{"id":830402,"date":"2025-07-03T16:20:24","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:20:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=830402"},"modified":"2025-07-03T16:20:30","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:20:30","slug":"ratings-upgrade-for-african-bank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/830402\/ratings-upgrade-for-african-bank\/","title":{"rendered":"Ratings upgrade for African Bank"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>African Bank has welcomed the latest ratings upgrade from S&amp;P Global in South Africa, with the credit rating agency optimistic over the nation&#8217;s banking prospects. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P Global upgraded the bank&#8217;s long-term global scale issuer credit rating from B to B+, with a stable outlook. It affirmed the global scale rating of B.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although this still means that African Bank is in &#8220;junk&#8221; status, it is a move in the right direction. The bank was placed into curatorship by the Reserve Bank a decade ago following poor lending practices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis upgrade acknowledges the work we have put in over the last few years and gives us further confidence that we are on the right track,&#8221; said African Bank Group CEO Kennedy Bungane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;It reflects on our financial performance, capitalisation and improved asset quality while expanding our offerings to our customers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAs we mark 50 years, the new rating enhances our reputation and positions us strongly as we continue our journey towards becoming a listed institution.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P Global ratings analysis, which the primary analyst Adnan Osman led, said that the upgrade reflects the more supportive economic environment and strong capitalisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These partially compensate for the bank&#8217;s weak asset quality indicators. S&amp;P Global expects African Bank to continue to scale and diversify, especially in retail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We also expect the group to maintain strong capitalisation, despite robust asset growth,&#8221; said S&amp;P Global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Its weak asset quality indicators are underpinned by legacy loans, and we do not expect a significant inflow of nonperforming loans from the new production.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It anticipates that focusing on less risky lending segments, higher economic growth, and improved underwriting standards should support its risk profile through the credit cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It expects the bank to continue expanding its deposit base without significantly affecting its profitability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The stable outlook on the bank also reflects the expectation that strong capitalisation will continue to support its creditworthiness, while it continues to expand its business.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It also highlights the credit agency&#8217;s expectation that quality indicators will continue to gradually improve, supported by the enhanced quality of new production and improving economic prospects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It added that its upside scenario would see it raise its ratings in the next 12 to 24 months if the bank significantly improves its funding base by attracting lower-cost and stable funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It could also raise its ratings if the bank significantly strengthens its franchise organically and improves its profitability. Its net profit after tax increased by 15% to R202 million in the six months ended March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the downside scenario would see a lower rating in the next 12 to 24 months if the bank\u2019s capitalisation declines significantly, while its risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio drops below 10%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Better times for banks in South Africa<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-824441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/africanbank.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P Global believes that the South African banking system is now in an expansionary phase, but will remain cautious about credit growth and a moderate nominal increase in real estate prices over the next few years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It expects South Africa&#8217;s GDP to rise by 1.5% on average from 2025 to 2028 after a subdued 0.6% in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We expect investments in infrastructure, including logistics and renewable projects, will create lending opportunities for banks,&#8221; said the credit rating agency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We also anticipate household lending will increase at a measured pace, supported by the reduction in interest rates. Within this context, we expect credit growth to accelerate to 7%-8% in 2025.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It also believes lower interest rates and inflation will support household disposable income and the ability to repay debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The banking sector&#8217;s credit loss ratio should normalise, averaging 90 basis points in 2025, from about 100 basis points in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Non-performing loans are also expected to improve toward 4.5% of total loans at year-end 2025 from 5.1% in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We anticipate adequate returns on equity of 16% on average in 2025, supported by banks&#8217; diversified business models, stable share of noninterest income, lower provisions, and higher credit growth.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We expect banks to remain well-capitalised and start issuing first loss after capital instruments in 2026.&#8221; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>African Bank has received an upgrade its in its credit rating, with S&#038;P Global optmistic over South Africa&#8217;s banking sector. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":751346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[961],"tags":[4762,11765],"class_list":["post-830402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banking","tag-african-bank","tag-sp-global"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/830402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=830402"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/830402\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":830423,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/830402\/revisions\/830423"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/751346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=830402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=830402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=830402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}