{"id":675597,"date":"2023-03-27T14:32:07","date_gmt":"2023-03-27T12:32:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=675597"},"modified":"2023-03-27T14:32:07","modified_gmt":"2023-03-27T12:32:07","slug":"no-urgency-from-government-to-end-load-shedding-economist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/675597\/no-urgency-from-government-to-end-load-shedding-economist\/","title":{"rendered":"No urgency from government to end load shedding: economist"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despite the South African government&#8217;s showmanship around dealing with the country&#8217;s power crisis with &#8220;urgency&#8221;, in reality, its response has been incredibly slow.<\/p>\n<p>This has left South Africa&#8217;s economy severely stunted, knocking the confidence levels of businesses, consumers and investors, says Investec chief economist Annabel Bishop.<\/p>\n<p>The government has been making a great show of dealing with the crisis, from first unveiling the emergency &#8216;energy action plan&#8217; when load shedding hit stage 6 in the middle of 2022, to declaring load shedding a national state of disaster and announcing a new minister of electricity during the president&#8217;s State of the Nation Address in February (who he appointed a month later).<\/p>\n<p>The new minister, Kgosientsho Ramokgopa, has also been making a big show of being on the ground and actively dealing with the crisis.<\/p>\n<p>He has been on a media roadshow for the past week, visiting every power station on Eskom&#8217;s coal fleet, &#8216;mending fences&#8217; with workers, and downplaying things like fraud and corruption, which he says <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/674237\/power-crisis-has-nothing-to-do-with-so-called-corruption-electricity-minister\/\">has little to nothing to do with the crisis<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, despite a recovery in Eskom&#8217;s performance &#8211; to the point that the embattled power utility can now actually suspend load shedding for a few hours on the weekend &#8211; the reality remains that South Africa&#8217;s energy situation hasn&#8217;t improved much, and the impact on the economy has been, and remains, devastating.<\/p>\n<p>The South African Reserve Bank (SARB), national banks, investment firms and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have all come out with damning projections for the country&#8217;s economy, which is<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/674573\/the-r-word-hangs-heavy-over-south-africa\/\"> teetering on the edge of recession<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>According to Bishop, South Africa\u2019s energy crisis is severely suppressing growth and job creation and shows little immediate likelihood of being resolved.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;South Africa is taking a very tardy approach to the resolution of its energy crisis, with no urgent plans for a substantial increase in the power supply in the short-term, and energy experts expect load shedding to persist daily this year, worsening over winter,&#8221; Bishop said.<\/p>\n<p>The economist also noted the recent decision by parliament to reject investigating allegations of corruption at Eskom from its former chief executive, Andre de Ruyter.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"iU9PdFgqBs\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/674961\/eskom-corruption-probe-hits-a-dead-end\/\">Eskom corruption probe hits a dead end<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Eskom corruption probe hits a dead end&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/674961\/eskom-corruption-probe-hits-a-dead-end\/embed\/#?secret=fTORuv1yP8#?secret=iU9PdFgqBs\" data-secret=\"iU9PdFgqBs\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The lack of urgent investigation of whistleblowers&#8217; claims of high levels of corruption and corruption-linked vandalism need to be addressed, and unnecessary breakdowns halted, while a strong repair and maintenance programme is needed.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The economist noted that the new build of infrastructure takes a number of years, and is being inhibited by the reduction in the size of the construction industry, which shrank under the Covid-19 lockdowns on the economy that ceased business operations in the sector.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The deteriorating state and insufficiency of electricity transmission is also a limitation on energy projects,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p>While South Africa&#8217;s economic prospects are tied to more than just the level of load shedding, Bishop said factors like the upwards interest rate hike cycle have had a negligible impact on growth compared to the loss of productive capacity from the insufficient electricity supply, she said.<\/p>\n<p>Citing the IMF&#8217;s latest statements on South Africa, Bishop noted that the country is being hit on all sides &#8211; energy supply, human capital constraints, collapsing infrastructure, policy fumbling, crime and corruption &#8211; and everything is underpinned by the state moving at a snail&#8217;s pace to do anything about it.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF also pointed to this as one of the biggest risks for South Africa, noting &#8220;delays in addressing the energy crisis and Eskom\u2019s and Transnet\u2019s operational and financial weaknesses, slower-than-expected progress or reversal in reforms and policies, including fiscal consolidation, and increased political uncertainty\u201d as key risks for the country.<\/p>\n<p>Bishop joined other commentators by cutting South Africa&#8217;s growth prospects for the year to just 0.2%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The first quarter of 2023 is likely to see economic activity contract further, by -0.5% from Q4.22\u2019s -1.3%, which will yield a recession on a technical basis as load shedding cuts into productive capacity,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/674991\/this-is-how-much-taxpayer-money-is-spent-on-electricity-water-and-generators-for-ministers-in-south-africa\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">This is how much taxpayer money is spent on electricity, water and generators for ministers in South Africa<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Government&#8217;s response to the energy crisis has been laboured and slow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":667283,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-675597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=675597"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675597\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":675619,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675597\/revisions\/675619"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/667283"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=675597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=675597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=675597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}