{"id":837736,"date":"2025-09-17T11:10:13","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T09:10:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=837736"},"modified":"2025-09-17T11:11:37","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T09:11:37","slug":"inflation-surprise-for-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/government\/837736\/inflation-surprise-for-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation surprise for South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Inflation has ticked downwards in South Africa in August, surprising against market and economist expectations of a small lift.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual consumer price inflation dropped from 3.5% in July 2025 to 3.3% in August 2025.&nbsp;Softer food and fuel inflation took some heat off the headline rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market analysts and economists anticipated a small hike in inflation for the month, with consensus sitting around 3.6% to 3.7%. A drop in inflation came a surprise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CPI decreased by 0.1% month-on-month in August 2025, with four of the 13 categories seeing monthly declines.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual inflation for food &amp; non-alocholic beverages&nbsp;subsided to 5.2% from 5.7% in July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Several categories recorded lower rates, including cereal products; fish &amp; other seafood; milk, other dairy products &amp; eggs; fruits &amp; nuts; and vegetables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some staples are cheaper than a year ago, including hot cereals (-7.8%) and white rice (-7.2%). Bread and pasta products recorded zero or low price increases.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, other staple items are becoming far more expensive, including samp (+14.8%) and maize meal (+8.2%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Beef products continued to register high annual rates, even if the monthly price increase in August was the lowest since April.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Beef mince saw a 12-month change of 27.2% and a monthly rise of 0.2%. Stewing beef grew at an annual rate of 32.3% while its monthly change was 0.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Beef steak prices were 28.6% higher than a year ago, even if they were down by 1.2% between July and August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rise in beef prices follows an outbreak of foot and mouth disease at the country\u2019s largest feedlots, which put extreme pressure on supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the low monthly changes follow factory-gate inflation of -7.8% in July for beef carcasses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The price index for milk and other daily products and eggs declined by 1.1%, the lowest annual print since March 2011 when the rate was 1.4%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prices for fresh full-cream milk decreased by 2.9% between August 2024 and August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The annual rate for fuel was -5.7%, down from -5.5% recorded in July. Petrol prices decreased 28c per litre, resulting in a 1.3% monthly decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, diesel prices increased by 2.5% between July and August. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, beetroot prices saw the largest rise, climbing 71.4%, even if they declined between July and August.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Products recorded significant annual price decreases include potatoes, eggs, white rice, hot cereals and corned meat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Non-food and beverage items that registered sharp annual increases include books (+30.8%), movie tickets (+15.9%) and video games (+14.7%).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"643\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-1024x643.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-837740\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-1024x643.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-768x483.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-1536x965.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-49-2048x1287.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-1024x550.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-837738\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-1024x550.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-768x413.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-1536x825.png 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-47-2048x1100.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Interest rates <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest inflation is good news for interest rate cuts ahead of tomorrow&#8217;s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) meeting.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation has remained subdued since October 2024, with the latest figure sitting at the bottom end of the current 3% to 6% target range.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the MPC has pushed to lower its target anchor from 4.5%, the midpoint of the current range, to 3%, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana, who has the power to change the target, has not announced anything.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The MPC doesn\u2019t base its interest rate decisions on past inflation data, but <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/banking\/837564\/big-boost-for-interest-rate-cuts-in-south-africa\/\">inflation expectations <\/a>across analysts, business people and trade unions have also dropped.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists remain unsure if the six-person MPC will cut interest rates amid its desire to lower inflation to 3%, even if most signs would typically point to a cut. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Inflation has ticked downwards in South Africa in August, surprising against market and economist expectations of a small lift.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":829642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[3619,1809],"class_list":["post-837736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-government","tag-sarb","tag-stats-sa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/837736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=837736"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/837736\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":837752,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/837736\/revisions\/837752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/829642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=837736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=837736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=837736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}