{"id":748582,"date":"2024-02-05T11:00:12","date_gmt":"2024-02-05T09:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=748582"},"modified":"2024-02-05T11:01:22","modified_gmt":"2024-02-05T09:01:22","slug":"falling-apart-sa-armys-30-years-of-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/trending\/748582\/falling-apart-sa-armys-30-years-of-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Falling apart &#8211; SA army&#8217;s 30 years of decline"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The South African National Defence Force marks 30 years this year, having been established on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.ufs.ac.za\/items\/85cca040-8e52-43ae-8451-942ca1874d11\">27 April 1994<\/a>. It\u2019s as old as the country\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sahistory.org.za\/article\/south-african-general-elections-1994\">constitutional democracy<\/a>, the result of a negotiated political settlement that ended apartheid. The&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.dod.mil.za\/\">defence force<\/a>&nbsp;consists of the&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.army.mil.za\/Pages\/Home.aspx\">army<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.saairforce.co.za\/\">air force<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.navy.mil.za\/Pages\/Home.aspx\">navy<\/a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.defenceweb.co.za\/sa-defence\/sa-defence-sa-defence\/joining-the-south-african-national-defence-force\/\">military health service<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/south-africas-military-is-set-for-personnel-reforms-why-it-matters-178064\">an amalgamation<\/a>\u00a0of the former apartheid-era South African Defence Force, the militaries of the former nominally independent Bophuthatswana, Transkei, Ciskei and Venda, and the former liberation armies of the African National Congress and the Pan Africanist Congress of Azania. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s currently\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.military.africa\/2023\/04\/top-10-strongest-militaries-in-africa\/\">ranked third<\/a>\u00a0in Africa, after Egypt and Algeria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Where does the defence force find itself after three decades? How does it measure up to its&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.defenceweb.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/Repository\/A-Guide-to-the-SANDF\/A-guide-to-the-SANDF-chapter-6-The-SANDF.pdf\">mandate<\/a>&nbsp;of defending the country against external aggression, promoting security externally and internally, and supporting the population and government as needed?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The defence force has been expected to safeguard the country against external threats while simultaneously responding to political calls to assist with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/1037\">peace and security operations<\/a>\u00a0in other African countries. It has also been called on to support the South African Police Service in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/military-not-a-magic-bullet-south-africa-needs-to-do-more-for-long-term-peace-164717\">policing<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/south-africas-police-are-losing-the-war-on-crime-heres-how-they-need-to-rethink-their-approach-218048\">crime-ridden<\/a>\u00a0society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A mismatch has developed between what is expected of the military, and its budget and capabilities. Its budget declined to about 1% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the past decade. This is far too low compared to global average military spending of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/2023-04\/2304_fs_milex_2022.pdf\">2.2% of GDP<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a researcher who has studied the defence force as a foreign policy instrument for almost three decades, I\u2019m not surprised it is often described as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/south-africa-to-lead-new-military-force-in-the-drc-an-expert-on-what-its-up-against-219264\">\u201cinstitutionally overstretched\u201d<\/a>. It has been in decline for some time, especially since 2000, as its&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/static.pmg.org.za\/170512review.pdf\">budgetary allocation<\/a>&nbsp;from treasury has shrunk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Figuring out its primary role<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The government\u2019s policies after 1994 committed the defence force primarily to safeguarding the country\u2019s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The purchasing of new military equipment was based on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.za\/sites\/default\/files\/gcis_document\/201409\/defence-review1998.pdf\">South African Defence Review of 1998<\/a>. The review elaborated on the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.files.ethz.ch\/isn\/155722\/SouthAfrica1996.pdf\">1996 White Paper for Defence<\/a>&nbsp;on such matters as posture, doctrine, force design, force levels, logistical support, armaments, equipment, human resources and funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This White Paper stipulated that the force design should be a high-technology core force, sized for peacetime, but expandable to meet any emerging threat. To this end, cabinet decided in November 1998 to