{"id":31978,"date":"2013-02-23T01:06:55","date_gmt":"2013-02-22T23:06:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=31978"},"modified":"2013-02-23T01:07:55","modified_gmt":"2013-02-22T23:07:55","slug":"deloitte-forecasts-a-big-year-for-mobile-in-sa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/mobile\/31978\/deloitte-forecasts-a-big-year-for-mobile-in-sa\/","title":{"rendered":"Deloitte forecasts a big year for mobile in SA"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Financial services company, <a title=\"Deloitte\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/1771-Deloitte\">Deloitte<\/a> has released its predictions for the South African telecoms sector in 2013 highlighting a slowdown in new mobile connections, but a big boost in data usage.<\/p>\n<p>According to Deloitte, 2013 holds big things for mobile in South Africa, as smartphone adoption is likely to increase, and with it, data consumption is set to boom.<\/p>\n<p>However, with a mobile penetration rate of 128%, Deloitte expects a possible slowdown in terms of new mobile connection additions during 2013 compared to previous years.<\/p>\n<p>In December 2012, the International Telecommunications Union (<a title=\"ITU\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/3240-ITU-International-Telecommunications-Union\">ITU<\/a>), indicated that South Africa is the fifteenth largest telecommunications market in the world in terms of revenues from the telecommunications services.<\/p>\n<p>Based on an analysis of the financial reports of <a title=\"Vodacom\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/1639-Vodacom\">Vodacom<\/a>, <a title=\"MTN\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/1640-MTN-Group\">MTN<\/a> and <a title=\"Telkom\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/1637-Telkom\">Telkom<\/a> and certain key press releases by <a title=\"Cell C\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/forum\/showthread.php\/1641-Cell-C\">Cell C<\/a>, Deloitte Digital has identified key performance indicators (As of September 2012) for the South African telecommunications industry:<\/p>\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" width=\"100%\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"5\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>South African population<\/td>\n<td>51.8 million<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Total mobile connections (active sim cards)<\/td>\n<td>66.1 million<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Total unique subscribers (people)<\/td>\n<td>40.7 million<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Mobile penetration (active connections to population)<\/td>\n<td>128%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Estimated active smartphones in South Africa<\/td>\n<td>11 million<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Estimated mobile data penetration (data mobile connections)<\/td>\n<td>39%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Weighted blended Average Revenue Per User per month (ARPU)<\/td>\n<td>R119<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Prepaid subscriber base<\/td>\n<td>83%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Post-paid (contract) subscriber base<\/td>\n<td>17%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<p>Based off of this snapshot of the South African market, Deloitte has made the following predictions for the South African telecoms sector in 2013:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The price war seen in 2012 will continue into 2013 with mobile operators jockeying for mobile subscribers across segments and product lines;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>The further decrease in mobile termination rates (MTR\u2019s) during 2013, will result in a decrease in ARPU levels during 2013;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Smartphone growth will continue with strong growth seen from mobile device vendors supporting the Android operating system with Blackberry maintaining its market share leadership in South Africa;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>LTE network rollout will continue across the mobile operators, though Spectrum allocation will continue to be a challenge for mobile operators;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>There will be competitive segmented data plans for subscribers with high end smartphone devices which will, ipso facto, consume more data;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Mobile money services between platforms and digital communities will continue to open up;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Mobile data browsing and usage will continue to increase with social networking portals driving the traffic usage.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Business impact<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>As smartphone and tablet penetration continues to go amongst employees, more local organisations will start deploying enterprise based mobile applications to create greater understanding of the organisation;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Local organisations will start to tap into high data usage on South African mobile data networks from social networks by deploying enterprise social networks (ESN\u2019s).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">More predictions for 2013<\/h3>\n<p><strong><a title=\"2013: year of the \u201cphablet\u201d\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/mobile\/29320\/2013-year-of-the-phablet\/\">2013: year of the \u201cphablet\u201d<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Cloud trends in 2013\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/cloud-hosting\/28348\/cloud-trends-in-2013\/\"><strong>Cloud trends in 2013<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Tech spending forecasts for 2013\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/it-services\/26707\/tech-spending-forecasts-for-2013\/\"><strong>Tech spending forecasts for 2013<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Top IT predictions for 2013 and beyond\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/it-services\/25091\/top-it-predictions-for-2013-and-beyond\/\"><strong>Top IT predictions for 2013 and beyond<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"BusinessTech Article\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/it-services\/24960\/top-10-tech-trends-for-2013\/\"><strong>Top 10 tech trends for 2013<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deloitte has released its predictions for the South African telecoms sector in 2013<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":31987,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[181,26,4602,495],"class_list":["post-31978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mobile","tag-deloitte","tag-headline","tag-mobile-networks","tag-telecoms"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31978"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31978\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32199,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31978\/revisions\/32199"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31987"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}