{"id":264965,"date":"2018-08-15T07:06:40","date_gmt":"2018-08-15T05:06:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=264965"},"modified":"2018-08-15T07:06:40","modified_gmt":"2018-08-15T05:06:40","slug":"battered-tencent-looks-for-bottom-after-150-billion-wipeout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/internet\/264965\/battered-tencent-looks-for-bottom-after-150-billion-wipeout\/","title":{"rendered":"Battered Tencent looks for bottom after $150 billion wipeout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Investors in Tencent Holdings Ltd, once the hottest stock in Asia, are trying to figure out where the bottom is.<\/p>\n<p>The Chinese internet giant, best known for its popular games and ubiquitous messaging services, has shed more than $150 billion in market value since a January peak, the biggest wipeout of shareholder wealth worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>Some $15 billion evaporated on Tuesday after regulators told the Shenzhen-based company to remove Monster Hunter: World from its PC downloads service just days after the action title\u2019s debut.<\/p>\n<p>The hit comes as game revenue growth slows and trade tensions between the U.S. and China punish wide swaths of the market. But what has investors most concerned is the regulatory setbacks in a country where the government can make &#8211; or break &#8211; fortunes.<\/p>\n<p>Besides Monster Hunter, the company hasn\u2019t won approvals to make money from the marquee mobile game PlayerUnknown\u2019s Battlegrounds and to introduce the desktop version in China. Investors will be looking for answers when the company reports earnings Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a lot of negativity priced in already,&#8221; Mark Po, a Hong Kong-based analyst at China Galaxy International Financial Holdings said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The only key thing that investors will be looking at is the growth of online games.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Shares slid another 2.3% Wednesday. Goldman Sachs reduced its earnings forecast and cut its price target for Tencent by 7% Wednesday, citing slowing gaming growth among other factors.<\/p>\n<p>At least 11 analysts have shaved their targets on the social media giant since June. Revenue is projected to climb 37% while operating profit rises 18 percent, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, the Chinese e-commerce giant that reports earnings next week, has held up somewhat better amid the market tumult. Its margins are sliding as it shells out billions to buy and build a nationwide retail and delivery network, but that\u2019s expected to drive revenue growth to its fastest in more than four years.<\/p>\n<p>Both internet giants remain vulnerable to trade tensions between the world\u2019s two biggest economies.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe trade war between China and the US also affects the market sentiment and weighs on investors\u2019 position in China internet,\u201d said Gregory Zhao, an analyst for Barclays, in a research report he co-wrote.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe still see some effects from macro concerns and government regulation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-264969\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent.png 1200w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent-1024x576.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tencent\u2019s projected 37 percent growth in revenue would be its slowest since 2015. Chief among analysts\u2019 concerns is the hold-up in launching PUBG on desktops and still-absent approval to start earning off Chinese players of the mobile version &#8212; the country\u2019s second most popular game in June by time spent.<\/p>\n<p>The litany of headaches coincides with Beijing\u2019s harshest internet content crackdown in history.<\/p>\n<p>All that\u2019s hobbling its chief source of income. Deutsche Bank analysts led by Han Joon Kim now forecast a 6% drop in mobile gaming revenue in the second quarter from the first, rather than a rise of the same magnitude.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTencent\u2019s share price may continue to decline without new drivers as the growth of the mobile gaming industry is expected to slow down,\u201d said Rick Su, a Taipei-based fund manager at Capital Investment Trust Corp.<\/p>\n<p>He trimmed his holding to 2.7 percent of his portfolio from 5.2 percent in February, according to Bloomberg data. \u201cIf that\u2019s the case, it can\u2019t sustain the high valuations of a growth stock.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Still, the gaming giant could emerge from the doldrums in the third quarter if it finally gets the green light to unveil PC versions of PUBG and Fortnite, the Battle Royale-meets-Minecraft game that\u2019s taken the world by storm. \u201cWe expect online games sales growth to pick up in the second half,\u201d CCB International analyst Ronnie Ho wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Alibaba, in contrast, is expected to post its fastest growth in revenue since December 2013, a 61% jump. Heavy investments into traditional retail, video content and new services such as food delivery helped bolster growth. Advertising and commission revenue at the e-commerce giant might have grown 31 percent, according to Barclays\u2019 Zhao.<\/p>\n<p>Those expenditures are eating into margins. In the span of two years, Alibaba has acquired control of its logistics network, video streaming business Youku and now food delivery services Ele.me. It\u2019s pouring money into an array of groceries and department stores such as Hema.<\/p>\n<p>Margins on earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization for Alibaba\u2019s core e-commerce business could\u2019ve dived 17 percentage points from last year to 46%, according to Shi Jialong, an analyst with Nomura.<\/p>\n<p>That spending however may be vital for the longer term. \u201cInvestment is essential for Alibaba to tap into a much bigger addressable market beyond its current 13% China retail market share,\u201d Karen Chan, an analyst with Jefferies Hong Kong Ltd, said in a report.<\/p>\n<p>As for Tencent, investors are looking for any signs of a turnaround. Asked for a prediction on how shares would react after earnings, China Galaxy\u2019s Po struck a pessimistic note.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt depends on how bad the news is,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-264971\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1.png 1200w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/Tencent1-1024x576.png 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/internet\/263177\/google-in-talks-with-tencent-and-inspur-for-china-cloud\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Google in talks with Tencent and Inspur for China Cloud<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investors in Tencent Holdings Ltd, once the hottest stock in Asia, are trying to figure out where the bottom is.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":196098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9882],"tags":[1531,26,1977],"class_list":["post-264965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-internet","tag-alibaba","tag-headline","tag-tencent"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=264965"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264965\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":264973,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264965\/revisions\/264973"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/196098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=264965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=264965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=264965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}