showed less than 82,600 poor whites in SA<\/h2>\n<p>The Mail Online\u2019s claim that more than 400,000 white South Africans live in poverty is incorrect.<\/p>\n<p>Data from Statistics South Africa\u2019s 2010\/2011 Income and Expenditure Survey showed that 42,115 white people lived below the official upper bound poverty line of R779 per person per month. This represented 0.9% of white people in 2011.<\/p>\n<p>When using a higher poverty line \u2013 which some researchers argue is more appropriate \u2013 the estimate increased to 82,573.<\/p>\n<p>Poverty is extremely high in South Africa. But proportionately, very few white people live in poverty compared to other race groups.<\/p>\n<p><em>Researched by Kate Wilkinson, edited by Anim van Wyk<\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article was first published by <a href=\"https:\/\/africacheck.org\/reports\/mail-onlines-claim-of-400000-poor-whites-in-south-africa-incorrect\/\">AfricaCheck<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">More on poverty<\/h3>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Permalink to Shocking number of white squatter camps in South Africa\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/lifestyle\/114180\/shocking-number-of-white-squatter-camps-in-south-africa\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Shocking number of white squatter camps in South Africa<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Permalink to South Africa\u2019s poor living on R7 a day\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/101560\/south-africas-poor-living-on-r7-a-day\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">South Africa\u2019s poor living on R7 a day<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Permalink to Most whites in SA still earn 6 times more than blacks\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/109323\/most-whites-in-sa-still-earn-6-times-more-than-blacks\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Most whites in SA still earn 6 times more than blacks<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Permalink to Whites \u2013 you have been warned: Malema\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/102667\/whites-you-have-been-warned-malema\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Whites \u2013 you have been warned: Malema<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An investigation by Africa Check has shown the claim that there are 400,000 white South Africans living in poverty is a myth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":96321,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26,11343],"class_list":["post-120865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trending","tag-headline","tag-poor-whites"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120865"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120865\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120869,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120865\/revisions\/120869"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}