{"id":669849,"date":"2023-03-03T17:00:53","date_gmt":"2023-03-03T15:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=669849"},"modified":"2023-03-03T16:50:07","modified_gmt":"2023-03-03T14:50:07","slug":"worrying-signs-for-south-africas-property-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/property\/669849\/worrying-signs-for-south-africas-property-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Worrying signs for South Africa&#8217;s property market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rental market in South Africa showed a year-on-year decrease in vacancy rates for the fourth quarter of 2022.<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest TPN Vacancy Survey, the national vacancy rate &#8211; the number of vacant properties &#8211; dropped from 11.71% in Q4 2021 to 8.13% in Q4 2022.<\/p>\n<p>While this is an encouraging sign for landlords in the country, the credit bureau said the performance of the rental market is partly because <strong>home ownership has become unaffordable<\/strong> for many South Africans.<\/p>\n<p>The survey conducted in 2022 indicated that most tenants across all ages rent because they simply cannot afford to buy, with 54% rating affordability as the number one reason for not purchasing a property.<\/p>\n<p>The survey also showed that tenants aged 18 to 29 listed the flexibility to move as their second most significant reason, while those aged 40 to 49 listed having a bad credit score as their biggest reason after affordability.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/reasons-to-rent.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-669921\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/reasons-to-rent.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/reasons-to-rent.png 1000w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/reasons-to-rent-300x148.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/reasons-to-rent-768x379.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The credit bureau pointed to rising interest rates and stagnant salaries as the main reason many South Africans could not afford to buy property.<\/p>\n<p>In January 2023, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) announced a 25 basis point hike, taking the current prime lending rate to 10.75% \u2013\u00a0the ninth rate hike since the current hike cycle started in November 2021, totalling 375 basis points over the period.<\/p>\n<p>This puts property ownership out of reach for many South Africans, especially those looking to become first-time homeowners.<\/p>\n<p>Kicking prospective homeowners while they&#8217;re down is that salaries are not keeping up with the heightened inflation experienced in South Africa over the past couple of years.<\/p>\n<p>According to global solutions company WTW&#8217;s Salary Budget Planning <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/662433\/bad-news-for-salary-increases-in-2023\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Report<\/a> at the start of 2023, employers across the country aim for salary hikes averaging a 6.1% increase for this year \u2013 slightly higher than the 5.9% average boost in the pay budget given in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the slightly higher pay budget, this comes in lower than average annual consumer price inflation for 2022, recorded at 6.9%.<\/p>\n<p>While inflation is expected to decrease marginally in 2023, salaries will ultimately remain stagnant.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Unfortunately, the current state of South Africa means the financial outlook for companies is generally bleak, and this will have a direct impact on their ability to offer any kind of meaningful increases to employees,&#8221; said EXCO member and Master Reward Specialist Dr Mark Bussin.<\/p>\n<p>With ever-rising interest rates and stagnant salaries, more and more consumers inevitably turn to rental properties than home ownership in uncertain economic times, said TPN.<\/p>\n<p>This trend is evident as the residential rental Market Strength Index remains positive at 56.47 as demand outstrips supply.<\/p>\n<p>While the vacancy rate of 8.13% represents a quarterly increase of 1,2% compared to the 6.92% in Q3 2022, TPN said the increase in vacancies resulted from delayed supply and inventory coming onto the market over the quarter.<\/p>\n<p>The demand rating increased from 67.24 points in Q3 2022 to 71.38 in Q4 2022. At the same time, the supply rating also showed a marginal uptick from 57.53 in Q3 2022 to 58.47 in the fourth quarter &#8211; showing demand is sitting over 20 points higher than available supply in the country.<\/p>\n<p><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/rental-market-demand-supply.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-669955\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/rental-market-demand-supply.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1000\" height=\"646\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/rental-market-demand-supply.png 1000w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/rental-market-demand-supply-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/rental-market-demand-supply-768x496.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As a result of low business and consumer confidence, the steep gradient of interest rate hikes, and stagnant salaries, rental demand is set to grow in South Africa, said TPN.<\/p>\n<p>However, sensitivity to rental price will continue to play a decisive role in whether a unit is occupied or remains vacant as consumers continue to be placed under burgeoning pressure for the foreseeable future, added TPN.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/property\/669241\/massive-boost-for-luxury-property-prices-in-cape-town\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Massive boost for luxury property prices in Cape Town<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africans are turning to rentals as home ownership remains unaffordable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":669973,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12755],"tags":[26,15742],"class_list":["post-669849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-property","tag-headline","tag-tpn-credit-bureau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/669849","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=669849"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/669849\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":670305,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/669849\/revisions\/670305"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/669973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=669849"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=669849"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=669849"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}