{"id":78385,"date":"2015-03-29T14:00:48","date_gmt":"2015-03-29T12:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=78385"},"modified":"2015-05-20T08:46:10","modified_gmt":"2015-05-20T06:46:10","slug":"sa-rand-among-most-undervalued-currencies-in-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/78385\/sa-rand-among-most-undervalued-currencies-in-the-world\/","title":{"rendered":"SA rand among most undervalued currencies in the world"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa&#8217;s currency is largely undervalued and should be trading at closer to R5.30 against the dollar, than R12, the Big Mac Index shows.<\/p>\n<p>This\u00a0is\u00a0against a backdrop of the rand&#8217;s weakness over the past few weeks, with the currency <strong><a title=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/82273\/sa-rand-value-1994-2015\/\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/82273\/sa-rand-value-1994-2015\/\">pushing record lows<\/a><\/strong> against the greenback.<\/p>\n<p>The Big Mac index is one\u00a0initiative, created by The Economist, that aims to measure whether currencies are at their \u201ccorrect\u201d level.<\/p>\n<p>It is based on the theory of purchasing-power parity (PPP) &#8211; the notion that, in the long run, exchange rates should move towards the rate that would equalise the prices of an identical basket of goods and services (in this case, a Big Mac burger) in any two countries.<\/p>\n<p>The Bic Mac is selected for comparison as the popular fast-food meal is widely available across the world, and remains fairly consistent in pricing; however, it is by no means an exact science.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Burgernomics was never intended as a precise gauge of currency misalignment, merely a tool to make exchange-rate theory more digestible,&#8221; The Economist said.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0index has however, become a global standard, included in several economic textbooks while also becoming the subject of at least 20 academic studies, the group noted.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">South Africa&#8217;s &#8220;real&#8221; currency value<\/h3>\n<p>In the USA, a Big Mac sells for $4.79 as of January 2015 &#8211; in South Africa the price is $2.13 (R25.50).<\/p>\n<p>This means that a South African in the USA would expect to pay R57.46 for the same product that costs R25.50 locally.<\/p>\n<p>In order to reach pricing parity, the value of the South African currency would have to sit at R5.32 to the dollar.<\/p>\n<p>This shows that the rand is undervalued by 57%.<\/p>\n<p>Data from the World Bank points to similar PPP values, showing that between 2010 and 2014, South Africa&#8217;s currency carried an average PPP trade value of R5.11 when purchasing its selected basket of goods.<\/p>\n<p>According to the Economist, a fairer measure of a currency&#8217;s fair value would be to look at\u00a0the relationship between prices and GDP per person.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The difference between the price predicted by the red line for each country, given its income per person, and its actual price gives a supersized measure of currency under- and over-valuation,&#8221; it said.<\/p>\n<p>According to the World bank, South Africa has a GDP per capita of $12,506.70 (in international or PPP dollars), versus the US GDP per capita of $53,042.00.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Most undervalued currencies in the world (PPP &#8211; Big Mac Index)<\/h3>\n<div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" border=\"1\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"5\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\"><strong>Country<\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\"><strong>Big Mac price (US$)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#CCCCCC\"><strong>Undervalued by<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USA (base)<\/td>\n<td>$4.79<\/td>\n<td>00.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ukraine<\/td>\n<td>$1.20<\/td>\n<td>74.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Russia<\/td>\n<td>$1.36<\/td>\n<td>71.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>India<\/td>\n<td>$1.89<\/td>\n<td>60.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Malaysia<\/td>\n<td>$2.11<\/td>\n<td>55.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>South Africa<\/td>\n<td>$2.16<\/td>\n<td>55.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Indonesia<\/td>\n<td>$2.24<\/td>\n<td>53.3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Egypt<\/td>\n<td>$2.30<\/td>\n<td>51.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Hong Kong<\/td>\n<td>$2.43<\/td>\n<td>49.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Poland<\/td>\n<td>$2.48<\/td>\n<td>48.2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Taiwan<\/td>\n<td>$2.51<\/td>\n<td>47.6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_78389\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/Big-Mac-Index.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-78389\" class=\"wp-image-78389\" src=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/Big-Mac-Index.png\" alt=\"Big Mac Index\" width=\"600\" height=\"306\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/Big-Mac-Index.png 754w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/Big-Mac-Index-300x153.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-78389\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Big Mac Index<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A currency is considered undervalued when its value in foreign exchange is less than it &#8220;should&#8221; be based on economic conditions. Currency value isn&#8217;t determined objectively, however, and may be undervalued due to a lack of demand, even if a country&#8217;s economy is strong.<\/p>\n<p>According to South African economists, South Africa&#8217;s economy is not strong, though. The country is currently in an extended phase of slowed economic growth and a widening trade deficit &#8211; all the while juggling a power crisis and number of labour-related social issues.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">More on South Africa<\/h3>\n<p><a title=\"Rand vs the dollar in 2014\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/76022\/rand-vs-the-dollar-in-2014\/\"><strong>Rand vs the dollar in 2014<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"SA economy \u2018fragile': Index\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/75642\/sa-economy-fragile-index\/\"><strong>SA economy \u2018fragile&#8217;: Index<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Why the rand is so weak\" href=\"http:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/general\/68396\/why-the-rand-is-so-weak\/\"><strong>Why the rand is so weak<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa&#8217;s currency is largely undervalued and should be trading at closer to R5.30 against the dollar, than R12, the Big Mac Index shows.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":78391,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[3559,26,3670],"class_list":["post-78385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-big-mac-index","tag-headline","tag-rand"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78385"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78385\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83799,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78385\/revisions\/83799"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}