{"id":744985,"date":"2024-01-24T09:59:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-24T07:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=744985"},"modified":"2024-01-24T10:19:27","modified_gmt":"2024-01-24T08:19:27","slug":"inflation-pulls-back-more-than-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/lifestyle\/744985\/inflation-pulls-back-more-than-expected\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation pulls back more than expected"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Annual consumer price inflation pulled back in December a little bit further than expected, easing to 5.1% from 5.5% in November and 5.9% in October. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The inflation figure was slightly lower than market expectations of 5.2%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged month-on-month in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Stats Sa, the December release completes the picture for inflation in 2023 with the average CPI levels at 6.0% for the year, in line with expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation for the year was lower than 2022&#8217;s 6.9% figure, and on the outer limit of the South African Reserve Bank&#8217;s target range of 3% to 6%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the easing of inflation in December, economists expect CPI to tick higher in the first few months of 2024, anticipating a rise to\u00a05.8% y\/y in January. However, annual inflation is still expected to come down to the mid-point of the SARB range at 4.5% for the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"689\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-1024x689.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-744993\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-1024x689.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-300x202.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-768x516.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-1536x1033.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-graph-2048x1377.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Inflation was relatively hot in the first five months of 2023 (January\u2013May), with the headline rate consistently above 6.0%. Inflation eased below this level for the remaining seven months of the year. The highest reading in 2023 was 7.1% in March. The lowest was 4.7%, recorded in July,&#8221; the stats body said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Product categories ending the year with annual rates higher than 6.0% in December were food &amp; non-alcoholic beverages (8.5%), restaurants &amp; hotels (7.0%) and health (6.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 8.5% inflation rate for food &amp; non-alcoholic beverages (NAB) was lower than November\u2019s 9.0%. Inflation softened for five food &amp; NAB sub-categories: bread &amp; cereals; oils &amp; fats; sugar, sweets &amp; desserts; vegetables; and hot beverages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bread &amp; cereals price index declined by 0.2% between November and December, lowering the annual rate for this category to 7.5%. Maize meal prices eased by 0.9% over the same period, with the average price of a bag of maize meal declining from R37.04 in November to R36.64 in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation for oils &amp; fats remained in deflationary territory, recording an annual change of -5.9% in December. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cooking oil prices dropped by 1.6% between November and December. The average price for a 750\u202fml bottle of sunflower oil was R35.82 in December, lower than the February 2023 peak of R37.47 and well below the high of R45.33 recorded in July 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the sugar, sweets &amp; desserts category as a whole recorded a softer annual rate in December, sugar prices continued to escalate. White sugar is 20.1% and brown sugar 24.6% more expensive than a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chicken and egg situation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Food and NAB sub-categories that registered a rise in inflation in December include meat; milk, eggs &amp; cheese; fish; fruit; and the miscellaneous sub-category referred to as \u2018other\u2019 food.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual meat inflation ticked up to 3.9% in December from 3.5% in November. Sharp annual price increases continue to haunt poultry products, such as chicken giblets (up 18.5%), fresh chicken portions (up 14.6%), non-IQF frozen portions (up 8.8%), whole chickens (up 8.4%) and IQF chicken portions (up 6,4%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The milk, eggs &amp; cheese price index increased by 14.5% in the 12 months to December, higher than November\u2019s rate of 13.9%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 12-month increase in egg prices was 38.0%, slightly lower than November\u2019s print of 39.9%. These increases reflect the price hikes seen in the poultry and egg sector due to the impact of the Avian Flu that hit producers in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other notable price changes in December include housing &amp; utilities inflation reaching 5.7%, the highest annual increase since May 2017, when the rate was also 5.7%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Actual and imputed rentals both recorded a quarterly increase of 0.8%, taking the annual rate for actual rentals to 3.1% and for imputed rentals to 3.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The transport index increased by 2.6% in the 12 months to December 2023 \u2013 much lower than the annual rate of 13.9% recorded in December 2022. The slowdown is mainly a result of lower fuel prices that decreased by 2.5% over the previous 12 months, and by 2.7% between November and December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation for restaurants &amp; hotels was 7.0%, up from 6.3% in November. Hotel prices increased by 8.9% in the 12 months to December, higher than the annual rate of 5.6% in November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The graphs below show the products that recorded the most significant annual and monthly price increases in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"522\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-1024x522.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-744991\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-1024x522.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-300x153.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-768x391.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-1536x783.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Stats-SA-inflation-2048x1044.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/744479\/big-shift-in-interest-rate-expectations-for-south-africa-in-2024\/\">Big shift in interest rate expectations for South Africa in 2024<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>December&#8217;s inflation figures pulled back slightly further than expected &#8211; with annual inflation for 2023 landing exactly where markets expected.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":728993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9876],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-744985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lifestyle","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=744985"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":744995,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744985\/revisions\/744995"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/728993"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=744985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=744985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=744985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}