{"id":434523,"date":"2020-09-18T12:43:08","date_gmt":"2020-09-18T10:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=434523"},"modified":"2020-09-18T12:43:08","modified_gmt":"2020-09-18T10:43:08","slug":"south-africa-should-know-the-real-coronavirus-numbers-within-a-few-weeks-expert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/trending\/434523\/south-africa-should-know-the-real-coronavirus-numbers-within-a-few-weeks-expert\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa should know the &#8216;real&#8217; coronavirus numbers within a few weeks: expert"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa should know the true toll from the coronavirus pandemic within a few weeks, says the chairperson of the Covid-19 Ministerial Advisory Committee, Professor Salim Abdool Karim.<\/p>\n<p>In an interview with <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/africa\/ap-interview-south-africa-to-know-true-virus-toll-in-weeks\/2020\/09\/18\/b1355994-f986-11ea-85f7-5941188a98cd_story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">A<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/africa\/ap-interview-south-africa-to-know-true-virus-toll-in-weeks\/2020\/09\/18\/b1355994-f986-11ea-85f7-5941188a98cd_story.html\"><strong>ssociated Press<\/strong>,<\/a><\/strong> Karim said that the official death toll from Covid-19 is more than 15,700 &#8211; but the real number is likely more than 30,000 when deaths not recorded at hospitals are taken into account.<\/p>\n<p>He said that a nationwide survey for the presence of antibodies to the virus will hopefully show results soon.<\/p>\n<p>In a national address on Wednesday evening (16 September) president Cyril Ramaphosa said that government will be undertaking a nationwide survey to assess the actual levels of infection within society.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This survey \u2013 known as a seroprevalence survey \u2013 uses antibody tests to see if a person has been exposed to the coronavirus,&#8221; the president said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A nationwide study would allow scientists to estimate the extent of asymptomatic infections and immunity within the population as well as better understand the transmission patterns of the virus.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Karim said that South Africa reached its &#8216;peak caseload&#8217; in mid-July, adding that the country is now seeing substantial declines in new confirmed cases, deaths and hospitalisations.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have a full cascade of indicators going consistently in the same downward direction. This gives me confidence that we are heading for a threshold of low transmission,\u201d Abdool Karim said. \u201cWe are now in a good position to relax restrictions while remaining vigilant to respond to any signs of a second surge.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Karim said that at its peak, South Africa saw an average of more than 12,000 new cases daily. The country is now averaging below 2,000 daily, and dropping.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We should soon reach 580 new cases daily, which for our population of 58 million is considered by the World Health Organisation to be the threshold for low transmission,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Eased restrictions\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This drop in cases led to Ramaphosa announcing a move to a level 1 lockdown, further easing restrictions.<\/p>\n<p>The president said that the country has \u2018withstood the storm\u2019 in its fight against the coronavirus and that the data shows a clear downward trend in the country.<\/p>\n<p>However, he cautioned that \u2018by any measure we are still in the midst of a deadly epidemic\u2019 and said that the most important task is ensuring that the country is not hit by a second wave of infections as is being seen internationally.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the eased restrictions include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Gatherings will be allowed as long as the number of people do not exceed 50% of the normal capacity of a venue \u2013\u00a0 up to a maximum of 250 people for indoor gatherings and 500 people for outdoor gatherings;<\/li>\n<li>The government will gradually ease restrictions on international travel for business and leisure from 1 October \u2013 subject to containment measures. A list of permitted countries will be published and based on the latest scientific data;<\/li>\n<li>Alcohol for home consumption can be sold between 09h00 \u2013 17h00 from Monday to Friday;<\/li>\n<li>An evening curfew will apply between 00h00 and 04h00;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ramaphosa said that this will be the \u2018new normal\u2019 and that updated restrictions will be gazetted over the next few days, providing more clarity.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/434365\/south-africas-latest-alcohol-rules-a-punch-in-the-gut\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South Africa\u2019s latest alcohol rules a \u2018punch in the gut\u2019<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa should know the true toll from the coronavirus pandemic within a few weeks, says the chairperson of the Covid-19 Ministerial Advisory Committee, Professor Salim Abdool Karim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":390209,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-434523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trending","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=434523"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434523\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":434531,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434523\/revisions\/434531"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/390209"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=434523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=434523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=434523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}