{"id":848022,"date":"2026-01-16T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=848022"},"modified":"2026-01-16T11:13:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:13:08","slug":"here-is-the-expected-petrol-price-for-february-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/848022\/here-is-the-expected-petrol-price-for-february-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Here is the expected petrol price for February"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund (CEF) indicate that petrol and diesel users in South Africa are anticipating a significant price cut in February 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The data shows that both the rand-dollar exchange rate and the movement in global product prices, driven by global oil, are working in favour of motorists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The stronger rand in the new year has kept fuel recoveries positive, while oil prices have dropped significantly, bringing petrol prices into the positive as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol prices are now consistently showing a positive recovery of between 77 and 82 cents per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diesel prices, meanwhile, have just continued to shine, now showing an over-recovery of between 92 cents and R1.02 per litre for next month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are the projected levels at mid-month:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol 93:<\/strong>&nbsp;<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark>&nbsp;of 78 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Petrol 95:<\/strong>&nbsp;<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark>&nbsp;of 82 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale):<\/strong>&nbsp;<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark>&nbsp;of 93 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale):<\/strong>&nbsp;<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark>&nbsp;of 102 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Illuminating paraffin:&nbsp;<\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark>&nbsp;of 81 cents per litre<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The CEF does not present daily snapshot data for LP Gas, so it is not currently possible to give the expected price for December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily snapshots from the CEF are also not entirely predictive of the final fuel price adjustments, and the numbers may change by the end of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Department of Petroleum and Mineral Resources only announces the final price a few days before the implementation date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the data does give a strong indication of where prices are headed and reflects the current market trends for the first half of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"168\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.25.50-1024x168.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-848058\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.25.50-1024x168.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.25.50-300x49.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.25.50-768x126.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.25.50.png 1182w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rand dollar exchange<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The rand has remained on the front foot in 2026, trading stronger against the dollar at around R16.37\/$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the US, initial jobless claims unexpectedly declined in the week ended 9 January 2026, while both the New York Empire State manufacturing index and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index improved more than anticipated in January<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often responds to global factors, particularly US policies. It traded at 16.4050 against the dollar, unchanged from its previous closing level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday afternoon, Trump commented that the violence during Iran\u2019s crackdown on nationwide protests was subsiding, indicating that he was adopting a wait-and-see approach toward the crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US dollar showed slight strength against a basket of currencies, while gold prices retreated as Trump\u2019s more diplomatic tone lowered the demand for safe-haven assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>South Africa\u2019s local currency is expected to remain within a narrow range as traders continue to monitor the situation in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Higher trade outcomes, the precious metals rally, removal from the grey list, a sharp drop in the inflation target, and inflation itself over the past few years, the higher domestic economic outlook, and the credit rating upgrade all added to rand strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"337\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.32.17-1024x337.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-848059\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.32.17-1024x337.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.32.17-300x99.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.32.17-768x253.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.32.17.png 1172w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Global oil prices<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While oil prices have been on a downward trajectory, recent events have put pressure on global prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Geopolitical tensions in Venezuela, Iran, and the Black Sea have pushed oil prices to a three-month high, despite ongoing oversupply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Initially, Brent crude fell below $60 per barrel after the US ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, as expectations grew for a quick restoration of oil output.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, protests in Iran and US threats of intervention led to a 9% price increase, pushing oil above $66.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While potential regime change in Iran could eventually increase global oil supply, the immediate risk is of supply disruptions, particularly through the critical Strait of Hormuz, which handles nearly 20% of the world&#8217;s oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite recent price surges, crude remains within a narrow range due to rising global supplies that may outpace demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"367\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.43.50-1024x367.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-848066\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.43.50-1024x367.png 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.43.50-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.43.50-768x276.png 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Screenshot-2026-01-16-at-10.43.50.png 1176w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>This is how the price changes are expected to reflect at the pumps (Diesel prices reflect wholesale, pump prices will differ):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Inland<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">January Official<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">February Expected<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>93 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R20.64<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.86<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>95 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R20.75<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.93<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R18.41<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.48<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R18.52<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.50<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Illuminating Paraffin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R12.63<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R11.82<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Coastal<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">January Official<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">February Expected<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>93 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.85<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.07<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>95 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.92<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.58<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R16.65<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.76<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R16.74<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Illuminating Paraffin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R11.62<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R10.81<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund (CEF) shows that petrol and diesel users in South Africa are lining up for a big cut to pricing next month.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":714644,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[20133,2171],"class_list":["post-848022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-central-energy-fund-cef","tag-petrol-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=848022"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848022\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":848075,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848022\/revisions\/848075"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/714644"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=848022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=848022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=848022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}