Self-driving and autonomous vehicles, in particular, are much closer to reality than most people and businesses realise, according to Gartner.<\/p>\n
By 2030, autonomous-driving-capable vehicles will represent approximately 25%
\nof the passenger vehicle population in use in mature markets, the research and advisory firm said.<\/p>\n
Over the next six years, self-aware vehicles will emerge first that are increasingly also able to autonomously sense, interpret, decide, act and communicate with other automobiles, infrastructures, businesses, people and organisations.<\/p>\n
As this self-awareness matures into the next decade, vehicles will become progressively smarter and autonomous, leading to the most fundamental change in transportation, mobility and society, Gartner said.<\/p>\n
“At the core of this change is not just the accumulation of hardware, software and data communication technologies,” said Thilo Koslowski, vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner.<\/p>\n
“Gartner’s Maverick research finds that the real impact of self-driving vehicles is the disruption of our existing personal and societal beliefs and the reorganisation of established business assumptions in many industries.”<\/p>\n
“At the same time, self-driving vehicles will enable radically new digital business opportunities, such as personal delivery services that utilise a consumer’s driverless vehicle to transport packages between two businesses.”<\/p>\n
The company said that the benefits of self-driving vehicles for individuals and the automotive industry range from accident avoidance, to optimised energy and traffic utilisation, to improved emission compliance.<\/p>\n
According to a June 2014 Gartner survey of over 6,000 consumers, nearly two-fifths of US and German vehicle owners are interested in purchasing a fully or partially autonomous vehicle the next time they shop for a vehicle.<\/p>\n
Equally, as many vehicles owners would even consider giving up traditional vehicle ownership for having on-demand access to getting an autonomous vehicle whenever they need one.<\/p>\n
Gartner warns however, that autonomous and driverless cars still have many obstacles to overcome before they meet all consumer, industry and legal requirements.<\/p>\n
“We predict that by 2016, three companies will have announced concrete plans for upcoming automobile launches that will offer autonomous vehicle technology,” it said.<\/p>\n
By 2025, vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure communication will be available in approximately 30% of passenger vehicles in use in mature markets, which will increase the reliability and accelerate the rollout of autonomous vehicles.<\/p>\n
By 2030, autonomous-driving-capable vehicles will represent approximately 25% of the passenger vehicle population in use in mature markets, Gartner said.<\/p>\n
Tesla looks to self-driving, all-wheel drive cars<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n Self-driving cars can also talk to each other<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n