{"id":646503,"date":"2022-11-25T16:13:23","date_gmt":"2022-11-25T14:13:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=646503"},"modified":"2022-11-25T16:13:23","modified_gmt":"2022-11-25T14:13:23","slug":"load-shedding-at-40-the-performance-of-power-stations-in-south-africa-vs-the-united-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/646503\/load-shedding-at-40-the-performance-of-power-stations-in-south-africa-vs-the-united-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Load shedding at 40: The performance of power stations in South Africa vs the United States"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa is experiencing its worst year of load-shedding because of poor power station performance and Eskom\u2019s declining energy availability factor (EAF).<\/p>\n<p>According to the load-shedding app EskomSePush, there have been 2,900 hours of load shedding so far this year. It translates to 121 days of load-shedding, more than double last year\u2019s 48 days.<\/p>\n<p>Eskom often blames ageing infrastructure for the poor performance of its generation fleet and the low EAF.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, Eskom\u2019s generation executive Rhulani Mathebula said Eskom\u2019s increased failure rate is not due to a lack of skills but because of unreliable and ageing infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>Eskom CEO Andre de Ruyter has also blamed ageing infrastructure for load-shedding, saying the older power plants are susceptible to failures and breakdowns.<\/p>\n<p>However, an analysis by Daily Investor showed that the age of a power station does not automatically result in higher breakdown rates and a lower EAF.<\/p>\n<p>To test Eskom\u2019s claims, we compared the performance of Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha power stations with two US-based coal power stations \u2013 Wansley and Scherer.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Duvah power station was first commissioned in 1980, with the final unit completed in 1984 (38-42 years old).<\/li>\n<li>The Wansley power plant in Georgia was first commissioned in 1976 (46 years old).<\/li>\n<li>Tutuka was first commissioned in 1985, with the final unit going online in 1990 (32-37 years old).<\/li>\n<li>The Scherer power plant was commissioned in 1982 and is of a similar age to Tutuka (40 years old).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If Eskom\u2019s claim of ageing infrastructure causing a significant deterioration in performance is true, the US and South African power stations should show similar trends.<\/p>\n<p>A significant difference in performance points to other factors, like poor maintenance, mismanagement, and a lack of skills.<\/p>\n<p>We used the energy availability factor (EAF) \u2013 the percentage of time the power station was available for use when it was needed \u2013 as a measure of performance.<\/p>\n<p>From 2009 to 2021, Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha had an average EAF of 64% and 56%, respectively. It means that since 2009 they were only available for 64% and 56% of the time they were needed.<\/p>\n<p>In 2021, Tutuka and Duvha had average EAF of 37% and 44%, respectively. It is expected to be much worse in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Wansley and Scherer, in comparison, had an average EAF of 90% and 89%, respectively, over the same period. They were, therefore, available for 90% and 89% of the time they were needed.<\/p>\n<p>An interesting observation is that Scherer and Wansley had an upward trend in their EAF figures as time progressed.<\/p>\n<p>The large differential suggests that ageing infrastructure can still be reliable. With regular maintenance and using the latest technology, their performance can even improve.<\/p>\n<p>In Eskom\u2019s case, poor skills, mismanagement, and a lack of maintenance are the likely culprits for breakdowns and the low EAF \u2013 not ageing infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below shows the performance over time of the two power stations in the United States compared with Eskom\u2019s Tutuka and Duvha.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-646523\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Eskom-collapse-v2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1021\" height=\"621\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Eskom-collapse-v2.png 1021w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Eskom-collapse-v2-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Eskom-collapse-v2-768x467.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1021px) 100vw, 1021px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>This article was first published on Daily Investor. <a href=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/south-africa\/5932\/eskoms-collapse-shown-in-one-graph\/\">Read the original here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/646183\/eskoms-diesel-lifeline-comes-with-a-big-catch\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Eskom\u2019s diesel lifeline comes with a big catch<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Eskom often blames its electricity supply issues on an ageing fleet &#8211; this is how some of its 40-year-old power stations compare to similarly-aged plants in the United States.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":643641,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[1164,26],"class_list":["post-646503","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-eskom","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/646503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=646503"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/646503\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":646543,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/646503\/revisions\/646543"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/643641"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=646503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=646503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=646503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}