{"id":777551,"date":"2024-06-20T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-20T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=777551"},"modified":"2024-06-19T16:48:04","modified_gmt":"2024-06-19T14:48:04","slug":"big-money-problems-for-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/777551\/big-money-problems-for-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Big money problems for South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Since the Treasury&#8217;s proposed crackdown on spending at the end of 2023, concerns where raised that South Africa had run out of money &#8211; and economist Dawie Roodt says this is still a very real concern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In October 2023, the National Treasury proposed significant measures to reduce spending because the government had depleted its funds and was at risk of falling into a debt trap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These measures included freezing the hiring of new public service positions, halting procurement contracts for all infrastructure projects, and capping salary increases for public servants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since then, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana has downplayed the issue, responding to critics that the government is working to manage public finances prudently and sustainably.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Efficient Wealth chief economist Dawie Roodt said the risk of South Africa falling into a debt rap remains a concern, noting that the country in 2024 is in a worse fiscal position than it was a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Roodt explained that the trend of concern can be observed by looking at South Africa&#8217;s fiscal debt, which continues to increase daily. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, <strong>South Africa&#8217;s debt-to-GDP ratio is around 72%<\/strong>, and it has risen sharply over the past decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This increase can be attributed in part to inflation, raises in civil servant wages, and an upsurge in spending on social grants. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These escalations make up approximately a third of state expenditure, having risen by an average of two percentage points above the inflation rate annually over the past decade. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another worry is the country&#8217;s debt repayments, which consume a larger portion of South Africa&#8217;s budget each year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong>We&#8217;re in a worse position because the debt situation has worsened and continues to worsen every day<\/strong>,&#8221; Roodt said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Godongwana reiterated this sentiment in the 2024 Budget Speech tabled in February this year. He noted the budget deficit for 2023\/24 is estimated to worsen from 4.0% to 4.9% of GDP compared to just a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The higher budget deficit means that debt-service costs in 2023\/24 have been revised higher by an additional R15.7 billion to R356 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Debt-service costs will absorb more than 20% of revenue, said Godongwana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Taxpayers will not foot the bill <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=p6abyiAQeWo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SABC News<\/a>, Godongwana was asked whether South Africa has run out of money, and he said it&#8217;s wrong to say the country has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He went on to say that South Africa would simply increase taxes if the country ran out of money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c<strong>No government runs out of money when they can tax people any day<\/strong>,\u201d he said. \u201cIf we were running out of money, we would have increased taxes. We didn\u2019t do so because we are confident that we\u2019re not running out of money.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, both Roodt and PwC tax partner Professor Osman Mollagee said that Godongwana&#8217;s inelegant solution would be a very bad idea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on data compiled from the National Treasury, <strong>South Africa&#8217;s tax base has grown by less than 16% over the past decade, while revenue from personal income tax has more than doubled<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the number of personal income taxpayers increased, the total number of registered taxpayers decreased by almost 7% between 2014 and 2024. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that the <strong>government&#8217;s personal income tax revenue has increased by 109% over the same period, outpacing inflation by 48.4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The South African government is challenged to generate more revenue from a stagnant tax base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Roodt agreed with Mollagee and added that increasing taxes is not feasible, as rich people and companies will leave the country if it happens\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wealth\/777484\/south-africa-kisses-r11-billion-goodbye-as-millionaires-head-for-the-door\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">which they are already doing<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below are graphs showing the meagre growth of personal income taxpayers over the past 10 years, compared to the immense growth of government tax revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-41-1024x633.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-46795\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dailyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-42-1024x633.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-46796\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/776879\/the-special-tax-that-could-cut-petrol-prices-to-under-r15-a-litre-in-south-africa\/\">The \u2018special tax\u2019 that could cut petrol prices to under R15 a litre in South Africa<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After the Treasury&#8217;s proposed spending crackdown at the end of 2023, there were concerns that South Africa had run out of money. Economist Dawie Roodt says this is still a real concern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":744467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[3796,2407,853],"class_list":["post-777551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","tag-national-treasury","tag-pwc","tag-south-africa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777551"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777551\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777873,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777551\/revisions\/777873"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/744467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}