{"id":381365,"date":"2020-03-13T07:35:12","date_gmt":"2020-03-13T05:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=381365"},"modified":"2020-03-13T07:35:12","modified_gmt":"2020-03-13T05:35:12","slug":"south-africas-biggest-banks-are-increasingly-relying-on-the-rest-of-the-continent-to-make-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/381365\/south-africas-biggest-banks-are-increasingly-relying-on-the-rest-of-the-continent-to-make-money\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa\u2019s biggest banks are increasingly relying on the rest of the continent to make money"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa\u2019s biggest banks are increasingly relying on the rest of the continent to make money as an economic recovery at home ebbs ever further away.<\/p>\n<p>The Big Four make the bulk of their profit in Africa\u2019s most industrialized country, where power shortages, incoherent government policies, corruption and ailing state-owned companies have drained the fiscus and resulted in two recessions in as many years. None of the top bankers expect things to get better anytime soon; not as the coronavirus sows global panic.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not often that we see bank earnings go backward,\u201d said Nolwandle Mthombeni, an equity analyst at Mergence Investment Managers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe more diversified you are, the more you can withstand any macro shock across any region. The businesses that had some diversity from a geographic perspective saw the benefit of that in these results.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>While Standard Bank Group Ltd, FirstRand Ltd, Absa Group Ltd and Nedbank Group Ltd showed they can still turn a profit, deteriorating conditions in South Africa are taking their toll.<\/p>\n<p>Impairments shot up from historically low levels, profit targets are further out of reach, while jobs and branches are being cut as they seek to keep revenue growth ahead of any increases in expenses.<\/p>\n<p>Barring Nedbank, which battled hyperinflation in Zimbabwe and took a charge to boost its stake in a Mozambican lender, all the other lenders reported higher profits from the rest of Africa.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-381373\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1296\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1.png 1296w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1-1024x621.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1-768x466.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg1-1-1200x728.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1296px) 100vw, 1296px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>How the others fared:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Absa reported a 16% increase in earnings from its African operations in the year through December to account for 22% of total profit.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>FirstRand\u2019s investment banking unit Rand Merchant Bank had a 29% jump in pre-tax profit from its African business in the six months through December, with the region accounting for 23% of that division\u2019s profit.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Standard Bank\u2019s rest of Africa business expanded 5% in 2019 to account for 31% of group earnings. Its personal and business banking subsidiary boosted earnings from the region by 53%, by adding 416,000 more customers to 3.4 million, opening branches and ATMs and pushing more digital transactions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Even so, with headwinds building across sub-Saharan Africa because of a slowing global economy, the banks need South Africa to unlock growth, said Adrian Cloete, a portfolio manager at Cape Town-based PSG Wealth.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-381375\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1296\" height=\"790\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2.png 1296w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2-1024x624.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2-768x468.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg2-1200x731.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1296px) 100vw, 1296px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Rolling blackouts known locally as load shedding are the biggest threat to the country, and the government has done little to fix power shortages since they emerged at least 13 years ago. Unemployment of 29% is also at risk of increasing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe really can\u2019t afford to have all this load shedding,\u201d he said. \u201cWe can\u2019t afford not to do the right things. We\u2019re now basically running out of time.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Alan Pullinger, the chief executive officer of FirstRand, the country\u2019s largest bank by market value, doesn\u2019t think the economy will recover for 3-5 years, and lamented the slow pace of structural reforms by president Cyril Ramaphosa.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe longer we find ourselves in this low growth environment the pressure and the sense of urgency is increasing,\u201d Daniel Mminele, the CEO of Absa, said in an interview. \u201cMost of us would probably like a higher sense of urgency and to see things happening faster but one can\u2019t live without hope.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-381377\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1022\" height=\"642\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg3.png 1022w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg3-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Bloomberg3-768x482.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1022px) 100vw, 1022px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Some of the positives highlighted by the Absa CEO, who took the post in January, is that the government is trying to address its wage bill. \u201cIt\u2019s about engaging in those conversations, but obviously concluding them successfully, so that we can see implementation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The lenders are keeping costs in check by moving customers away from branches to digital channels, while also trying to sell more products to boost income. Absa expects revenue growth to outpace expenses in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe longer term potential in the rest of Africa remains positive for South African banks,\u201d said Renier de Bruyn, an investment analyst at Sanlam Investment Management. That will eventually come \u201cas the depth of financial markets improve in the continent and trade grows between Africa and the rest of the world.\u201d<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/381197\/government-promises-to-focus-on-growth-while-south-africa-sits-with-load-shedding-to-the-end-of-the-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Government promises to \u2018focus on growth\u2019 \u2013 while South Africa sits with load shedding to the end of the week<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa\u2019s biggest banks are increasingly relying on the rest of the continent to make money as an economic recovery at home ebbs ever further away.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":248059,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[961],"tags":[14079,4088,26,1799,4486],"class_list":["post-381365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banking","tag-absa-group","tag-firstrand","tag-headline","tag-nedbank","tag-standard-bank-group"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=381365"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381365\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":381379,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381365\/revisions\/381379"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/248059"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=381365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=381365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=381365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}