{"id":786652,"date":"2024-08-14T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=786652"},"modified":"2024-08-13T14:55:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-13T12:55:00","slug":"the-one-province-in-south-africa-where-more-people-are-unemployed-than-working-with-another-at-a-tipping-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/786652\/the-one-province-in-south-africa-where-more-people-are-unemployed-than-working-with-another-at-a-tipping-point\/","title":{"rendered":"The one province in South Africa where more people are unemployed than working \u2013 with another at a tipping point"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>When factoring in discouraged work seekers, the North-West province has more unemployed people than working, and the Eastern Cape is right behind it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>South Africa\u2019s unemployment rate trended upward in the second quarter of 2024 as tough economic and business conditions continued into 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QFLS), published by Statistics South Africa on Tuesday (13 August), shows that the official unemployment increased by 0.6% from 32.9% in Q1 2024 to 33.5% in Q2 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the data, the number of unemployed persons increased by 158,000 to 8.4 million during the same quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Discouraged work seekers also increased by 147,000 (up by 4.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the number of people who were not economically active for reasons other than discouragement decreased by 75,000 (down by 0.6%) between Q1 and Q2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The national stats service noted that this resulted in a net increase of 72,000 in the not economically active population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The industries that contributed to the net employment decline include Trade (-111,000), Agriculture (-45,000), Private households (-18,000), Construction (11,000) and Finance (-9,000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Manufacturing (+49,000), Community and social services (+36,000), and Utilities (+9,000) recorded the largest employment gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Provincial performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Provincially, employment losses were recorded in the Eastern Cape (-111,000), Limpopo (-40,000), North West (-30,000) and Northern Cape (-2,000). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Compared to Q3 2023, the largest employment increase was recorded in KwaZulu-Natal (+62,000), followed by Mpumalanga (+48,000) and Western Cape (+23,000) during the same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>The provinces with the most employed<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the latest data,\u00a0<strong>the Western Cape has the lowest unemployment rate (standard definition) in South Africa<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>at 22.2%<\/strong>, meaning it has the most people working versus unemployed in the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is then followed by Kwa-Zulu Natal (31.1%), Limpopo (31.4%), and Northern Cape (32%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the Western Cape is the only province that has consistently been well below the South African average official unemployment rate over the past ten years, with KZN toeing the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By contrast, over the last ten years, the Eastern Cape has consistently been above the average official unemployment rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"409\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610-1024x409.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-786670\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610-1024x409.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610-768x306.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610-1536x613.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140610.png 1754w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"782\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719-1024x782.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-786671\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719-1024x782.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719-300x229.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719-768x586.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-140719.png 1035w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>However, <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">the situation is much worse for most provinces when considering the\u00a0<strong>expanded definition<\/strong>\u00a0of unemployment\u2014which includ<\/span>es discouraged work seekers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The extended unemployment rate in South Africa&#8217;s provinces ranges from 27.3% to 54.2%, with the Western Cape being the only province with a rate below 30% on the expanded definition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>One province \u2013 the North West \u2013 has more adults out of work and not looking than people who are employed<\/strong>, with an unemployment rate of 54.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the Eastern Cape is at a tipping point and could soon join the North West, as its unemployment rate is 49.7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"491\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015-1024x491.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-786673\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015-1024x491.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015-768x368.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141015.png 1515w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141110-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"998\" height=\"487\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141110-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-786676\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141110-1.png 998w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141110-1-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Screenshot-2024-08-13-141110-1-768x375.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 998px) 100vw, 998px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the last few quarters, the unemployment numbers have worsened for the Eastern Cape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s important to note that the Eastern Cape is the only one of South Africa&#8217;s nine provinces currently in a recession, which is causing the province to be dangerously close to having more people unemployed than working. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Eastern Cape Socio-Economic Consultative Council (ECSECC) reported that while South Africa&#8217;s economy contracted in the first quarter of 2024, some provinces were hit harder by poor economic conditions than others. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, the South African economy shrank by 0.1% in the first quarter of 2024, down from the 0.3% growth recorded in the previous quarter and lower than the 0.9% rate projected by the IMF for 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, comparing year-on-year, the national GDP decreased by 0.7 percentage points from 0.6% in the first quarter of 2023. Although most provinces experienced economic contractions, the Eastern Cape&#8217;s economy contracted for the third consecutive quarter, officially entering into a recession in the first quarter of 2024. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The provincial economy declined by 0.3% in 2024Q1, following contractions of 0.1% and 0.3% in 2023Q4 and 2023Q3, respectively. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Eastern Cape&#8217;s GDP, at market prices, declined from R368.8 billion in 2023Q4 to R366.9 billion in 2024Q1. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In comparison to other provinces, the Eastern Cape accounted for 7.9% of the national GDP, while Gauteng (33.9%), KwaZulu Natal (16.6%), and Western Cape (14.2%) were the largest contributors. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Only two industries in the Eastern Cape, agriculture and electricity, experienced positive growth. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The largest negative contributors to the decline in GDP in the first quarter were construction (down by 2.9%), manufacturing (down by 1.5%), mining (down by 1.2%), and transport (down by 0.7%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-09-142344.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"812\" height=\"633\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-09-142344.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-781649\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-09-142344.png 812w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-09-142344-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-09-142344-768x599.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 812px) 100vw, 812px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/753239\/new-number-plates-for-gauteng-relief-for-drivers-as-launch-date-approaches\/\">New number plates for Gauteng \u2013 relief for drivers as \u2018launch\u2019 date approaches<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When counting discouraged work seekers among the unemployed, two provinces in South Africa is in deep trouble.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":786669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[853,1809],"class_list":["post-786652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","tag-south-africa","tag-stats-sa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/786652","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=786652"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/786652\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":786689,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/786652\/revisions\/786689"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/786669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=786652"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=786652"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=786652"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}