{"id":773711,"date":"2024-05-27T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-27T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=773711"},"modified":"2024-05-27T06:44:09","modified_gmt":"2024-05-27T04:44:09","slug":"south-africas-economy-grew-slower-than-zimbabwe-but-ramaphosa-celebrated-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/773711\/south-africas-economy-grew-slower-than-zimbabwe-but-ramaphosa-celebrated-it\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa\u2019s economy grew slower than Zimbabwe &#8211; but Ramaphosa celebrated it"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>President Cyril Ramaphosa celebrated South Africa\u2019s economic growth even though it was much worse than all its peers and neighbours, including Zimbabwe and Mozambique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On multiple occasions, Ramaphosa claimed the ruling ANC did a fantastic job to ensure the \u201ceconomy has tripled in size since 1994\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During his 2024 State of the Nation Address (SONA), he said the government has worked to revive the economy from a decade of stagnation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe have made progress. Our economy is today three times larger than it was 30 years ago,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He repeated the claim during his Freedom Day speech on 27 April, saying the ruling party was correcting past injustices and working to realise the full potential of an economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAlthough there have been setbacks, although we have faced challenges both beyond our borders and at home, our economy has tripled in size since 1994,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ramaphosa was even more aggressive in his speech when he signed the controversial National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He likened the opposition to the NHI Bill to the fear of everyone getting to vote in South Africa and workers getting the right to strike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMany employers were fearful that workers will now have the right to strike, which will destroy the economy,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cInstead, having won the right to strike, we have been able to grow the economy almost threefold since the days of Apartheid.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis shows there was nothing to fear. They just feared ghosts,\u201d Ramaphosa said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, tripling the economy over 30 years is dismal. Using absolute figures for three decades is disingenuous and makes things sound much better than they are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To put South Africa\u2019s economic growth into perspective, it is important to compare it to other countries or other periods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In US dollars, South Africa\u2019s economy grew five times faster in the 30 years before the ANC took power than in the 30 years after it took power.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Angola\u2019s economy grew six times faster than South Africa\u2019s over the last thirty years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Even Zimbabwe\u2019s economy, devastated by poor economic decisions, performed better over the last 30 years than South Africa\u2019s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>These comparisons illustrate how poor South Africa\u2019s economic growth has been over the last 30 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>South Africa\u2019s economy, measured in US$, is also significantly smaller than in 2011. The local economy shrunk from $458 billion in 2011 to $405 billion in 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The charts below show how South Africa\u2019s economic growth compares with its African and global peers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"615\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-773712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-1-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-1-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"474\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-773713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-2.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-2-300x139.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-2-768x356.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Another way to look at South Africa\u2019s economic growth<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>KPMG economist Frank Blackmore criticized Ramaphosa for using South Africa\u2019s nominal GDP figures, which are boosted by inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rather than an increase in the amount of goods and services produced in South Africa, most of the country\u2019s economic growth has been driven by rising prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Blackmore said the data shows that the South African economy has not even doubled in size from 1994 if you strip out the boost from inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 1994, the country\u2019s GDP was around R2.4 trillion and has since expanded to around R4.6 trillion in real terms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The country\u2019s economic growth rate was a meagre 2% over the past thirty years, while in nominal terms, with inflation\u2019s effects included, it grew around 4% per annum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This shows that most of the growth President Ramaphosa mentioned was inflation-driven, not from an expansion in economic activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The real GDP growth of South Africa is shown in the graph below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"686\" height=\"451\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-773714\" style=\"width:841px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-3.png 686w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/9-3-300x197.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 686px) 100vw, 686px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/773824\/ramaphosa-gives-last-minute-pitch-to-voters-ahead-of-crucial-election\/\">Ramaphosa gives last-minute pitch to voters ahead of crucial election<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Cyril Ramaphosa celebrated South Africa\u2019s economic growth even though it was much worse than all its peers and neighbours, including Zimbabwe and Mozambique.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":687567,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[1293,19919,3996],"class_list":["post-773711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","tag-cyril-ramaphosa","tag-nhi-bill","tag-south-africa-gdp"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/773711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=773711"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/773711\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":773832,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/773711\/revisions\/773832"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/687567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=773711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=773711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=773711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}