{"id":220543,"date":"2018-01-23T10:02:13","date_gmt":"2018-01-23T08:02:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=220543"},"modified":"2018-01-23T10:02:13","modified_gmt":"2018-01-23T08:02:13","slug":"heres-where-the-rand-could-go-should-zuma-step-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/220543\/heres-where-the-rand-could-go-should-zuma-step-down\/","title":{"rendered":"Here&#8217;s where the rand could go should Zuma step down"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rand eased in early trade on Tuesday, relinquishing some of the gains it notched up in a previous session on news that the ruling political party, the ANC was deciding whether to cut short president Jacob Zuma\u2019s tenure as head of state.<\/p>\n<p>According to a report by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/af.reuters.com\/article\/commoditiesNews\/idAFL8N1PI0WH\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0the currency is expected to trade in the range of R12.00 to R12.25 on Wednesday, after it eased off its highs against the dollar during European trade on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>The currency is tracking a wave of positive sentiment following the appointment of deputy president Cyril Ramaphosa, as ANC leader in December, while the ruling party&#8217;s top leadership has also decided that Zuma must leave office, with speculation about the timing.<\/p>\n<p>Ramaphosa is expected to adopt more business-friendly policies, even though he enjoys the support of the communist party and the biggest labor union federation. His election as ANC leader helped boost the rand 10% last month.<\/p>\n<p>At 09h55 on Tuesday, the rand softened against the dollar, but firmed against the pound and the euro.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dollar\/Rand: R12.09\u00a0 0.33%<\/li>\n<li>Pound\/Rand: R16.90 -0.13%<\/li>\n<li>Euro\/Rand: R14.83 -1.43%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A report by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2018\/jan\/22\/anc-could-ask-jacob-zuma-to-quit-within-fortnight\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Guardian<\/a><\/strong> late on Monday reiterated that plans are in place to oust Zuma within the next two weeks, despite comments from secretary general Ace Magashule that NEC had not yet made a decision on the future of the current president.<\/p>\n<p>Investec Bank economist Annabel Bishop <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businesslive.co.za\/bd\/markets\/2018-01-22-an-early-exit-for-zuma-could-send-the-rand-to-r11\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said<\/a> <\/strong>in a note at the start of the week that the rand could strengthen to as much as <strong>R11 to the dollar,<\/strong> should the president be forced to step down.<\/p>\n<p>Further strengthening would also cause fuel price cuts and place downward pressure on inflation, with the possibility of the rand moving towards <strong>R10 to the dollar<\/strong> should Ramaphosa continue to make reforms and promote growth,\u00a0she said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2018-01-22\/time-running-out-for-south-africa-s-zuma-video?cmpId=flipboard\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Bloomberg <\/strong><\/a>market analyst Robert Brand also remained positive on the currency, stating that it was possible for Ramaphosa to continue the rally by continuing to clamp down on corrupt state-owned enterprises such as Eskom, and possibly even move away from some of the ANC&#8217;s more populist ideas (such as land reform) so as to encourage continued foreign investment.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/220451\/imf-cuts-south-africas-growth-forecast-for-2018-and-2019\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IMF cuts South Africa\u2019s growth forecast for 2018 and 2019<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s how the rand is expected to swing in the next two weeks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":212411,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11121],"tags":[26,12753],"class_list":["post-220543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-headline","tag-investec-bank"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220543","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=220543"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220543\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":220589,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220543\/revisions\/220589"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/212411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=220543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=220543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=220543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}