{"id":815199,"date":"2025-03-04T12:19:28","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T10:19:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=815199"},"modified":"2025-03-04T12:19:33","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T10:19:33","slug":"south-africa-dodges-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/815199\/south-africa-dodges-recession\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa dodges recession"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>South Africa has avoided a technical recession, with growth totalling 0.6% in the final quarter of 2024 following a contraction of 0.1% in Q3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Technical recessions are characterised by two straight quarters of negative growth. Despite avoiding a recession, South Africa only saw 0.6% GDP growth in 2024 compared with 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This figure is woefully low, and considering South Africa&#8217;s population grows at about 1.5% per year, it means that <strong>the population is getting poorer.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the whole calendar year, the finance industry was a notable bright spark, pushing GDP growth higher by 0.8 of a percentage point. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Electricity, gas &amp; water, personal services and mining also expanded over the year. On the other end, agriculture and trade were the largest drags on growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Q4, Stats SA said that growth was led by agriculture, finance and trade on the supply side of the economy, while household spending led growth on the demand side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agriculture had by far the most significant impact on GDP growth on the supply side of the economy. Following a sharp decline in Q3 2024, the industry rebounded by 17.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The finance, real estate, and business services industry grew for an eighth straight quarter, with financial intermediation, real estate activities, and other business services being the largest positive contributors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The trade industry expanded on the back of increased retail, wholesale and motor trade sales, reflecting positively on the demand side of the economy, with household consumption spending rising. .<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Seven industries performed poorly, with manufacturing and transport, storage &amp; communication the most significant negative contributors to growth,&#8221; said Stats SA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Manufacturing was mainly pulled lower by weaker production levels in the metals &amp; machinery and automotive divisions.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Transport, storage &amp; communication recorded a fourth consecutive quarter of decline. The industry witnessed a pullback in land transport and transport support services.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mining activity was also down due to lower production levels for manganese ore, iron ore, gold, chromium ore, nickel and copper. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-815201\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-1536x1152.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-2-2048x1536.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Stats SA added that the demand side of the economy, measured by expenditure on GDP, was mainly lifted by a rise in household consumption spending. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Households spent more on clothing &amp; footwear, food &amp; non-alcoholic beverages, recreation &amp; culture, and household goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The data suggest that consumers might have more breathing space than they did a year ago,&#8221; said Stats SA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In real terms, households spent 2.3% more in Q4 2024 compared with Q4 2023. The trade industry increased its size by 1.6% over the same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The economy witnessed a R16,4&nbsp;billion drawdown in inventories, in part due to the trade industry accelerating efforts to meet demand that exceeded supply.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Mining also drew from its stockpiles to address a rise in export demand while production lagged, contributing to the overall drawdown in inventories.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-1024x650.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-815206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-1024x650.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-1536x975.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/image-4-2048x1300.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Africa may have dodged a recssion, but the latest GDP figures mean that the population is getting poorer. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":798129,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11121],"tags":[1809],"class_list":["post-815199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-stats-sa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/815199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=815199"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/815199\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":815214,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/815199\/revisions\/815214"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/798129"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=815199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=815199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=815199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}