{"id":839159,"date":"2025-10-06T17:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T15:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=839159"},"modified":"2025-10-06T17:03:05","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T15:03:05","slug":"south-africas-ticking-time-bomb-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business-opinion\/839159\/south-africas-ticking-time-bomb-3\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa&#8217;s ticking time bomb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>South Africa\u2019s concerningly high youth unemployment rate is a ticking time bomb that only economic growth can defuse.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is according to the Institute of Race Relations (IRR) CEO John Endres, who said the country\u2019s huge youth unemployment rate could threaten the country\u2019s social and political stability if not addressed urgently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Endres explained that South Africa\u2019s joblessness crisis is particularly alarming among the youth, where unemployment rates far exceed the national average.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAbout three-fifths of all unemployed people in South Africa are long-term unemployed,\u201d he said. \u201cThey\u2019ve been without a job for longer than a year, and the longer you\u2019ve been out of the job market, the harder it is to get back in.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He warned that this deep and sustained exclusion of young people from the economy cannot continue indefinitely without consequences.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a huge ticking time bomb, a huge problem. And there\u2019s no way to solve this except through fast economic growth,\u201d Endres said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Endres, almost every challenge facing South Africa\u2014from its fiscal deficit to its rising debt burden and social instability\u2014ultimately ties back to the same underlying issue, which is weak economic growth.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe answers keep coming back to that. Whether it\u2019s debt, the deficit, or unemployment; economic growth is the only way to fix it,\u201d he said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Endres argued that the policies currently being pursued by the government are actively working against this goal. \u201cYou have a tax on capital and a tax on meritocracy. The way we\u2019re going about it at the moment is not too clever,\u201d he said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He cautioned that if the current trajectory continues, the consequences could be severe. With so many young South Africans locked out of the economy, disillusionment and anger could grow to a point where social unrest becomes unavoidable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Drawing on global examples, Endres recalled hearing from Nobel Peace Prize winner Muhammad Yunus about how frustrated young people in Bangladesh helped topple their government.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He stressed that South Africa could face similar risks if its \u201csafety valves\u201d of democracy and free expression ever closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">An economy with huge potential<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-839167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Institute-of-Race-Relations-IRR-CEO-John-Endres.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>The Institute of Race Relations (IRR) CEO Joh<\/em>n Endres<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>For now, he believes that South Africa\u2019s open political environment still provides an outlet for discontent to be expressed through voting and activism, rather than violence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Endres added that this safety valve could disappear if the ruling party formed an alliance with more authoritarian forces.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cImagine an ANC, EFF, and MK coalition. If they got together and said, \u2018enough of this democratic nonsense,\u2019 and decided to close off that valve, then the risk of violence becomes far greater,\u201d he warned. Despite the risks, Endres remains cautiously optimistic about South Africans\u2019 resilience.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a slightly rebellious streak that runs through South Africans, and that\u2019s actually quite a good thing. People value their freedom and independence too much to easily give it up,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He pointed to the July 2021 unrest in KwaZulu-Natal as evidence of both the country\u2019s fragility and its strength.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThere was real violence, real looting, and people died. Yet, despite the state being almost absent for ten days, communities organised themselves and stood up to hold it back.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To Endres, the lesson is clear: South Africa\u2019s people have the determination and capacity to turn things around, but only if the economy begins to grow at a much faster pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis is an economy with huge potential. It just takes taking the brakes off, getting a few basics right, and it can fly,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He argued that fixing youth unemployment through strong growth would not only improve individual lives but also strengthen social cohesion and national unity.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIf you want South Africa to stick together as a country and you want race relations to improve, the way to do that is through economic growth,\u201d Endres said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhen people trade and work with others of all races and regions, that\u2019s how everyone\u2019s prosperity grows together.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The IRR CEO warns that the deep and sustained exclusion of young people from the economy cannot continue indefinitely without consequences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":821718,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[23603,9583,853],"class_list":["post-839159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-opinion","tag-biznews-investment-conference","tag-irr","tag-south-africa"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=839159"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":839179,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839159\/revisions\/839179"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/821718"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=839159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=839159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=839159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}