{"id":851067,"date":"2026-02-16T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=851067"},"modified":"2026-02-16T12:44:17","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T10:44:17","slug":"here-is-the-expected-petrol-price-for-march-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/851067\/here-is-the-expected-petrol-price-for-march-7\/","title":{"rendered":"Here is the expected petrol price for March"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Mid-month data on fuel price recoveries show that it will be a close call for motorists in March, with petrol prices sitting on the cusp of an over- and under-recovery\u2014and it could go either way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After two consecutive months of fuel price cuts in January and February, March is lining up to be the first month of 2026 with recoveries in the red.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mid-month data from the Central Energy Fund (CEF) shows that both petrol and diesel price recoveries are negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol prices are showing an underrecovery of a couple of cents per litre, while diesel&#8217;s underrecovery is much steeper at about 46 cents per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the rand and global oil prices relatively stable, if these conditions continue through to the end of the month, drivers will be slightly worse off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, if oil prices are driven lower\u2014or the rand strengthens further\u2014then at least petrol users could be saving a few cents per litre come March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are the projected levels at mid-month:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol 93:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 1 cent per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Petrol 95:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 2 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale): <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 45 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale):<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase <\/mark>of 47 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Illuminating paraffin: <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 23 cents per litre<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The CEF does not provide daily snapshot data for LP Gas, so it is not currently possible to provide an expected price for December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily snapshots from the CEF are also not entirely predictive of the final fuel price adjustments, and the numbers may change by the end of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Department of Petroleum and Mineral Resources only announces the final price a few days before the implementation date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the data provides a strong indication of where prices are headed and reflects current market trends for the first half of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"164\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel-1024x164.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-851080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel-1024x164.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel-300x48.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel-768x123.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Mid-month-Feb-2026-Petrol-and-diesel.jpg 1361w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rand saving the day<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at the CEF&#8217;s data, the main drawback to fuel price recoveries is the shift in international petroleum product prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is largely driven by global oil prices, as South Africa imports already refined petroleum products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the rand&#8217;s strength against the dollar is acting as a significant buffer, pulling underrecoveries back by between 16 and 19 cents per litre, softening the blow from oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The global oil price has been trading generally higher than it has since the start of the year, largely driven by market risks around the United States and Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prices were below $58 a barrel at the beginning of the year as forecasters hunkered down for an expected supply glut in 2026 and beyond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, they shot up to over $70 a barrel as the United States executed its highly unpredictable brand of foreign policy, first abducting Venezuela&#8217;s president at the start of the year, and now getting mixed up in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US President Donald Trump\u00a0said\u00a0Friday that regime change would be the best outcome for Iran following massacres that left thousands of protesters in the country dead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US is ratcheting up pressure on Tehran ahead of the negotiations in Geneva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US-led talks to end the war in Ukraine are also scheduled to start in Geneva on Tuesday, though the prospects of a speedy end to the almost four-year-old conflict and the return of Russian barrels look slim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Bloomberg analysts, markets are in a wait-and-see mode. If US geopolitical tensions ease, oil prices could drop below $60 a barrel once again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should this happen in the near term, local fuel recoveries could swing back into the positive for March 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"703\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data-1024x703.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-851079\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data-1024x703.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data-768x527.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Oil-and-rand-mid-month-data.jpg 1340w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>This is how the price changes are expected to reflect at the pumps (Diesel prices reflect wholesale, pump prices will differ):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Inland<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>February Official<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>March Expected<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>93 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.99<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R20.00<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>95 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R20.10<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R20.12<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.91<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R18.36<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.95<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R18.42<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Illuminating Paraffin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R12.10<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R12.33<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Coastal<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>February Official<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>March Expected<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>93 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.20<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.21<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>95 Petrol<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.27<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R19.29<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.08<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.53<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale)<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.19<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R17.66<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Illuminating Paraffin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R11.08<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">R11.31<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mid-month data on fuel price recoveries show that it will be a close call for motorists in March, with petrol prices sitting on the cusp\u2014and it could go either way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":851081,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[8995,19909,18450,2171],"class_list":["post-851067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-cef","tag-diesel-price","tag-oil-price","tag-petrol-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=851067"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851067\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":851082,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851067\/revisions\/851082"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/851081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=851067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=851067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=851067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}