South Africa must move quickly to implement the reforms needed to salvage its status as an investment destination and breathe life into the struggling economy.<\/p>\n
“South Africa is rapidly becoming a forgotten country and has stopped being talked about as an investment destination,” James Formby, the chief executive officer of FirstRand Ltd.\u2019s Rand Merchant Bank, wrote in Johannesburg-based newspaper Business Day.<\/p>\n
“It\u2019s no longer five to midnight, it is midnight. We cannot afford to wait any longer to turn things around.”<\/p>\n
Implementing greater fiscal discipline, dealing with corruption, providing a stable supply of electricity and easing labour laws are among the major challenges South Africa must address, he said.<\/p>\n
While the government battles to find consensus on the best way forward with these because of ideological differences and factions within the ruling party, there are some quick wins that can be capitalized on.<\/p>\n
A good place to start accelerating change is at the nation\u2019s state-owned power utility Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd., Formby said. The debt-ridden firm is struggling to the keep lights on and has been labeled by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. as the nation\u2019s greatest threat.<\/p>\n
“While I appreciate the enormity of the challenge to fix Eskom, a new CEO has been announced and the best thing he can do is share his plan and implement it without fear of political interference,” Formby said. An effective plan to restructure Eskom\u2019s balance sheet and stabilize the grid by dealing with operational issues should be done without delay, he said.<\/p>\n
While South Africa\u2019s cash-strapped national carrier South African Airways was correctly placed in business rescue recently, \u201cif more action is not taken and fiscal discipline is not instilled across the state, SA risks permanent damage to the economy.\u201d<\/p>\n
Gross domestic product in Africa\u2019s most-industrialized economy contracted for the second time this year in the third quarter. A downgrade by Moody\u2019s Investors Service, the only major ratings company that still assesses South Africa\u2019s debt at investment grade, is almost inevitable.<\/p>\n
“Further downgrades mean the cost of borrowing rises, not just for the government but also for banks and every ordinary business and individual,\u201d Formby said. \u201cThe transmission of higher borrowing costs will retard economic growth.”<\/p>\n
Getting the private sector involved in important infrastructure projects means “policymakers don\u2019t need to think too hard\u201d about solutions but can rely on partnerships with businesses to progress its development agenda and absorb some of the risks of funding and delivery, the CEO said.<\/p>\n
“Doing some things now that send the right message is far more valuable than promises or endless debates and further years of contemplation while the country slides to an economic also-ran,” he said.<\/p>\n