{"id":341875,"date":"2019-09-18T13:07:21","date_gmt":"2019-09-18T11:07:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=341875"},"modified":"2019-09-18T13:07:21","modified_gmt":"2019-09-18T11:07:21","slug":"a-global-pandemic-could-travel-anywhere-in-the-world-in-36-hours-and-kill-up-to-80-million-people","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/lifestyle\/341875\/a-global-pandemic-could-travel-anywhere-in-the-world-in-36-hours-and-kill-up-to-80-million-people\/","title":{"rendered":"A global pandemic could travel anywhere in the world in 36 hours &#8211; and kill up to 80 million people"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new study has warned that there is a growing risk of a global pandemic breaking out &#8211; and the world is not prepared to handle the dire consequences.<\/p>\n<p>This was one of the major findings in a new <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/apps.who.int\/gpmb\/assets\/annual_report\/GPMB_annualreport_2019.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">report<\/a> <\/strong>released by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), an independent monitoring and accountability body that tracks the preparedness for global health crises.<\/p>\n<p>While scientific and technological developments provide new tools that advance public health (including safely assessing medical countermeasures), they also allow for disease-causing micro-organisms to be engineered or recreated in laboratories, the GPMB said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A deliberate release would complicate outbreak response; in addition to the need to decide how to counter the pathogen, security measures would come into play limiting information-sharing and fomenting social divisions,&#8221; it said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Taken together, naturally occurring, accidental, or deliberate events caused by high-impact respiratory pathogens pose global catastrophic biological risks&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pandemic<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The world would not be prepared for a fast-moving, virulent respiratory pathogen pandemic, the GPMB said.<\/p>\n<p>It noted that the 1918 global influenza pandemic sickened one-third of the world population and killed as many as 50 million people &#8211; 2.8% of the total population at the time.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If a similar contagion occurred today- with a population four times larger and travel times anywhere in the world taking less than 36 hours, 50-80 million people could perish,&#8221; it said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In addition to tragic levels of mortality, such a pandemic could cause panic, destabilise national security and seriously impact the global economy and trade.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Pandemic.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-341881 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Pandemic.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"785\" height=\"465\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Pandemic.png 785w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Pandemic-300x178.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Pandemic-768x455.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 785px) 100vw, 785px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Costly<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In addition to the human factor, the GPMB said that there are severe financial costs associated with diseases outbreaks.<\/p>\n<p>Estimated costs of past events include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A loss of over $40 billion in productivity from the 2003 SARS epidemic;<\/li>\n<li>$53 billion loss from the economic and social impact of the 2014-2016 West Africa Ebola outbreak;<\/li>\n<li>The $45 to 55 billion cost of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&#8220;The World Bank estimates that a global influenza pandemic akin to the scale and virulence of the one in 1918 would cost the modern economy $3 trillion, or up to 4.8% of gross domestic product (GDP),&#8221; the GPMB said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The cost would be 2.2% of GDP for even a moderately virulent influenza pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Models predict the annual cost of a global influenza pandemic would mean that South Asia\u2019s GDP would drop by 2% (US$ 53 billion), and sub-Saharan Africa\u2019s GDP by 1.7% (US$ 28 billion), the latter equivalent to erasing a full year\u2019s economic growth.&#8221;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/341361\/south-africas-nhi-pilot-projects-were-not-a-failure-health-minister\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South Africa\u2019s NHI pilot projects were not a failure: health minister<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new study has warned that there is a growing risk of a global pandemic breaking out &#8211; and the world is not prepared to handle the dire consequences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":341897,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9876],"tags":[14359,26],"class_list":["post-341875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lifestyle","tag-global-preparedness-monitoring-board","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=341875"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341875\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":341899,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/341875\/revisions\/341899"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/341897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=341875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=341875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=341875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}