buy&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/1037\">new military equipment<\/a>. This was the infamous arms deal, mired in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.corruptionwatch.org.za\/the-arms-deal-what-you-need-to-know-2\/\">corruption<\/a>. The equipment included nine Gripen fighter aircraft, 12 Hawk aircraft, 30 light utility helicopters, four patrol corvettes and three submarines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/45\">Critics<\/a>&nbsp;felt that the corvettes, submarines and Gripen jet fighters could be regarded as offensive weapons. That would not align with South Africa\u2019s foreign policy, specifically pertaining to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.za\/sites\/default\/files\/gcis_document\/201409\/peacemissions1.pdf\">participation in international peace missions<\/a>&nbsp;with the emphasis on cooperative defence and regional peacekeeping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was eventually decided that the defence force should be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/1037\">designed primarily to protect the country from external enemies<\/a>. It would also promote peace and security in Africa, as secondary functions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things have not quite panned out that way. Since 1998, the defence force has featured prominently as an instrument in South Africa\u2019s foreign policy. Its so-called secondary functions have become&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/1037\">the primary function<\/a>. But it has received no additional armour and personnel for this additional role.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The post-1994 government sought to rid the country of its apartheid-era image of being a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full\/10.1177\/0021909620946851\">pariah and a destabilising factor<\/a>&nbsp;in its neighbourhood. Instead, it was to be identified with the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full\/10.1177\/0021909620946851\">promotion of human rights, peace and development<\/a>&nbsp;in Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The force became the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/peacekeeping.un.org\/en\/mission\/monusco#:%7E:text=The%20new%20mission%20has%20been,in%20its%20stabilization%20and%20peace\">fifth largest troop-contributing nation<\/a>&nbsp;to the UN\u2019s peacekeeping operation in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). It also plays a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scientiamilitaria.journals.ac.za\/pub\/article\/view\/1404\">pivotal role<\/a>&nbsp;in the Southern African Development Community mission in conflict-ridden northern Mozambique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It has been in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pmg.org.za\/committee-meeting\/4846\/\">DRC since 1999<\/a>. This UN mission will now be terminated after more than&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/africa\/20231219-un-to-launch-gradual-withdrawal-of-peacekeepers-from-dr-congo\">24 years<\/a>, and be replaced by troops from the Southern African Development Community,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/south-africa-to-lead-new-military-force-in-the-drc-an-expert-on-what-its-up-against-219264\">led by the South African National Defence Force<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But soldiers in the field haven\u2019t always received good&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mg.co.za\/news\/2022-01-13-soldiers-plead-for-more-air-support-in-mozambiques-battle-against-insurgents\/\">logistical support<\/a>, especially in Mozambique. And poor coordination with the Department of International Relations and Cooperation has sometimes&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/issafrica.org\/iss-today\/is-south-africas-defence-force-up-for-new-thinking\">left the country embarrassed<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among other peacekeeping missions, since 1994 the defence force has also been deployed to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.taylorfrancis.com\/chapters\/mono\/10.4324\/9781003021063-6\/1998-south-africa%E2%80%93lesotho-operation-boleas-crisis-feliciano-de-s%C3%A1-guimar%C3%A3es\">Lesotho, 1998<\/a>: restoring democracy and political stability, supported by the Botswana military<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.accord.org.za\/publication\/south-africas-peacekeeping-role-burundi\/\">Burundi, 2003<\/a>: peacekeeping alongside Mozambique and Ethiopia as part of the African Union Mission in Burundi<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pmg.org.za\/committee-meeting\/4846\/\">Sudan, 2005<\/a>: as part of the United Nations\u2013African Union Mission in Darfur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Constraints<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Budgetary constraints have posed a growing challenge. Between 1995 and the 1998 the defence budget was&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/static.pmg.org.za\/170512review.pdf\">cut by 11.1%<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2015, the defence force was&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/static.pmg.org.za\/170512review.pdf\">24% underfunded<\/a>&nbsp;in terms of its size and shape.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.defenceweb.co.za\/daily-news\/international-news\/world-military-expenditure-continues-to-climb-while-african-defence-expenditure-drops\/#:%7E:text=South%20Africa's%20military%20spending%20fell,the%20military%20budget%20in%202022\">Defence spending in 2022\/23<\/a>&nbsp;was 8.4% lower than in 2021, and 21% lower than in 2013.