{"id":810086,"date":"2025-02-04T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=810086"},"modified":"2025-02-04T07:12:47","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T05:12:47","slug":"another-blow-for-employment-in-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/810086\/another-blow-for-employment-in-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Another blow for employment in South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>South African manufacturers have taken a hit, with employment in the sector expected to take time to recover.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The seasonally adjusted Absa Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index (PMI) started 2025 on the back foot, declining by 0.9 points to 45.3 points in January 2025. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the third straight contraction and the lowest level since August 2024. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;This suggests that the loss of momentum observed at the end of 2024 has not reversed at the start of the year,&#8221; said ABSA and the BER.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;However, it was encouraging that activity and demand improved from low levels \u2013 albeit remaining in<br>contractionary terrain.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The business activity index improved by 3.2 points to 43.5 in January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The slight improvement in activity comes amidst signs of recovering demand as the new sales orders rose from 37.4 in December to 42 points. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Export sales also recovered slightly. That said, the index remained below the November level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Respondents flagged some issues that were hurting production and demand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although export sales recovered slightly, the index remained below the November level. Respondents also flagged some issues that were hurting production and demand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This included trade disruptions with Mozambique due to political turmoil and fuel shortages affecting air freight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The upcoming closure of ArcelorMittal\u2019s Long business in SA was flagged as potentially impacting some producers over the next six to 12 months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The closure is expected to affect 3,500 direct jobs, and have severe knock-on consequences for several sectors, such as the manufacturing sector. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-businesstech wp-block-embed-businesstech\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"MkqRzvnNU4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/808692\/r1-billion-bailout-on-the-cards-to-save-100000-jobs-in-south-africa\/\">R1 billion bailout on the cards to save 100,000 jobs in South Africa<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;R1 billion bailout on the cards to save 100,000 jobs in South Africa&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/808692\/r1-billion-bailout-on-the-cards-to-save-100000-jobs-in-south-africa\/embed\/#?secret=G3ykVPLHlk#?secret=MkqRzvnNU4\" data-secret=\"MkqRzvnNU4\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>Despite activity and orders rising, the other three components of the headline PMI declined. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The supplier deliveries index decreased by 6.1 points to 49.9 points, indicating that the delivery times are faster. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although this could point to improved working supply chains, responses indicate that it is more likely linked to weaker demand for supplied goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The employment index also decreased by 2 points to 44.4 and remained in contractionary territory for the tenth consecutive month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Employment contracted during the first 3 quarters of 2024 and the latest PMI suggests that it will take some time to recover. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The inventories index declined from 50.7 before to 46.5. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reversing the sustained downward trend, the purchasing price index increased by 7.8 points to 68.2 in January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;This was due to a weaker rand exchange rate and higher international oil prices, with a fuel price increase at the start of the month,&#8221; said Absa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Looking ahead, a further fuel price increase is expected in February.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Renewed cost pressures could, in part, explain why the index tracking expected business conditions in six months dropped by 2.6 points to 64.9 in January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Uncertainties about global trade dynamics could also be added to the drop, with US President Donald Trump implementing trade tariffs against several nations. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the current level indicates that manufacturers remain fairly optimistic about business conditions in the future despite the fall. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-8.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"735\" height=\"345\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-810103\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-8.png 735w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-8-300x141.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 735px) 100vw, 735px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Index<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Oct<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Nov<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Dec<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Jan<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Business activity<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">55.6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">49.0<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">40.3<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">43.5<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>New sales orders<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54.8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">45.9<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">37.4<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">42.0<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Employment<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">49.4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">46.9<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">46.5<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">44.4<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inventories <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54.6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">50.6<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">50.7<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">46.5<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Supplier deliveries<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">48.3<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">56.0<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">49.9<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Purchasing prices*<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">60.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">61.7<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">60.4<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">68.2<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">*Inverted<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest Absa PMI has highlighted the concerns surrounding employment in the manufacturing sector, with more pain possibly on the cards. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":771320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[29,14829],"class_list":["post-810086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-absa","tag-ber"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/810086","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=810086"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/810086\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":810158,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/810086\/revisions\/810158"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/771320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=810086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=810086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=810086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}