{"id":471238,"date":"2021-02-26T07:50:39","date_gmt":"2021-02-26T05:50:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=471238"},"modified":"2021-02-26T07:50:39","modified_gmt":"2021-02-26T05:50:39","slug":"the-biggest-threat-to-south-africas-economic-recovery-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/471238\/the-biggest-threat-to-south-africas-economic-recovery-right-now\/","title":{"rendered":"The biggest threat to South Africa&#8217;s economic recovery right now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The National Treasury says that South Africa&#8217;s access to Covid-19 vaccines will be the key factor to its economic recovery in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Presenting in parliament on Thursday (25 February), Treasury officials projected real economic growth of 3.3% in 2021, from a low base of -7.2% in 2020. Growth is forecast to moderate to 2.2% in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A successful vaccine rollout is likely to boost domestic economic growth, enabling renewed trade and releasing pent-up demand. Conversely, a slow rollout poses the most significant threat to economic recovery,&#8221; Treasury said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The far-reaching Covid-19 economic impacts exacerbated the poor outcomes of the last decade. Broader structural reforms are required to entrench an economic recovery characterised by growing investment and job creation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Treasury said that up to R10.3 billion will be provided for vaccine rollout for the current year, and over the next two years.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Treasury.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-471248 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Treasury.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"873\" height=\"348\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Treasury.png 873w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Treasury-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/Treasury-768x306.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 873px) 100vw, 873px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While issues such as load shedding and the high rate of unemployment have previously been seen as the country&#8217;s biggest risk factors, Treasury officials were relatively upbeat on the progress being made under president Cyril Ramaphosa&#8217;s economic recovery plan.<\/p>\n<p>However, they acknowledged that more &#8216;decisive action&#8217; is needed going forward.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Embedded generation regulation will be eased within three months; emergency power procurements bids, as well as procurement of additional power in line with the IRP2019, will be announced in the coming weeks,&#8221; Treasury said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Electricity regulations were amended to enable municipalities to procure power from IPPs.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;By the end January 2021, over 430,000 jobs of varying duration had been supported through the stimulus and an additional 180,000 jobs are in the recruitment process.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Majority of vaccines coming later in the year\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In a separate presentation to parliament on Thursday afternoon, health minister Dr Zweli Mkhize said that his department originally estimated that at least 40 million people will need to receive a vaccine to ensure population immunity.<\/p>\n<p>However, he indicated that it is increasingly likely that more people than this will need to receive a shot.<\/p>\n<p>He indicated that talks were still ongoing with vaccine producers, including Johnson &amp; Johnson and Pfizer, and that final figures would be announced soon.<\/p>\n<p>The country will have access to 500,000 doses from Johnson &amp; Johnson within \u2018the next few weeks\u2019, with a further 600,000 doses being delivered by Pfizer, he said.<\/p>\n<p>The majority of the country\u2019s vaccines are only expected to arrive in April, May and June.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/471234\/demand-could-push-oil-up-to-80-a-barrel-as-it-targets-fourth-monthly-gain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Demand could push oil up to $80 a barrel as it targets fourth monthly gain<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The National Treasury says that South Africa&#8217;s access to Covid-19 vaccines in 2021 will be the key factor in its economic recovery.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":377349,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-471238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/471238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=471238"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/471238\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":471262,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/471238\/revisions\/471262"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/377349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=471238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=471238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=471238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}