{"id":788338,"date":"2024-08-27T08:32:06","date_gmt":"2024-08-27T06:32:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=788338"},"modified":"2024-09-25T10:52:09","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T08:52:09","slug":"more-trouble-for-pick-n-pay-but-it-says-the-turn-is-coming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/788338\/more-trouble-for-pick-n-pay-but-it-says-the-turn-is-coming\/","title":{"rendered":"More trouble for Pick n Pay &#8211; but it says the turn is coming"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Pick n Pay says it has made progress on its turnaround plan but still expects its financials to deteriorate in the current reporting period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a trading update for the 21 weeks ended 21 July 2024 and a trading statement for the 26 weeks ended 25 August 2024, the group said that the period reflected another strong performance from Boxer stores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It added that the refreshed management team at the Pick n Pay segment has begun executing its turnaround plan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Given that the majority of the Pick n Pay segment\u2019s new management team has only been in place since March 2024, the Group is encouraged by the initial progress made while acknowledging the magnitude of the multi-year journey to return this segment to profitability,&#8221; said the group. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the group&#8217;s financial results for the year ended 25 February 2024, the Pick n Pay segment triggered an R2.8 billion non-cash impairment on the assets of Pick n Pay company-owned stores, resulting in an overall after-tax loss of R3.2 billion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, group sales for the 21 weeks ended 21 July 2024 increased by 4.5% (3.7% like-for-like): <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pick n Pay sales grew 0.1% (1.1% like-for-like), with Pick n Pay SA sales rising 0.6% (1.7%<br>like-for-like). Pick n Pay sales lagged like-for-like sales due to the closure of net 16 supermarkets<br>during the period (4 corporate stores and 12 franchise stores).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Boxer sales grew 13.5% (9.2% like-for-like). Boxer\u2019s sales performance was driven by strong like-for-like performance complemented by new store openings.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Clothing sales growth in standalone stores (reported within Pick n Pay segments) was up 10.3% (0.7% like-for-like), with like-for-like growth impacted by the late arrival of winter weather and port delays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the challenges, Pick n Pay Clothing continued to gain market share during the period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Online sales growth for the period was 63.9%, sustaining the 74.4% online sales growth momentum reported for FY24. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>21<\/strong> <strong>Weeks Ended 21 July 2024<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Sales<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Like-for-like sales<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pick n Pay sales (SA and Rest of Africa)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0.1%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pick n Pay SA sales<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0.6%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1.7%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Boxer sales (SA and Rest of Africa)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13.5%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Group turnover<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>4.5%<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>3.7%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The key turnaround indicator the Group is targeting within the Pick n Pay SA segment is like-for-like sales growth in PnP SA Supermarkets\u2014excluding standalone clothing stores. The group is seeing steady improvement in this metric, from -0.4% in H2 FY24 to +2.0% for the Period.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Company-owned PnP SA Supermarkets\u2014which account for the majority of reported Pick n Pay<br>segment sales\u2014have significantly underperformed in recent years and are a key focus area of the<br>turnaround plan.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;As a result of improved retail disciplines, like-for-like sales for this segment increased from -0.5% in H2 FY24 to 3.6% for the Period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The return of Pick n Pay Hypermarkets to positive sales growth after a sustained period of underperformance is particularly noteworthy.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, like-for-like sales momentum in SA Franchise Supermarkets dropped 0.8% across the period, <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Company-owned stores have rarely outperformed Franchises in recent years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;While the group views this trend reversal as further confirmation of early progress in the turnaround of company-owned supermarkets, revitalising the performance of the franchise stores is a key current priority.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Like-for-like sales growth<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>26 weeks ended<br>25 February 2024<br>H2 FY24<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>21 weeks ended<br>21 July 2024<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>PnP SA Supermarkets<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-0.4%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2.0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>PnP SA Company-owned Supermarkets<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-0.5%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3.6%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>PnP SA Franchise Supermarkets<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-0.3%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-0.8%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Financials <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the 26 weeks ended 25 August 2024 (H1 FY25), the group expects earnings per share (EPS), headline earnings per share (HEPS), and comparable HEPS to decrease by over 20% from H1 FY24. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;This outcome is broadly in line with the expectation communicated by CEO Sean Summers at the FY24 results presentation in May 2024, in which he noted that the <strong>situation may well get worse before it improves<\/strong>.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The earnings guidance also excludes the impact of hyperinflation accounting for the group&#8217;s Zimbabwean associate, TM Supermarkets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the Boxer segment trading profit is expected to show positive year-on-year growth, the Pick n Pay&#8217;s segment trading profit is expected to decline. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The net result is that group H1 FY25 trading profit declined year-on-year and was impacted by the following issues: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Operating leverage:<\/strong> \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Group trading expense growth is under control due to the nonrecurrence of the R259 million H1 FY24 employee restructuring costs and a significant reduction in diesel costs to run generators owing to the cessation of load shedding. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>However, the H1 FY25 Group gross profit margin will show a year-on-year decline due to increased promotional participation. The diesel cost savings will be reinvested into promotional activity in a highly competitive market. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The net result is that H1 FY25 Group trading expense growth is expected to be slightly ahead of Group gross profit growth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Increased bank finance costs: \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Given increased pre-rights Offer gearing and higher interest rates, the H1 FY25 net bank finance charge is expected to be approximately R180 million higher than H1 FY24. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Group forecasts a significant year-on-year interest charge reduction in H2 FY25 as a result of progressing the two-step recapitalisation programme.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Group\u2019s H1 FY25 results will be released on SENS and ANS on roughly 28 October 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the guided H1 FY25 year-on-year earnings decline, the group said that it expects its full-year FY25 profit\/loss before tax and capital items to show a meaningful improvement from FY24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The full-year performance will be supported by: (a) Boxer trading profit growth; (b) expectations of a much reduced Pick n Pay segment full-year trading loss; and (c) a reduction in H2 FY25 interest charges as a result of the recapitalisation.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Step one done, step two coming<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After successfully concluding a R4 billion rights offer earlier this month, the group said that its balance sheet is far stronger. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group said capital expenditure remains within expectations, and inventory levels are being well-managed at Pick n Pay and Boxer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group is now focusing on the second step of its recapitalisation programme, with a planned IPO of the Boxer business on track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/788001\/the-number-of-millionaires-living-in-south-africa-and-where-they-stash-their-money\/\">The number of millionaires living in South Africa \u2013 and where they stash their money<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pick n Pay says it is confident that its turnaround strategy will work &#8211; but things are going likely to get worse this year before it gets better.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":774249,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[26,4067],"class_list":["post-788338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-headline","tag-pick-n-pay"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788338","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=788338"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788338\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":792274,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788338\/revisions\/792274"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/774249"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=788338"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=788338"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=788338"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}