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The country\u2019s ailing economy and low growth put severe&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2023\/06\/15\/cf-south-africas-economy-loses-momentum-amid-record-power-cuts\">pressure on government finances<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of the budgetary constraints, the serviceability and functionality of high-tech equipment \u2013 especially the Gripens, frigates and submarines \u2013 couldn\u2019t be sustained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The hollowing out of the armed forces was laid bare in 2023. The defence minister, Thandi Modise, disclosed that a staggering 85% of the air force\u2019s aircraft fleet was out of action, leaving the country&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.da.org.za\/2023\/10\/exposed-south-african-air-force-in-critical-condition-as-85-of-fleet-remains-grounded\">vulnerable to external security threats<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By 2013, only two of the 26 Gripen fighter aircraft and three of the 24 Hawk aircraft were&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.da.org.za\/2023\/10\/exposed-south-african-air-force-in-critical-condition-as-85-of-fleet-remains-grounded\">available for service<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The funding crisis is so severe that some defence analysts are now proposing to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymaverick.co.za\/opinionista\/2023-10-25-the-south-african-air-force-has-become-an-expensive-dysfunctional-luxury\/\">reduce the air force to a mere air wing<\/a>&nbsp;of the defence force, which would have fewer than 75 aircraft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vryeweekblad.com\/nuus-en-politiek\/2023-02-10-poor-state-of-sas-naval-fleet-to-be-on-full-display-at-joint-exercise\/\">navy is in no better position<\/a>. All frigates, the navy\u2019s primary combat and patrol vessels, are in urgent need of repair. The three submarines that were part of the 1999 arms deal also came with a limited number of spare parts, like the frigates. Sometimes, none of the submarines are serviceable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Problems at home<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Border protection and support for&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sun.ac.za\/english\/faculty\/milscience\/sigla\/Documents\/Briefs\/Briefs%202023\/SIGLA%20Brief%2011%202023.pdf\">police operations<\/a>&nbsp;are now some of the force\u2019s main activities. These include&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sun.ac.za\/english\/faculty\/milscience\/sigla\/Documents\/Briefs\/Briefs%202023\/SIGLA%20Brief%2011%202023.pdf\">internal or domestic operations<\/a>&nbsp;such as helping the police in combating gang warfare, fighting illegal mining syndicates, preventing the torching of commercial trucks, guarding power plants, and combating cash-in-transit heists. These responsibilities can now even be regarded as among the military\u2019s primary functions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two issues drive the increased role in domestic security. One is the declining capacity of the police. Secondly, politicians see the military as an instrument for policing roles and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.sun.ac.za\/english\/faculty\/milscience\/sigla\/Documents\/Briefs\/Briefs%202023\/SIGLA%20Brief%2011%202023.pdf\">other functions<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 all contributing to the degeneration of South Africa\u2019s defence capability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>By <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/theo-neethling-393531\"><strong>Theo Neethling<\/strong><\/a>, Professor of Political Science, Department of Political Studies and Governance, University of the Free State<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This article was first published by The Conversation, <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/south-africas-military-is-expected-to-do-more-than-ever-with-tighter-budgets-how-the-force-has-declined-over-30-years-219343\">read the original here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/743153\/south-africas-military-strength-vs-the-world-in-2024\/\">South Africa\u2019s military strength vs the world in 2024<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa&#8217;s defence force has spent the last 30 years being tasked to do more, while having its budget slashed and support structures ripped away.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":748586,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-748582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","category-trending"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/748582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=748582"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/748582\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":748590,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/748582\/revisions\/748590"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/748586"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=748582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=748582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=748582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}