With government debt at already dangerously high levels and the country at risk of losing its sole remaining investment-grade credit rating from Moody\u2019s Investors Service, Mboweni will have little option but to stick to the National Treasury\u2019s expenditure ceilings and deficit-reduction targets. His ability to stimulate growth through increased spending or tax breaks will also be curtailed.<\/p>\n
Mboweni, 59, succeeds Nhlanhla Nene, who was named finance chief by President Cyril Ramaphosa in February and resigned on Tuesday after lying about his meetings with three businessmen who were implicated in the looting of state funds. Nene\u2019s predecessor, Malusi Gigaba, had raised taxes and cut spending in the February budget, warning that the state\u2019s coffers were bare.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis shouldn\u2019t really have much impact on the market or lead to any detrimental change to policy,\u201d Natalie Rivett, senior emerging-markets analyst at Informa Global Markets, said by phone from London.<\/p>\n
Mboweni, who went into exile during apartheid, trained as an economist and served for four years as labor minister in former President Nelson Mandela\u2019s cabinet after apartheid ended in 1994. He oversaw the implementation of a raft of new laws to protect worker rights – a regime that a number of analysts say has fueled a 27%unemployment rate.<\/p>\n
Inflation Targeting<\/strong><\/p>\n During his decade-long tenure as central bank governor, Mboweni established a reputation as a monetary-policy conservative – he was a fierce defender of inflation targeting, which was introduced the year after he took office, and raised the repurchase rate to 13.5% in 2002 to control price growth and boost the rand.<\/p>\n After leaving the bank in 2009, Mboweni went into business, establishing his own investment company and serving on a number of company boards including as the chairman of AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. He remained active in politics, and was elected to the ruling African National Congress\u2019s decision-making national executive committee at a party congress in December.<\/p>\n \u201cMboweni possesses the necessary integrity, skills set and experience which can generate confidence in the markets, among investors and generally in the business community,\u201d said Raymond Parsons, a professor at the North West University\u2019s School of Business and Governance. His appointment \u201cwill help to ensure stability and consistency in policy direction,\u201d especially with the mid-term budget due to be released on Oct. 24, he said.<\/p>\n While Mboweni is South Africa\u2019s fifth finance minister less than three years, the financial markets welcomed his appointment and the rand erased losses and advanced as much as 1.4% against the dollar on Tuesday. Government bonds and banking stocks also gained.<\/p>\n Contradicting Statements<\/strong><\/p>\n Nene\u2019s resignation came the week after he admitted to an anti-graft inquiry that he met members of the Gupta family at their home six times, contradicting statements in a 2016 interview that he only encountered them at public events. The three Gupta brothers, who are allies of former President Jacob Zuma, were implicated by the former anti-graft ombudsman in influencing government appointments and the award of state contracts – allegations they and Zuma deny.<\/p>\n Nene is not the only minister in Ramaphosa\u2019s cabinet over whom a cloud hangs. Gigaba and Bathabile Dlamini, who head the home affairs and women\u2019s affairs portfolios respectively, have been ruled to have perjured themselves in court cases.<\/p>\n The ANC forced Zuma to quit as president in February after almost nine years in office, clearing the way for his 65-year-old deputy and party leader Ramaphosa to take over. Ramaphosa has said combating graft is one of his top priorities, and he\u2019s replaced a number of other officials implicated in wrongdoing.<\/p>\n While Mboweni has a good reputation, doubts will continue to linger over Ramaphosa\u2019s ability to clean up after Zuma\u2019s scandal-marred tenure, according to Guillaume Tresca, a senior emerging markets strategist at Credit Agricole CIB from Montrouge, France.<\/p>\n \u201cThe Nene case shows how it is difficult for Ramaphosa to change the country,\u201d Tresca said. \u201cForeign investors, after a well-managed political transition, have been disappointed and the links between the Guptas and Nene shows it is difficult to erase the past.\u201d<\/p>\n
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