{"id":854509,"date":"2026-03-20T12:28:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T10:28:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=854509"},"modified":"2026-04-01T09:28:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T07:28:27","slug":"200-year-old-company-in-south-africa-shooting-the-lights-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/854509\/200-year-old-company-in-south-africa-shooting-the-lights-out\/","title":{"rendered":"200-year-old company in South Africa shooting the lights out"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Premier is expecting an over 20% rise in its earnings, with the group anticipating major efficiency gains following the opening of its Aeroton mega-bakery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a trading statement for the year ending 31 March 2026, Premier said it expects its basic earnings per share to increase by between 20% and 30%, to a range of 1,123 to 1,217 cents per share. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Headline earnings per share are also expected to increase by between 20% and 30% to a range between 1,131 and 1,226 cents per share. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group added that it expects mid-single-digit revenue growth for the year, notwithstanding deflation in global grain prices. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Recent crop estimates and global stock levels indicate ample grain availability, which is expected to result in continued subdued pricing in the near term,&#8221; the group founded in 1824 said. <br><br>&#8220;Volume growth has translated into a meaningful uplift in operational earnings, supported by improved efficiencies and consistent operational execution.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group added that it has sustained capital investment across its diverse asset base, with a focus on manufacturing excellence, people development, and supply chain optimisation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This capital investment led to continued tangible growth for the group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It added that the commissioning of the Aeroton mega-bakery represents a key milestone and is expected to further enhance operational efficiencies. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Aeroton mega-bakery should also drive economies of scale and improve the quality of Premier&#8217;s bread in the inland region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since November, the company has been on a general share repurchase agreement. The aim was to optimise the group&#8217;s capital structure ahead of the implementation of the RFG Transaction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group is looking to acquire its competitor, RFG, through a share-swap deal. The deal has received the <a href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/business\/849260\/200-year-old-south-african-food-giant-gets-the-green-light-to-buy-its-competitor\/\">Competition Tribunal&#8217;s go-ahead.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By March 2026, the group repurchased 1,811,992 shares for an aggregate consideration of circa R323 million. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group will release its results for the 2026 financial year on 17 June 2026. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><td><strong>Metric<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Reported FY2025 (cents)<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Expected Range FY2026 (cents)<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Expected Increase (%)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>Earnings per share (EPS)<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">936<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1 123 \u2013 1 217<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20% &#8211; 30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Headline earnings per share (HEPS)<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">943<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1 131 \u2013 1 226<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20% &#8211; 30%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Battle of the breads<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Premier is engaged in one of the most heated battles in South Africa &#8211; bread. The sector is facing intense competition, two decades after a bread cartel was uncovered. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The main milling and baking players are Premier (Blue Ribbon), RCL Foods (Sunbake), Pioneer Foods (Sasko), and Tiger Brands (Albany).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sean Culverwell, Investment Analyst at Anchor Capital, said that a major advantage for Premier is its vertical integration, as around 60% of its wheat flour is supplied internally from co-located mills.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This makes Premier the lowest-cost producer in the market and provides a natural hedge against the volatility in wheat pricing and supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The group owns 13 bakeries and invested heavily in highly automated \u201cmega-bakeries,&#8221; including a Pretoria facility, commissioned in 2023, and the Aeroton bakery, commissioned in 2025. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These bakeries can produce 8,000 loaves per hour compared to the traditional 5,000-6,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cHistorically, Premier\u2019s inland bakeries generated materially lower margins than coastal operations due to outdated technology,\u201d said Culverwell. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe commissioning of Pretoria and Aeroton marks a structural shift. Management expects several older inland bakeries to be mothballed, resulting in a sustained uplift in operating margins.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Premier\u2019s inland expansion is attractive, with Gauteng accounting for one-third of all bread consumption, and Blue Ribbon overtaking Sasko to become the number two player in the province.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Premier were able to lift Gauteng market share to the national average, Anchor Capital thinks inland volumes could increase 20% over the medium term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cPremier\u2019s exposure to the informal channel is another advantage, with roughly 75% of its bread volumes sold through this channel, supporting both mix and operating margins,\u201d said the expert.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"752\" height=\"492\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-850990\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-7.png 752w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-7-300x196.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Premier and Tiger Brands return on invested capital (Source: Anchor Capital)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Premier Foods is expecting a large rise in earnings, with further joy expected from its new mega-bakeries. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":840106,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9872],"tags":[23825],"class_list":["post-854509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-premier"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854509","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/95"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=854509"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854509\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":855575,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854509\/revisions\/855575"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/840106"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=854509"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=854509"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=854509"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}