{"id":323385,"date":"2019-06-14T09:20:32","date_gmt":"2019-06-14T07:20:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=323385"},"modified":"2019-06-14T09:20:32","modified_gmt":"2019-06-14T07:20:32","slug":"big-petrol-price-cut-on-the-cards-for-july-but-theres-a-catch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/323385\/big-petrol-price-cut-on-the-cards-for-july-but-theres-a-catch\/","title":{"rendered":"Big petrol price cut on the cards for July &#8211; but there&#8217;s a catch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund shows that South African motorists could be in store for a significant petrol price cut in July.<\/p>\n<p>The group&#8217;s latest data (<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cefgroup.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/Daily-13-06-2019.pdf\">to 13 June 2019<\/a><\/strong>) shows a large over-recovery for both grades of petrol, diesel and illuminating paraffin.<\/p>\n<p>Should current conditions persist for the next few weeks, the petrol price could be cut by around 90 cents per litre come July, while diesel could see a 70 cents per litre drop.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest contributor to the price forecast is a significant drop in the price of international petroleum products, which are down by 14% in the last month, driven by falling oil prices.<\/p>\n<p>However, news of <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2019\/jun\/13\/uk-house-prices-brexit-oil-price-tanker-fire-arcadia-green-business-live?page=with:block-5d01f3c58f08b4ffd6496f03#block-5d01f3c58f08b4ffd6496f03\">apparent attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman on Friday (14 June)<\/a><\/strong> are likely to lead to a reversal in the recent trend.<\/p>\n<p>The spot price of oil on Friday saw brent crude at $62 a barrel, up more than 3% on news of the tanker attacks.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices had lingered around $70 a barrel for the last two months, fluctuating on trade talks between US president Donald Trump, and China.<\/p>\n<p>As it currently stands, international petroleum prices are contributing to a <strong>106 cents per litre drop in local petrol prices<\/strong> &#8211; however this is subject to change.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-323405\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"907\" height=\"302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum.png 2360w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum-768x256.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum-1024x341.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/International-petroleum-1200x400.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 907px) 100vw, 907px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Impact of the currency<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Not helping South Africa&#8217;s petrol prices so far in June, however, is a weakening rand.<\/p>\n<p>The local unit experienced a brief move above <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/321797\/rand-hits-r15-to-the-dollar\/\">R15 to the dollar<\/a><\/strong> in June, and has maintained a weaker position &#8211; in the R14.80 range &#8211; following a slew of poor data and political uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>The country reported its biggest quarterly decline in a decade for Q1, showing a 3.2% contraction in GDP, while ANC leaders bickered over the party&#8217;s policy on the South African Reserve Bank.<\/p>\n<p>The currency has also been battered by international factors, with Trump&#8217;s trade talks again hurting global sentiment towards emerging markets.<\/p>\n<p>South Africa&#8217;s weaker exchange rate is currently contributing a <strong>17 cents per litre hike<\/strong> in prices.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-323407\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"901\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate.png 2366w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate-300x96.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate-768x247.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate-1024x329.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Exchange-rate-1200x385.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 901px) 100vw, 901px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Based on the latest available data, this is how petrol prices could change in July.<\/p>\n<div class=\"bt_table\">\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"6\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"40%\">Fuel (Inland)<\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"30%\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.energy.gov.za\/files\/esources\/petroleum\/June2019\/Breakdown-of-Prices.pdf\"><strong>June Official<\/strong><\/a><\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\" width=\"30%\">July Expected<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>95 Petrol<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R16.76<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R15.86<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>93 Petrol<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R16.57<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R15.66<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>0.05% Diesel (wholesale)<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R15.21<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\">R14.52<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/321011\/here-is-the-official-petrol-price-for-june-2019\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Here is the official petrol price for June<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund shows that South African motorists could be in store for a significant price cut in July.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":78155,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-323385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=323385"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323385\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":323425,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323385\/revisions\/323425"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78155"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=323385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=323385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=323385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}