{"id":770302,"date":"2024-05-02T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-02T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=770302"},"modified":"2024-05-02T12:53:26","modified_gmt":"2024-05-02T10:53:26","slug":"bright-spark-for-south-africas-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/770302\/bright-spark-for-south-africas-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"Bright spark for South Africa&#8217;s economy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>South Africa&#8217;s manufacturing sector has received a boost following a month of no load shedding in April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest seasonally adjusted Absa Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI) for April improved from its below-the-neutral 50-point mark dip in March,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The PMI rose from 49.2 points in March to 54 in April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Absa said that the rebound comes from improved business activity, while better domestic demand led to higher new sales orders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;A full month of no load-shedding was likely positive for sustained business activity. In all, the survey results reflect a good start to the second quarter of 2024,&#8221; said Absa and the Bureau for Economic Research. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"496\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image-1024x496.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-770307\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image-1024x496.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image-300x145.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image-768x372.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/absa-pmi-better-image.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>The business activity index improved from 44.5 in March to 57.2 in April, while new sales orders increased from 45.5 to 55.6. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Some comments still point to demand remaining sluggish (although the survey outcome suggests it is much better than in March), but more than 30 days of no load-shedding has likely supported business conditions in the factory sector.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;In this regard, Eskom has announced that there has been sustained improvement in generation by the coal-fired plants, sufficient emergency reserves, and lower demand for Eskom power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Eskom has, however, cautioned that load-shedding is projected to return in the winter months.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-businesstech wp-block-embed-businesstech\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"J5uSWfm5IZ\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/770267\/good-news-for-eskom-and-load-shedding-for-now\/\">Good news for Eskom and load shedding \u2013 for now<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Good news for Eskom and load shedding \u2013 for now&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/770267\/good-news-for-eskom-and-load-shedding-for-now\/embed\/#?secret=hYhrpy39HK#?secret=J5uSWfm5IZ\" data-secret=\"J5uSWfm5IZ\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Export sales were also muted, indicating that better domestic demand supported the improvement in the sales orders index. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, the supplier deliveries index increased (negative) from 54.1 in March to 57.4 in April. The supplier deliveries index is inverted, so any increases reflect a problem for purchasing managers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The improvement in March was due to better working supply chains leading to faster supplier deliveries. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The increase in April is indicative of slower deliveries, which could have been due to more demand from across the nation&#8217;s factories, keeping suppliers busy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, the reading remains far below the recent high when local port and rail issues hurt supply chains. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking ahead, the index for expected business conditions over the next six months decreased from 62.1 in March to 55.7 in April. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The expectation of a return of load-shedding, relative to no disruptions currently, could explain this.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;There might also be concerns about fewer interest rate cuts in South Africa and elsewhere compared to earlier expectations.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-businesstech wp-block-embed-businesstech\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"HJoenc1do7\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/property\/770251\/new-homebuying-trend-hits-south-africas-middle-class-as-interest-rates-bite\/\">New homebuying trend hits South Africa&#8217;s middle class as interest rates bite<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;New homebuying trend hits South Africa&#8217;s middle class as interest rates bite&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/property\/770251\/new-homebuying-trend-hits-south-africas-middle-class-as-interest-rates-bite\/embed\/#?secret=KIEC4R5lvr#?secret=HJoenc1do7\" data-secret=\"HJoenc1do7\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>The purchasing price index dropped slightly from 74.6 in March to 72.4 in April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;As much as this is welcomed, it remained at a relatively high level, reflecting sustained cost pressure.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The relatively weaker rand exchange rate and higher (and volatile) oil prices indicate sustained upward price pressures on manufacturers.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Index<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Jan<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Feb<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>March<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>April<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Business activity<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48.6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">44.5<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">57.2<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>New sales orders<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">49.9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">45.5<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">55.6<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Employment<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">49.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">54.4<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">49.4<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inventories<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48.9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">47.6<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">50.7<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Supplier deliveries*<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">61.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">62.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">54.1<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">57.4<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Purchasing prices*<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">67.5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">72.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">74.6<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">72.4<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">*Inverted<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/lifestyle\/770266\/big-overtime-changes-for-doctors-and-healthcare-workers-in-south-africa\/\">Big overtime changes for doctors and healthcare workers in South Africa<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sentiment in one of South Africa&#8217;s most improtant sectors is improving, but there are still concerns about high interest rates in the long term. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":742071,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[29,26],"class_list":["post-770302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-absa","tag-headline"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770302","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=770302"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770302\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":770343,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/770302\/revisions\/770343"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/742071"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=770302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=770302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=770302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}