{"id":341119,"date":"2019-09-16T07:18:59","date_gmt":"2019-09-16T05:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=341119"},"modified":"2019-09-16T07:18:59","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T05:18:59","slug":"oil-jumps-most-on-record-after-attacks-on-saudi-facilities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/341119\/oil-jumps-most-on-record-after-attacks-on-saudi-facilities\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil jumps most on record after attacks on Saudi facilities"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Oil posted its biggest ever intraday jump to more than $71 a barrel after a strike on a Saudi Arabian oil facility removed about 5% of global supplies, an attack the US has blamed on Iran.<\/p>\n<p>In an extraordinary start to trading on Monday, London\u2019s Brent futures leapt almost $12 in the seconds after the open, the most in dollar terms since they were launched in 1988. Prices have since pulled back about half of that initial surge of almost 20%, but were still heading for the biggest advance in more than three years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have never seen a supply disruption and price response like this in the oil market,\u201d Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG, said via email. \u201cPolitical risk premium are now back on the oil market agenda.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate futures were frozen for about two minutes after the scale of the move delayed the market open. They were 9% higher at 11:37 a.m. in Singapore.<\/p>\n<p>The dramatic move in oil reverberated around financial markets. Haven assets including gold, the yen and Treasuries surged on concern over the geopolitical fallout from the attacks. Currencies of commodity-linked nations including the Norwegian krone and the Canadian dollar also advanced. US gasoline futures jumped almost 13%.<\/p>\n<p>State energy producer Saudi Aramco lost about 5.7 million barrels per day of output on Saturday after 10 unmanned aerial vehicles struck the world\u2019s biggest crude-processing facility in Abqaiq and the kingdom\u2019s second-biggest oil field in Khurais.<\/p>\n<p>For oil markets, it\u2019s the single worst sudden disruption ever, surpassing the loss of Kuwaiti and Iraqi petroleum supply in August 1990, when Saddam Hussein invaded his neighbor. It also exceeds the loss of Iranian oil output in 1979 during the Islamic Revolution, according to the International Energy Agency.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe vulnerability of Saudi infrastructure to attacks, historically seen as a stable source of crude to the market, is a new paradigm the market will need to deal with,\u201d said Virendra Chauhan, a Singapore-based analyst at industry consultant Energy Aspects Ltd. \u201cAt present, it is not known how long crude will be offline for.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Oil.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-341127\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Oil.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"598\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Oil.png 800w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Oil-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Oil-768x574.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Oil Disruptions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia can restart a significant volume of the halted oil production within days, but needs weeks to restore full output capacity, people familiar with the matter said.<\/p>\n<p>The kingdom &#8211; or its customers &#8211; may use stockpiles to keep oil supplies flowing in the short term. Aramco could consider declaring itself unable to fulfill contracts on some international shipments &#8211; known as force majeure &#8211; if the resumption of full capacity at Abqaiq takes weeks.<\/p>\n<p>That would rattle oil markets further and cast a shadow on Aramco\u2019s preparations for what could be the world\u2019s biggest initial public offering. It\u2019s also set to escalate a showdown pitting Saudi Arabia and the US against Iran, which backs proxy groups in Yemen, Syria and Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p>Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed credit for the attack, but US President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo have already pointed the finger directly at Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Trump, who said the US is \u201clocked and loaded depending on verification\u201d that Iran staged the attack, earlier authorized the release of oil from the nation\u2019s emergency reserves. The IEA, which helps coordinate industrialized countries\u2019 emergency fuel stockpiles, said it was monitoring the situation.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">PLENTY OF OIL!<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1173368574406250496?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 15, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo matter whether it takes Saudi Arabia five days or a lot longer to get oil back into production, there is but one rational takeaway from this weekend\u2019s drone attacks on the Kingdom\u2019s infrastructure &#8212; that infrastructure is highly vulnerable to attack, and the market has been persistently mispricing oil,\u201d Ed Morse, Citigroup Inc.\u2019s global head of commodities research, wrote in a research note.<\/p>\n<p>Brent jumped more than 19% to $71.95 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, its biggest gain in percentage terms since 1991. In the ensuing hours, it pared that advance to trade 10% higher at $66.24 a barrel.<\/p>\n<p>Trading in WTI was frozen for a few minutes because of a so-called circuit breaker, which is triggered by a gain of more than 7%. When they finally opened, futures jumped as much as 15.5% to $63.34, the most since 2008. They later trimmed that advance to about 9%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt set the stage for a Monday morning mini-massacre of any market participants holding short positions or bearish expectations,\u201d said John Driscoll, chief strategist at JTD Energy Services Ltd. in Singapore. The \u201cprice move was exacerbated by the unprecedented magnitude of the outage on the world\u2019s key supplier and the potential for escalation of geopolitical skirmishes involving the US, Saudi and Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The drama wasn\u2019t limited to flat prices. The spread between Brent and WTI widened as much as 37%, showing that the oil spike will affect global prices more than those in the U.S., where shale output and ample supplies provide more of a buffer.<\/p>\n<p>Brent\u2019s 6-month backwardation jumped to the highest level since September 2013 as the outage raises concerns about obtaining near-term supplies. And the call-put skew flipped into positive territory for the first time since 2018, indicating that options traders are willing to pay more to place a bet on prices rising rather than falling.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/340959\/here-is-the-expected-petrol-price-for-october-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Here is the expected petrol price for October<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil posted its biggest ever intraday jump to more than $71 a barrel after a strike on a Saudi Arabian oil facility removed about 5% of global supplies, an attack the US has blamed on Iran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":131794,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-341119","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341119","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=341119"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341119\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":341129,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341119\/revisions\/341129"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/131794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=341119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=341119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=341119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}