{"id":836954,"date":"2025-09-05T13:41:47","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T11:41:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=836954"},"modified":"2025-09-05T13:49:26","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T11:49:26","slug":"nail-in-the-coffin-for-load-shedding-in-south-africa-with-load-reduction-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/836954\/nail-in-the-coffin-for-load-shedding-in-south-africa-with-load-reduction-next\/","title":{"rendered":"Nail in the coffin for load shedding in South Africa &#8211; with load reduction next"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Power utility Eskom expects no load shedding this summer, with its longer two-year plan to eliminate load reductions as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This comes off the back of a relatively uneventful winter 2025 period between 1 April and 31 August, where only 26 hours of load shedding, on four separate evenings, were implemented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The utility said this equated to a successful electricity supply 97% of the time, in line with its Winter Outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the successful winter period, Eskom\u2019s Summer Outlook for 1 September 2025 to 31 March 2026 forecasts no load shedding, it said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a recovery of the Summer 2024\/25 outlook, which saw 13 days of load shedding due to delayed unit returns from planned maintenance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Compared with the commencement of last summer of 2024\/25, supply and demand interventions at this comparative time have added ~4,000MW of extra capacity to meet expected demand this summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eskom said that the Summer Outlook is supported by &#8220;an ongoing recovery and structural improvements in Eskom\u2019s generation fleet&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding more nails to the coffin of load shedding in the summer period are several positive results the utility has racked up. These included:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A total of 7,800MW of capacity has been restored since 2023 through the completion of long-term outages and new builds, including 1,400MW from Medupi Unit 4 and Kusile Unit 6 added this year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Approximately 1,900MW reduction in peak planned maintenance this summer, following the completion of major planned outages during 2024 and early 2025, allowing for smoother execution.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Energy Availability Factor (EAF) has increased from 55% in FY2023 to 60.6% in FY2025, with the year-to-date EAF at 61.1%, reflecting a 6.1% improvement over the past two years. These figures exclude Kusile Unit 6, which is not yet in commercial operation but is contributing to the grid.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Diesel generator expenditure reduced from R33 billion in FY2024 ending 31 March 2024 to about R17 billion in FY2025, ending 31 March 2025.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The group noted that an additional 930MW of capacity is expected from Koeberg Unit 1 when it returns to service following Long-Term Operation maintenance in September 2025, which will also boost capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Load reduction in the cross hairs<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane-1024x576.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-692607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dan-Marokane.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Eskom CEO Dan Marokane<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Eskom said that it has successfully reduced unplanned outages from over 13,000MW entering into the winter period to just over 10,000MW in August, sometimes hitting as low as 7,000MW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EAF also reached 66% in August and has improved 10% yearly, with 38 units over 80%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diesel usage has also steadily declined, it said, falling from around 16.02% load factor in April to just 1.84% in August\u2014well below the allowable limit of 6% set by Nersa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this does not mean everything is clear and smooth at the utility. Its issues have moved from a national energy crisis to a more localised one, with load rotation becoming the norm for many.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Load reduction differs from load shedding in that it is not a scheduled national outage but a local response (on a community or district level) to overloaded systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It usually occurs in areas with many illegal connections, which overload infrastructure and force utilities to reduce demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The utility said that it aims to cut back instances of load reduction by up to 20% by March 2026, with the longer-term goal to eliminate the practice within two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this will be easier said than done, with a multilateral approach needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group said it will tackle electricity theft and remove over 600,000 illegal connections at the heart of many load reduction issues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will also take on the problems through the installation of 7.2 million smart meters, with around 880,000 already deployed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eskom said it will also face the wider challenges causing load reduction through network upgrades where necessary and by registering more households for free basic electricity, so households won&#8217;t need to set up illegal connections.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Power utility Eskom says it expects no load shedding this summer, with its longer two-year plan to eliminate load reductions as well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":833368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[1164,1165],"class_list":["post-836954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-eskom","tag-load-shedding"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/836954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=836954"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/836954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":836960,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/836954\/revisions\/836960"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/833368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=836954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=836954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=836954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}