{"id":863159,"date":"2026-06-09T15:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=863159"},"modified":"2026-06-09T15:38:34","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T13:38:34","slug":"r1-10-per-litre-joy-for-petrol-prices-in-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/863159\/r1-10-per-litre-joy-for-petrol-prices-in-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"R1.10 per litre petrol price joy for South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>South African motorists are looking at relief at the pumps of over R1 per litre in July, as the over-recovery in prices looks firmer and prospects for the rand and global oil brighten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Investec Chief Economist, Annabel Bishop, even with the National Treasury&#8217;s termination of its fuel levy relief, fuel prices are finally tilting in motorists&#8217; favour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This should ease rising inflation, she noted, while prospects of another interest rate cut next month should help strengthen the rand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;South Africa\u2019s Central Energy Fund over-recovery for petrol and diesel continues to show fuel price cuts in July, which will aid lower inflation,&#8221; Bishop said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the National Treasury adding taxes fully back into prices from July, the petrol over-recovery will be offset by R1.50 per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diesel&#8217;s over-recovery will be cut by R1.96 per litre. In both cases, however, the recoveries are still positive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even though this will result in a smaller cut at the pumps, Bishop said any cut will help with inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;A declining, as opposed to increasing, fuel price is positive for inflation, while a 25bp hike in the repo rate is expected for July, which will further support the domestic currency,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rand has been resilient against the US dollar, despite volatile conditions in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The local unit has been supported by a credit rating upgrade from ratings firm Fitch and better-than-expected Q1 2026 GDP numbers from Stats SA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are the recoveries at 9 June:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol 93:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark><\/mark> of R2.60 per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Petrol 95:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of R2.60 per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale): <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of R4.83 per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale):<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of R5.03 per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Illuminating paraffin: <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of R5.61 per litre<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The CEF does not provide daily snapshot data for LP Gas, so it is not currently possible to provide an expected price for the coming month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oil prices and the rand both supporting price cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-840916\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Oil-barrels.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The other side of the equation\u2014the global oil price\u2014is faring much better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Bianca Botes, Managing Director at Citadel Global, oil markets are experiencing downward pressure after Iran and Israel halted their attacks on each other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran and Israel agreed to halt strikes on each other following a flare-up that saw both countries launch waves of ballistic missiles. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>US President Donald Trump has talked up an interim agreement to end the war that began when the US and Israel started bombing Iran in February. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A ceasefire has been in place for about two months, but sporadic fighting among the US, Iran and Israel has continued, underscoring the risk of a return to full-scale war in the absence of a lasting peace deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Botes, this remains a volatile point, with markets on edge given the fragile backdrop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the ceasefire sent oil prices down to $93\/barrel and down about 3% from its earlier highs this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Combined with the rand stabilising around R16.45\/$, both sides of the fuel price equation are pushing over-recoveries, <strong>pointing to a R1.10 per litre cut coming next month<\/strong>, when factoring in the re-added taxes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The table below outlines how June fuel prices could be affected by the reintroduction of the full fuel levy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>July projections<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Recoveries<br>Week 1<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fuel tax added in June<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Projected change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Petrol 93<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R2.60<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R1.50)<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><strong>R1.10<\/strong><\/mark><\/strong><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Petrol 95<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R2.60<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R1.50)<\/mark><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><strong>R1.10<\/strong><\/mark><\/strong><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R4.83<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R1.96)<\/mark><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><strong>R2.87<\/strong><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R5.03<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R1.96)<\/mark><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><strong>R3.07<\/strong><\/mark><\/strong><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Note:<\/strong> <em>the above only considers the fuel levy being added back in July, as well as the current recovery data. It does not consider changes to the slate levy, which may also affect final pricing.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South African motorists are looking at relief at the pumps of over R1 per litre in July, as the over-recovery in prices looks firmer and prospects for the rand and global oil brighten.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":789805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[19853,24118,15907,4531,1498,3994],"class_list":["post-863159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-annabel-bishop","tag-bianca-botes","tag-citadel-global","tag-diesel","tag-investec","tag-petrol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/863159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=863159"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/863159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":863175,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/863159\/revisions\/863175"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/789805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=863159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=863159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=863159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}