{"id":756605,"date":"2024-03-01T12:08:23","date_gmt":"2024-03-01T10:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=756605"},"modified":"2024-03-01T12:08:28","modified_gmt":"2024-03-01T10:08:28","slug":"mood-shifts-for-one-of-south-africas-most-important-sectors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/756605\/mood-shifts-for-one-of-south-africas-most-important-sectors\/","title":{"rendered":"Mood shifts for one of South Africa&#8217;s most important sectors"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Sentiment within the manufacturing sector has improved, but business activity still remains subdued. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABSA&#8217;s Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI), an economic activity index with insights from purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, increased from 43.6 points in January to 51.7 points in February &#8211; above the neutral level of 50. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;While this is a welcome increase, it does need to be qualified by saying that\u00a0business activity\u00a0remains more subdued,&#8221; Absa said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Indeed, of the five subcomponents of the PMI, only\u00a0suppliers&#8217; performance\u00a0is above 50 \u2013 although, encouragingly,\u00a0new sales orders\u00a0are almost there.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;It is also useful to highlight that the survey tracks month-on-month movements, so with the January PMI being so weak, a slight uptick in February would have resulted in a considerable increase in the indices. Business conditions can still be more challenging than the long-term average experience.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024-.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"492\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024--1024x492.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-756609\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024--1024x492.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024--300x144.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024--768x369.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/absa-pmi-Feb-2024-.jpg 1105w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The business activity index recorded a solid increase from 37.1 in January to 48.6 in February. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the average for the first two months of Q1 2024 is below that seen in Q4 2023 and the 50-point mark. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This means that the sector may record a slight contraction in Q1 following marginal growth in Q4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-businesstech wp-block-embed-businesstech\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"7cQjs1lUkl\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/756543\/south-africa-to-dodge-the-dreaded-r-word\/\">South Africa to dodge the dreaded &#8216;R-word&#8217;<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;South Africa to dodge the dreaded &#8216;R-word&#8217;&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/756543\/south-africa-to-dodge-the-dreaded-r-word\/embed\/#?secret=Bxb8HvnAN6#?secret=7cQjs1lUkl\" data-secret=\"7cQjs1lUkl\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, respondents were more upbeat about exports, with the index rising from 37.2 to 49.9. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Absa said that this could signal that some congestion at the nation&#8217;s ports is starting to ease. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The\u00a0inventories index\u00a0also improved, possibly due to improvements at the ports or producers finding other ways to receive their input products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The expected business conditions index also increased once more, with expected conditions rising from the recent low point of 41 in November 2023 to 59.5. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There was also a consecutive uptick in purchasing prices, with the index points now 10 points above the Q4-average. The index, like the supplier deliveries index, is inverted, so any increases reflect a negative for purchasing managers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rand exchange rate weakened in February, which pushed up the costs of imported inputs and materials. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Should these high(er) purchasing price index readings be sustained, there might be some upside risk to the factory gate inflation outlook,&#8221; Absa said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Sub-Index<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>DEC<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>JAN<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>FEB<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Business activity<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">51.4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">48.6<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>New sales orders <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">46.3 <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">49.9<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Employment<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">44.8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">49.2<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inventories<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">44.4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">48.9<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Supplier deliveries<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">67.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">61.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">62.0<\/mark>*<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Purchasing prices<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">62.1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">67.5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">72.2<\/mark>*<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">*Inverted <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/756513\/4-new-laws-sent-to-ramaphosa-to-sign-including-the-controversial-copyright-bill\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">4 new laws sent to Ramaphosa to sign \u2013 including controversial copyright changes<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Port congestion may be easing &#8211; but the weak rand is still severely impacting businesses across South Africa. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":756655,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[29,26],"class_list":["post-756605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-absa","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/756605","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=756605"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/756605\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":756713,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/756605\/revisions\/756713"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/756655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=756605"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=756605"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=756605"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}