{"id":811301,"date":"2025-02-12T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-12T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=811301"},"modified":"2025-02-12T09:12:05","modified_gmt":"2025-02-12T07:12:05","slug":"woolworths-has-a-big-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/811301\/woolworths-has-a-big-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Woolworths has a big problem"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Woolworths is seriously hamstrung by its apparel businesses in South Africa, Australia and New Zealand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group recently published a trading update for the 26 weeks ended 29 December 2024, which showed that the group&#8217;s turnover and concession sales increased by 5.7% and 6.2%, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the strong performance of the group&#8217;s food business, the weaker-than-expected performance of its apparel businesses in South Africa and Australia will impact headline earnings, which are expected to drop 22% and 27%, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking with BusinessTech, Chantal Marx, Head of Investment Research at FNB Wealth and Investments, said that Woolworths&#8217; financial guidance was disappointing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marx added that the bottom-line guidance was tracking well behind full-year expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The top-line growth was better than expected, with the group benefitting from sales growth in its Food business. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, lower contributions from the apparel businesses in South Africa, Australia and New Zealand were disappointing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Looking ahead, consumer sentiment in South Africa is improving, supported by moderating inflation, interest rates easing, and the prolonged suspension of load shedding,&#8221; said Marx. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Offshore, improved consumer sentiment in Australia and the uplift in retail sector sales buoyed by Black Friday were key highlights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the sustained effect of high interest rates and elevated living costs continues to weigh on consumer behaviour and discretionary spending.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers from the trading update support Marx&#8217;s insights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Woolworths South Africa delivered turnover and concession sales growth of 9.1% for the 26 weeks ended 29 December 2024. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Food business saw turnover and concession sales growth of 11.4% and 7.3% on a comparable-store basis. Excluding the recently acquired Absolute Pets, food sales jumped by 9.0%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Online sales increased by 37.2%, with Woolies DASH, which saw sales growth of 49.2%, driving the overall increase. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fashion, Beauty and Home (FBH )turnover and concession sales increased by 2.5% and by 2.7% on a comparable-store basis over the period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, sales growth in the last eight weeks was constrained to 0.9% due to temporary delays in products amidst later supplier deliveries and systems changes at its distribution centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Beauty business was a bright spark, delivering growth of 17.3% over the period, with the group planning to further expand the business. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Amidst a restructuring, the Australian-based Country Road Group saw sales decline by 6.2% over the period and by 7.8% on a comparable-store basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-businesstech wp-block-embed-businesstech\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"J9RmeHNWHI\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/806446\/woolworths-next-big-move-for-south-africa\/\">Woolworths&#8217; next big move for South Africa<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Woolworths&#8217; next big move for South Africa&#8221; &#8212; BusinessTech\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/806446\/woolworths-next-big-move-for-south-africa\/embed\/#?secret=nNPZYmrKEY#?secret=J9RmeHNWHI\" data-secret=\"J9RmeHNWHI\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fairly priced<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The group noted that it has disposed of the David Jones Flagship Store property in Bourke Street, Melbourne, for AU$223.5 million. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group maintained control of the building after selling David Jones in early 2023 following an unsuccessful takeover of the Australian department store a decade prior. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marx said that the profit of the sale of the property is positive for earnings on a reported basis in the short term and will strengthen the balance sheet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at the fundamentals of the stock, Marx said that it looks neither cheap nor expensive. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, the loss of rental income will likely hurt earnings in the medium term. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the near- and medium-term challenges facing the group, the stock looks fairly valued on a forward PE of 14.1 times. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Chantal-Marx_Head-of-Investments-Research-at-FNB-Wealth-and-Investments_-1-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"684\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Chantal-Marx_Head-of-Investments-Research-at-FNB-Wealth-and-Investments_-1-684x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-809212\" style=\"width:428px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FNB Wealth and Investments Chantal Marx<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Although its Food business continues to perform well, Woolworths is being weighed down by its apparel businesses. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":717424,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[16400,949],"class_list":["post-811301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-fnb-wealth-and-investments","tag-woolworths"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/811301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=811301"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/811301\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":811321,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/811301\/revisions\/811321"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/717424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=811301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=811301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=811301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}