{"id":503479,"date":"2021-07-06T07:28:02","date_gmt":"2021-07-06T05:28:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=503479"},"modified":"2021-07-06T07:28:02","modified_gmt":"2021-07-06T05:28:02","slug":"south-african-mines-are-ravaged-economys-unlikely-saviour","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/503479\/south-african-mines-are-ravaged-economys-unlikely-saviour\/","title":{"rendered":"South African mines are ravaged economy\u2019s unlikely saviour"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The world\u2019s deepest precious-metals mines, together with giant iron-ore and coal pits are providing an unexpected boon to a South African economy slowly recovering from its biggest contraction in a century.<\/p>\n<p>Surging demand and prices for commodities including platinum-group metals, iron ore, manganese and coal are generating record mining-company profits and bolstering government revenue.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s even as decades of dwindling output and investor reluctance to build new mines blights prospects for the industry.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLast year, we were concerned about the lack of space to support the economy amid the severe hit from the pandemic,\u201d Elna Moolman, a South Africa economist at Standard Bank Group Ltd, said in an interview.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe recovery in commodities demand and their prices is providing very strong support to the economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>President Cyril Ramaphosa on Monday flagged the \u201csignificant role\u201d the sector will play in accelerating South Africa\u2019s recovery from last year\u2019s coronavirus-induced slump.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-503483\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"814\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg-1.jpg 814w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg-1-300x176.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg-1-768x450.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 814px) 100vw, 814px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The mining industry often takes center stage when South Africa\u2019s economic fortunes dip.<\/p>\n<p>Its gold industry &#8211; once the world\u2019s largest &#8211; underpinned the nation\u2019s transformation into the continent\u2019s most industrialized economy.<\/p>\n<p>Bullion sales cushioned the economy against the impact of the oil-price and dollar collapse in the 1970s and as international outrage against apartheid rule a decade later resulted in massive capital outflows.<\/p>\n<p>The commodities boom in the 2000s provided the Treasury with a war chest to withstand the devastating effects of the global financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p>The mining industry\u2019s output surged 18.1% in the first quarter compared to the previous three months, helping buoy growth more than forecast. The sector accounted for 9% of gross domestic product during the period.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, the mining industry, which employs more than 451,000 people, accounted for 8.2% of GDP, according to the Minerals Council South Africa, an industry lobby group.<\/p>\n<p>Revenue for the fiscal year through March exceeded budget estimates for the first time in five years as the industry drove an increase in corporate income tax collections, and led to the shortfall on the main budget coming in below forecast.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s allowed the Treasury to reduce the amount of debt on sale at its weekly auctions for a second time since March and bodes well for its plans to achieve a primary surplus in fiscal 2024-25 and stabilize debt at 88.9% of GDP the following year.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-503485\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"814\" height=\"474\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg1.jpg 814w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg1-300x175.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg1-768x447.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 814px) 100vw, 814px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nThe world\u2019s top platinum suppliers\u2019 exports of platinum-group metals surged 40% in 2020, even as Covid-19 disrupted operations and curbed output, the national statistics agency said in April.<\/p>\n<p>Sales of PGMs, which are in demand as stricter emission rules boost their use in vehicle autocatalysts, raked in R190 billion ($13.3 billion) amid a rally in palladium and rhodium prices.<\/p>\n<p>South Africa\u2019s terms of trade &#8211; a measure of export prices relative to import costs &#8211; increased 12% over the past year and more than 20% since the end of 2018, as the global economic recovery from the pandemic pushed up demand for commodities, according to HSBC Bank Plc economist David Faulkner.<\/p>\n<p>The trade windfall is \u201cone of the strongest gains on record, with past experience highlighting how South Africa\u2019s macro fortunes can tilt on favorable commodity prices and a benign external backdrop,\u201d Faulkner said in a note. \u201cThe result has been a period of respite, relief and rally.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-503487\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"814\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg2.jpg 814w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg2-300x196.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/Bloomberg2-768x503.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 814px) 100vw, 814px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Still, a failure by Ramaphosa\u2019s government to take advantage of the commodity rally to expedite a raft of reforms and attract investment to boost growth and create new jobs could counter the recent fiscal gains. The South African Reserve Bank forecasts that the commodities price rally may be temporary.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese are economic challenges that will require sustained policy action to reverse,\u201d Faulkner said. \u201cThey also leave South Africa with balance sheet vulnerabilities at risk of being exposed should the recent rise in metal prices prove transitory or risk appetite sour.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>What Bloomberg Economics Says&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRising commodity prices provide a welcome respite for the budget. They are, however, not a panacea. The government will still have to follow through with its consolidation plans to stabilize the debt trajectory.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&#8212; Boingotlo Gasealahwe, Africa Economist<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/503285\/here-is-the-official-petrol-price-for-july-3\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Here is the official petrol price for July<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The world\u2019s deepest precious-metals mines, together with giant iron-ore and coal pits are providing an unexpected boon to a South African economy slowly recovering from its biggest contraction in a century.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":465200,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[26,499],"class_list":["post-503479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-headline","tag-standard-bank"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/503479","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/59"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=503479"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/503479\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":503493,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/503479\/revisions\/503493"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/465200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=503479"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=503479"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=503479"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}