{"id":416523,"date":"2020-07-15T11:44:11","date_gmt":"2020-07-15T09:44:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=416523"},"modified":"2020-07-15T11:44:11","modified_gmt":"2020-07-15T09:44:11","slug":"new-data-shows-weekly-deaths-in-south-africa-during-coronavirus-lockdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/trending\/416523\/new-data-shows-weekly-deaths-in-south-africa-during-coronavirus-lockdown\/","title":{"rendered":"New data shows weekly deaths in South Africa during coronavirus lockdown"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC) has published its latest <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.samrc.ac.za\/sites\/default\/files\/files\/2020-07-15\/WeeklyDeaths7July2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">data<\/a> <\/strong>focusing on the number of weekly deaths reported in South Africa amid the <span class=\"st\">coronavirus pandemic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The report includes information on both natural (age, disease, infection) and unnatural deaths registered on the national population register as of 7 July.<\/p>\n<p>Deaths recorded on the national population register are provided to the SAMRC on a weekly basis. These have been scaled up to estimate the actual number of deaths by accounting for the people who are not on the population register and the under-registration of deaths.<\/p>\n<p>The estimated numbers are compared with the number that would be expected based on the historical data from 2018 and 2019.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Weekly deaths<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The data shows a spike in deaths from all causes, with an increase in deaths from natural causes from mid-May.<\/p>\n<p>The SAMRC stressed that although the bulk of these estimates of the \u2018excess deaths\u2019 are due to Covid-19 and related causes, a proportion could be due other natural causes associated with a relaxing of lockdown.<\/p>\n<p>Key points from the data include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The all-cause national number of deaths of persons 1+ years of age per week has risen to 13,684 and is 26.5% higher than the predicted number based on historical data in the week ending 7 July.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0The number of deaths from natural causes is also significantly higher than the predicted number, for persons 1-59 years and 60-plus years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>In the period, 6 May &#8211; 7 July 2020, there has been an excess of 10,994 deaths from natural causes of persons 1+ year old when using a revised base accounting for lower mortality during lockdown. For people 1-59 years the excess is 3,655 and 7,305 for people 60-plus years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-1-.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-416525 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-1-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"916\" height=\"489\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-1-.png 916w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-1--300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-1--768x410.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 916px) 100vw, 916px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-2-.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-416527 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-2-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"916\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-2-.png 916w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-2--300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Weekly-2--768x419.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 916px) 100vw, 916px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The data shows that the Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal are experiencing an excess number of natural deaths.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There is a particularly sharp increase in Gauteng and the Eastern Cape,&#8221; the SAMRC said.<\/p>\n<p>Compared with the predicted number of natural deaths from historical data in the week ending 3 July 2020, the Eastern Cape had 90% more, Gauteng had 71% more, the Western Cape and KwaZulu-Natal had 17% more.<\/p>\n<p>The group noted that the number of deaths from unnatural causes (e.g. road traffic fatalities and homicides) was 28% below the predicted number for the week ending 3 July.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Excesss-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-416531 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Excesss-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"703\" height=\"585\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Excesss-1.png 703w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/Excesss-1-300x250.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 703px) 100vw, 703px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/416445\/plans-to-introduce-nhi-in-south-africa-will-not-work-analysts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Plans to introduce NHI in South Africa will not work: analysts<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC) has published its latest data focusing on the number of weekly deaths reported in South Africa amid the coronavirus pandemic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":390199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-416523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trending","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/416523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=416523"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/416523\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":416543,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/416523\/revisions\/416543"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/390199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=416523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=416523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=416523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}