{"id":841282,"date":"2025-10-29T11:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T09:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=841282"},"modified":"2025-10-29T10:34:01","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T08:34:01","slug":"more-pain-for-braai-lovers-in-south-africa-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/lifestyle\/841282\/more-pain-for-braai-lovers-in-south-africa-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Bad news for anyone who likes to braai in South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Despite the overall cooling of food price inflation, certain categories like meat are still running hot, making it a costly affair to have a braai at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest Braai Index for October shows that price pressure on the basket has taken a bad turn for consumers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Braai Index, originally developed by Bloomberg, is compiled monthly using pricing data from the Pietermaritzburg Equity Justice and Dignity (PMBEJD) group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It tracks the prices of a selection of essential items typically used for a South African braai, offering a more focused view of inflation at the grill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The index includes meat (beef, wors, chicken portions), vegetables (spinach, carrots, tomatoes, potatoes, onions, green pepper) and others (samp, maize, curry powder, salt).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest Braai Index for October shows price pressure is back for braai lovers in South Africa, with both the month-on-month and annual indices up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prices increased 1.2% between Septemeber and October, driven mostly by above-CPI price hikes for vegetables and samp. This was countered by a steep drop in the price of onions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Year-on-year prices pushed 1.6% higher, driven by a 20% y\/y jump in the price of beef, after a 25% y\/y climb in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other meats like wors and chicken were also much higher year-on-year, though the index was partially balanced out by a 43% drop in the price of potatoes year-on-year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, the index shows a significant turn in inflation for the basket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Month-on-month basket price inflation had been easing since April, turning into disinflation from June. However, this trend started reversing in August and is now back in inflationary territory at +1.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual price inflation, meanwhile, is still cooling from the highs seen around the middle of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Year-on-year, basekt inflation has cooled to +1.6%, lower than +3.1% in September and further reduced from the +6.7% in August, +9.0% in July and the +8.9% in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This shows a slowing down in inflation for the braai basket y\/y, but inflation heating up again over the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"443\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25-1024x443.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-841285\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25-1024x443.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25-300x130.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25-768x333.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25-1536x665.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-Index-YTD-October-25.jpg 1861w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Month-on-month index change [<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+1.2%<\/mark><\/mark>]<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"901\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM-901x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-841284\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM-901x1024.jpg 901w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM-264x300.jpg 264w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM-768x873.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-MOM.jpg 918w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 901px) 100vw, 901px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Year-on-year index change [<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+1.6%<\/mark>]<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"897\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY-897x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-841283\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY-897x1024.jpg 897w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY-263x300.jpg 263w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY-768x877.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Braai-index-October-25-YOY.jpg 916w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 897px) 100vw, 897px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Inflation pressure easing<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It is evident from the index that meat prices are currently driving food inflation, even as headline inflation remains favourable and fairly stable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest inflation data from Stats SA (for September) recorded CPI at 3.4% y\/y, but the average over nine months is still 3.1% &#8211; close to the South African Reserve Bank&#8217;s preferred target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Investec Chief Economist Annabel Bishop, 2025&#8217;s average inflation so far shows a remarkable cooling from the pressure households have faced over the last five years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation averaged 4.4% in 2024, 5.9% in 2023 and 6.9% in 2022. The climb started in 2020, where inflation averaged 3.3%, moving up to 4.6% in 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bishop said that a standout point in the data for September, however, is that food price inflation was not a significant driver of CPI inflation for the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In September, food price inflation dropped to 4.4% y\/y from 5.2% y\/y in August, as prices fell by -0.4% m\/m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was a substantial drop driven by lower fruit (-0.7% m\/m), vegetables (-5.5% m\/m) and dairy prices (-0.4% m\/m).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Processed food prices fell by -0.9% m\/m, as the inflation rate lowered from 6.5% y\/y in August to 5.1% y\/y in September, indicating demand is still weak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Bishop acknowledged that meat price inflation remains elevated at 11.7% y\/y, up 0.5% m\/m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Citing the Agricultural Business Chamber, Bishop said that panic buying, rather than product shortages, is the main driver of higher meat prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was due to concerns over the outbreak of Foot and Mouth Disease at the country&#8217;s biggest feedlots earlier in the year. As the issue is being handled, slaughtering has resumed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking ahead, October&#8217;s data is expected to be muted, benefiting from lower fuel prices and a stronger rand\u2014despite higher international food prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The Bloomberg consensus sees the average for CPI inflation for this year at 3.4% y\/y, slightly higher than our 3.2% y\/y,&#8221; Bishop said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite the overall cooling of food price inflation, certain categories like meat are still running hot, making it a costly affair to have a braai at the moment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":841295,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9876],"tags":[19853,1850,21654],"class_list":["post-841282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lifestyle","tag-annabel-bishop","tag-bloomberg","tag-braai-index"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/841282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=841282"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/841282\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":841298,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/841282\/revisions\/841298"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/841295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=841282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=841282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=841282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}