{"id":770092,"date":"2024-04-30T14:36:37","date_gmt":"2024-04-30T12:36:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=770092"},"modified":"2024-04-30T14:36:43","modified_gmt":"2024-04-30T12:36:43","slug":"insurance-crisis-on-the-cards-for-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/770092\/insurance-crisis-on-the-cards-for-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Insurance crisis on the cards for South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Weather-related insurance claims are rising in South Africa, and global warming will likely worsen the situation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Ronald Richman, chief actuary at Old Mutual Insure, weather-related events threaten an insurance crisis, with insurers in South Africa bracing for the possible impact. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile the country used to be a Catastrophic Event (CAT) free zone, the scale and magnitude at which disasters have taken place recently means we are now experiencing a dramatic shift in the CAT landscape,\u201d said Richman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2023, Old Mutual Insure recorded ten weather-related claim events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Three were significant &#8211; the Western Cape storms in June and September and the hailstorm in Gauteng and Mpumalanga in November 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutual-insure-climate.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"615\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutual-insure-climate.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-770093\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutual-insure-climate.jpg 936w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutual-insure-climate-300x197.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutual-insure-climate-768x505.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>The phenomenon is not unique to South Africa, with Richman stating severe convective storms were primarily responsible for CAT losses, accounting for 68% of global insured natural catastrophe losses in the first half of last year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2023 was also the hottest year on record due to climate change and El Nino, with the latter generally causing drier conditions every two to seven years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some experts say the US economy is overexposed to climate risks in a similar way that it was overexposed to mortgage risks in 2008, which were a primary cause of the global financial crisis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cGiven this picture, it is not far-fetched to believe that climate change has the potential to destabilise the global insurance industry, with ripple effects for South Africa,\u201d said Richman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stress is already emerging in the US, with companies withdrawing coverage from California and Florida. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile many of the recent events have not been unprecedented, insurers have experienced them as particularly acute losses hitting their bottom lines and capital reserves.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;This is due to reinsurers taking significantly less risk from these types of events, leaving insurers unable to smooth out the losses over time.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to research from PwC and Moody&#8217;s, reinsurers see climate change as the most significant risk facing the sector, with many reinsurers taking a hit as they accumulate losses from customer-facing insurance companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In response, many are increasing prices, limiting coverage and exiting some markets to improve returns. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutal-insure-climate-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"457\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutal-insure-climate-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-770094\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutal-insure-climate-2.jpg 936w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutal-insure-climate-2-300x146.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/old-mutal-insure-climate-2-768x375.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis structural shift in the reinsurance market has far-reaching implications, demanding a fundamental re-evaluation of how the market approaches risk and pricing,\u201d said Richman, <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Importantly, as opposed to popular belief, profit margins in the traditional lines of business in the non-life insurance industry are slim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> \u201cThis, together with the convergence of inflationary pressures and losses from CAT events, means that we are in a pressure pot, ready to bubble over.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To ensure that insurance is sustainable, he said that the right price must be charged to cover the risk of climate change. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOtherwise, you jeopardise the trust placed in the insurance system to be there when things fall apart.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;To fund the level of coverage policyholders have previously enjoyed price increases will be necessary over time to account for these losses and needs to be done in a manner that reflects the true risk posed by each policy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>What to do <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He said that it was not all bad news, as new modelling techniques are being exported to better quantify the rising climate change risks, which should help in navigating turbulent waters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMitigation efforts are essential. Education is key, as consumers must understand the importance of risk management and asset protection against climate change,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> \u201cIn addition, public-private partnerships can help address underinsurance in the SA market and spread risk more equitably. Currently, there isn\u2019t a structure for this type of solution, unlike in other parts of the world where it has been introduced successfully.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He used the Flood Re in the UK as an example, which is a flood reinsurance scheme in the UK, a joint initiative between the government and insurers to make flood cover more affordable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn South Africa, where structural deficiencies exacerbate the disparity between the insured and the uninsured, a similar approach is warranted.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/telecommunications\/770035\/mtn-ceo-scores-massive-r70-million-payday-despite-profit-blow\/\">MTN CEO scores massive R70 million payday \u2013 despite profit blow<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Old Mutual Insure says the South African insurance industry is in a &#8220;pressure pot, ready to bubble over.&#8221; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":650577,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[26,1110],"class_list":["post-770092","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-headline","tag-old-mutual"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770092","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=770092"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770092\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":770150,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770092\/revisions\/770150"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/650577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=770092"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=770092"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=770092"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}