A new poll run by Ipsos and eNCA shows how public sentiment is swaying between the three leading political parties in South Africa across the most hotly-contested metros ahead of the 2016 municipal elections.<\/p>\n
The polls surveyed a demographically representative group of people made up of adults across all racial groups (majority black – 74%) between the ages of 18 and over 50, from low to middle income households.<\/p>\n
The survey results were compared to previous polls, showing clear trends for each party between 2014 and 2016:<\/p>\n
According to the polls, the ANC is likely to remain the winning party in the City of Johannesburg<\/a>, but not by a big margin, with the DA coming in a very close second.<\/p>\n Notably, the poll results show that the DA has overtaken the ANC in Tshwane<\/a> and in Nelson Mandela Bay<\/a>, though also by a small margin.<\/p>\n The DA has put a focus on these three metros in its campaigning, aiming to push the ANC out of the controlling seat. The party has put particular focus on the Nelson Mandela Bay metro.<\/p>\n The poll results also show growing uncertainty among voters in who to vote for compared to the 2014 National Elections, with a larger portion of respondents indicating they do not yet know (or are not prepared to reveal their choice).<\/p>\n The following tables show the results of the polls for the three metros:<\/p>\n City of Johannesburg<\/strong><\/p>\n City of Tshwane<\/strong><\/p>\n Nelson Mandela Bay<\/strong><\/p>\n Voters\u2019 roll invalid \u2013 but elections will go ahead: Constitutional Court<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n 28 ANC election candidates are criminals or are facing charges<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n The truth and lies in the DA\u2019s 2016 election manifesto<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n
\n Party<\/th>\n 2014 National Election<\/th>\n 2016 Establishment Survey<\/th>\n 2016 June Poll<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n \n ANC<\/td>\n 42%<\/td>\n 29%<\/td>\n 31%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n DA<\/td>\n 22%<\/td>\n 28%<\/td>\n 29%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n EFF<\/td>\n 4%<\/td>\n 8%<\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Don’t know\/won’t say<\/td>\n 9%<\/td>\n 21%<\/td>\n 19%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n \n\n
\n Party<\/th>\n 2014 National Election<\/th>\n 2016 Establishment Survey<\/th>\n 2016 June Poll<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n \n DA<\/td>\n 26%<\/td>\n 33%<\/td>\n 33%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n ANC<\/td>\n 40%<\/td>\n 22%<\/td>\n 28%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n EFF<\/td>\n 6%<\/td>\n 10%<\/td>\n 10%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Don’t know\/won’t say<\/td>\n 7%<\/td>\n 18%<\/td>\n 17%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n \n\n
\n Party<\/th>\n 2014 National Election<\/th>\n 2016 Establishment Survey<\/th>\n 2016 June Poll<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n \n DA<\/td>\n 30%<\/td>\n 38%<\/td>\n 34%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n ANC<\/td>\n 38%<\/td>\n 29%<\/td>\n 30%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n EFF<\/td>\n 4%<\/td>\n 8%<\/td>\n 7%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Don’t know\/won’t say<\/td>\n 5%<\/td>\n 14%<\/td>\n 21%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n More on elections 2016<\/h3>\n