{"id":380733,"date":"2020-03-11T09:19:58","date_gmt":"2020-03-11T07:19:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=380733"},"modified":"2020-03-11T09:23:13","modified_gmt":"2020-03-11T07:23:13","slug":"absa-feels-the-bite-of-south-africas-stagnating-economy-as-retail-and-corporate-earnings-take-strain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/380733\/absa-feels-the-bite-of-south-africas-stagnating-economy-as-retail-and-corporate-earnings-take-strain\/","title":{"rendered":"Absa feels the bite of South Africa&#8217;s stagnating economy as retail and corporate earnings take strain"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Absa said Wednesday (11 March), that it recorded a &#8216;resilient performance&#8217; for the year ended December 2019, considering the challenging macroeconomic backdrop.<\/p>\n<p>However it saw a decline in its retail and corporate banking segments, as consumers and businesses alike felt the effects of the country&#8217;s stagnating economy, and credit impairments increased.<\/p>\n<p>The group pointed out that South Africa&#8217;s GDP growth has consistently disappointed over the past five years. South Africa\u2019s economy contracted in the third and fourth quarters by 0.8% and 1.4%, respectively &#8211; leading to the second recession in as many years.<\/p>\n<p>The economy has been hit by short-term shocks, persistently weak business sentiment and periods of load shedding, it said, with GDP growth for full-year 2019 slowing to 0.2%, the weakest outcome since the 2009 recession.<\/p>\n<p>Despite stagnant growth and challenging labour market conditions, household credit extension picked up gradually through the year, reaching 6.1% YoY in December, the bank said.<\/p>\n<p>Headline inflation surprised on the downside in 2019 and reached a nine-year low of 3.6% YoY in November, reflecting weak demand and persistent slack in the economy, but picked up to 4.0% in December.<\/p>\n<p>The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) reduced the repo rate by 25 bps in July 2019, citing the improved inflation outlook.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The rand spent much of 2019 trading weaker, but recovered towards the end of the year to finish slightly higher as a favourable turn in global risk appetite helped offset a generally downbeat assessment of South Africa\u2019s risks,&#8221; the lender said.<\/p>\n<p>Absa said that it maintained balance sheet momentum, with underlying costs remaining well contained.<\/p>\n<p>Group headline earnings grew 3% to R14.5 billion, and diluted headline earnings per share (HEPS) rose 3% to 1 747.6 cents.<\/p>\n<p>The group\u2019s RoE declined to 13.1% from 13.4% and its return on assets was 1.07% from 1.17%. Revenue, meanwhile, grew 5%, it said.<\/p>\n<p>A final ordinary dividend of 620 cents per ordinary share was declared.<\/p>\n<p>Absa disclosed International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) financial results and a normalised view, which adjusts for the financial consequences of separating from Barclays PLC, which is almost complete.<\/p>\n<p><strong>IFRS basis<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Headline earnings per share (HEPS) increased by 3% to 1 750.1 cents from 1 703.7 cents.<\/li>\n<li>The group declared a 1% higher full-year dividend per share of 1 125 cents.<\/li>\n<li>Diluted HEPS grew 3% to 1 747.6 cents from 1 700.4 cents.<\/li>\n<li>RBB South Africa headline earnings declined 2% to R9.5 billion.<\/li>\n<li>CIB South Africa declined 6% to R3.2bn and Absa Regional Operations rose 16% to R3.6 billion.<\/li>\n<li>Return on equity (RoE) decreased to 13.1% from 13.4%.<\/li>\n<li>Revenue increased 5% to R80.1 billion and operating expenses rose 4% to R48.8 billion.<\/li>\n<li>Credit impairments grew 24% to R7.8 billion, resulting in a 0.80% credit loss ratio from 0.73%.<\/li>\n<li>Net asset value (NAV) per share rose 3% to 13 669 cents.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Normalised basis<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Diluted normalised HEPS grew 1% to 1 923.3 cents from 1 910 cents.<\/li>\n<li>Normalised earnings were 1% higher at R16.265 billion, up from R16.128 billion in 2018.<\/li>\n<li>RoE decreased to 15.8% from 16.8%.<\/li>\n<li>Revenue increased 6% to R80.0 billion and operating expenses rose 6% to R46.4 billion, resulting in a 58.0% cost-to-income ratio.<\/li>\n<li>Pre-provision profit increased 5% to R33.6 billion.<\/li>\n<li>NAV per share rose 5% to 12 605 cents.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Retail and corporate<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Despite the overall growth, Absa&#8217;s Retail &amp; Business Banking (RBB) saw headline earnings decline 2% to R9.51 billion &#8211; primarily due to 38% higher credit impairments, the group said.<\/p>\n<p>Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) South Africa\u2019s earnings fell 6% to R3.23 billion, given 4% lower revenue. Total CIB headline earnings increased 3% to R5.95 billion, largely due to 48% lower credit impairments.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-380777\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"950\" height=\"484\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019.png 1216w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019-1024x522.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019-768x392.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-RBB-FY2019-1200x612.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px\" \/><\/a> <a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-380775\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"923\" height=\"498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019.png 1234w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019-300x162.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019-1024x553.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019-768x414.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Absa-EDB-FY2019-1200x648.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 923px) 100vw, 923px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the retail banking segments, division performance was mixed, with headline earnings decreasing by 13% in Everyday Banking. This includes a massive 40% decline in the card business and a 25% drop in personal loans.<\/p>\n<p>However, transactional banking and deposit earnings grew 9%, the bank said.<\/p>\n<p>Without providing any figures, the bank reported growth in both retail and corporate customers.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Prospects<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, Absa projects 0.9% real growth for South Africa in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We expect a continued difficult environment for the consumer, while heightened uncertainty will continue to dampen business confidence and investment.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Downside risks are significant and include the risk of protracted load shedding, a sharper global slowdown due to the coronavirus outbreak and the impact of a potential sovereign credit rating downgrade from Moody\u2019s,&#8221; the bank said.<\/p>\n<p>The South African Reserve Bank decreased the repo rate by 25 bps in January and financial markets are currently pricing in a high probability of two further 25 bps rate cuts during 2020, Absa said.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read:<a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/364602\/absa-boosts-financing-options-in-africa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Absa boosts financing options in Africa<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Absa says that it recorded a &#8216;resilient performance&#8217; for the year ended December 2019, considering the challenging macro backdrop.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":257885,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[961],"tags":[29,26],"class_list":["post-380733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banking","tag-absa","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=380733"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380733\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":380805,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380733\/revisions\/380805"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/257885"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=380733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=380733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=380733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}