{"id":789364,"date":"2024-09-03T12:01:50","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T10:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=789364"},"modified":"2024-09-03T12:01:56","modified_gmt":"2024-09-03T10:01:56","slug":"south-africa-double-dodges-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/789364\/south-africa-double-dodges-recession\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa &#8216;double dodges&#8217; recession"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The South African economy not only grew by 0.4% in Q2 2024, but revised data from Stats SA put the country&#8217;s first-quarter growth at 0.0%, showing flat\u2014not negative\u2014growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stats SA initially reported a 0.1% contraction in Q1 2024, putting South Africa at risk of a technical recession\u2014characterised by two consecutive quarters of negative growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, with the updated numbers and Q2 showing marginal growth of 0.4%, a technical recession was off the table.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stats SA said that the finance, manufacturing, trade, and electricity, gas, and water supply industries drove most of the economy\u2019s momentum on the production (supply) side in the second quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Household consumption, government consumption and a build-up in inventories contributed favourably to expenditure (demand) growth. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The finance, real estate, and business services industries had the most significant impact on the production side, adding 0.3% of a percentage point to gross domestic product (GDP) growth. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Manufacturing also turned positive in the first quarter after shrinking in Q1, rising by 1.1% in Q2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Production was mainly driven by motor vehicles &amp; transport equipment and food &amp; beverages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strong economic activity in wholesale, retail, and tourist accommodation pushed the trade, catering, and accommodation industry to grow by 1.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The country experienced no load shedding in the second quarter,<sup>&nbsp;<\/sup>which helped the electricity, gas &amp; water supply industry,&#8221; said Stats SA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;It grew by 3.1%, driven by increased electricity generation and water distribution. If we ignore the topsy-turvy economic environment caused by the pandemic in 2020, the 3.1% growth rate represents the sharpest increase since the third quarter of 2008.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The construction industry also grew after a year of decline, growing 0.5% in Q2. This was due to economic activity related to residential and non-residential buildings. Nevertheless, there was a slight slowdown in construction works.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notably, three industries contracted during Q2 2024. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Transport, storage &amp; communication were the worst negative contributors, declining by 2.2% and dragging GDP growth down by 0.2 of a percentage point. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Strike action and a fall in the freight volumes contributed to the industry\u2019s poor performance,&#8221; said Stats SA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agriculture, forestry &amp; fishing also faced several headwinds, such as lower-than-expected rainfall in many parts of South Africa, which affected maise and soya bean production), heavy rain in KZN, which affected sugar cane production, and foot-and-mouth disease, impacting sheep and pork production,).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mining also saw a second decline due to the decreased production of iron ore, coal, diamonds and gold.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-789374\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-1536x1152.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-6-2048x1536.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>On the expenditure side of the economy, rising consumer confidence led to 1.4% increase in consumption expenditure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Consumers upped their spending across most product categories, with the miscellaneous goods &amp; services product group being the largest positive contributor, driven primarily by increased spending on insurance.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-1024x650.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-789376\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-1024x650.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-1536x975.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-8-2048x1300.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Regarding trade, imports rose by 1.7% on the back of increased trade in vehicles and transport equipment (excluding large aircraft), vegetable products, mineral products, and textiles and textile articles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the second quarter, inventories increased by R9.6 billion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The supply of goods in the economy exceeded demand, prompting the trade, manufacturing, and finance industries to store newly produced goods,&#8221; said Stats SA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, gross fixed capital formation, which includes investments in infrastructure and other fixed assets, disappointed for the fourth straight quarter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The 1.4% decline in the second quarter was due to lower investments in computer software, biological assets, construction works, machinery &amp; other equipment, and transport equipment.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Exports were also lower due to weaker trade in vegetable products, mineral products, vehicles &amp; transport equipment (excluding large aircraft), and base metals &amp; articles of base metals.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-1024x650.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-789378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-1024x650.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-1536x975.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/image-10-2048x1300.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/789361\/liquidation-day-zero-for-south-african-post-office-around-the-corner\/\">Liquidation \u2018Day Zero\u2019 for South African Post Office around the corner<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa has avoided a technical recession, with the electricity, gas and water sector seeing its largest increase since 2008. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":670629,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[26,1809],"class_list":["post-789364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","tag-headline","tag-stats-sa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=789364"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789364\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":789385,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789364\/revisions\/789385"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/670629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=789364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=789364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=789364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}