{"id":321347,"date":"2019-06-04T11:53:46","date_gmt":"2019-06-04T09:53:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=321347"},"modified":"2019-06-04T12:27:46","modified_gmt":"2019-06-04T10:27:46","slug":"rand-takes-a-hit-as-shock-gdp-data-shows-biggest-quarterly-drop-in-a-decade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/321347\/rand-takes-a-hit-as-shock-gdp-data-shows-biggest-quarterly-drop-in-a-decade\/","title":{"rendered":"Rand takes a hit as shock GDP data shows biggest quarterly drop in a decade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stats SA has published the latest <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/publications\/P0441\/P04411stQuarter2019.pdf\">quarterly GDP data<\/a><\/strong>, covering the first quarter of 2019, showing a larger contraction than expected.<\/p>\n<p>The data shows that South Africa&#8217;s GDP declined by 3.2% in the first quarter &#8211; a much bigger drop than estimations of around a 1.6% decline.<\/p>\n<p>The drop was mainly driven by declines in manufacturing and mining, the stats body said, with the final figure reflecting the largest quarterly drop in about 10 years.<\/p>\n<p>The primary sector declined by 11.4% as agriculture recorded a 13.2% drop and mining declined by 10.8%. The secondary sector recorded a drop of 7.4% driven by declining manufacturing and electricity industries.<\/p>\n<p>Government recorded a 1.2% growth mainly as a result of short-term employment in the civil service in the run-up to the elections, Stats SA said.<\/p>\n<p>But despite growth in the government, finance and personal services industries, the tertiary sector declined by 0.7%.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/GDP-chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-321349\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/GDP-chart.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"716\" height=\"416\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/GDP-chart.png 949w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/GDP-chart-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/GDP-chart-768x446.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 716px) 100vw, 716px\" \/><\/a> <a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sectors.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-321351\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sectors.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"694\" height=\"514\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sectors.png 840w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sectors-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Sectors-768x569.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 694px) 100vw, 694px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The news caught analysts by surprise, sending the rand to new intraday lows, weakening to R14.59 to the dollar (dropping by 1.1%).<\/p>\n<p>Annual GDP estimates for South Africa prior to the announcement ranged between 0.8% and 1.3%, with leading investment groups pegging the forecast at 1.0%<\/p>\n<p>However, economists have noted that the bigger than expected decline in Q1 GDP spells trouble for South Africa&#8217;s 2019 growth forecast, with <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikeschussler\/status\/1135843605862584321\">some predicting<\/a><\/strong> that the country would struggle to hit 0.5%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is the biggest decline in GDP since the 2008 financial crises, highlighting the dire state of the South African economy,&#8221; said Bianca Botes, Corporate Treasury Manager at Peregrine Treasury Solutions.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The drop in GDP can largely be attributed to load shedding, low wage growth and higher income tax.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Rand-USD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-321353 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Rand-USD.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"689\" height=\"505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Rand-USD.png 689w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Rand-USD-300x220.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 689px) 100vw, 689px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/308326\/this-is-how-much-you-contribute-to-south-africas-gdp\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">This is how much you contribute to South Africa\u2019s GDP<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stats SA has published the latest quarterly GDP data, covering the first quarter of 2019, showing a larger contraction than expected.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":222767,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11121],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-321347","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321347","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=321347"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321347\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":321403,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321347\/revisions\/321403"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/222767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=321347"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=321347"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=321347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}