{"id":867330,"date":"2026-07-24T10:03:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:03:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=867330"},"modified":"2026-07-24T10:13:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:13:02","slug":"r2-per-litre-petrol-price-pain-for-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/energy\/867330\/r2-per-litre-petrol-price-pain-for-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"R2 per litre petrol price pain for South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Global oil prices have once again hit $100 a barrel, sinking petrol price recoveries by R2 per litre this month, and pushing diesel recoveries deeper into the red.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Data from the Central Energy Fund for the end of the fourth week in July shows that the strong over-recoveries for petrol prices at the start of the month have all but disappeared.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After starting the month with an over-recovery of R2.50 per litre\u2014laying the foundation for a sizeable cut in prices for August\u2014this has now been reduced to around 40 cents per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While this still puts motorists in line for a cut at the pumps, it is nowhere near enough to reverse the R6-per-litre price gap from before the Iran war broke out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The story for diesel is more bleak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After beginning the month with an over-recovery of R3 per litre, price movements have completely flipped into an under-recovery, with the fuel now on track to be hiked by as much as R1.10 per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are the recoveries at the end of the week:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Petrol 93:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of 46 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Petrol 95:<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">decrease<\/mark> of 41 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.05% (wholesale): <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of R1.10 per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diesel 0.005% (wholesale):<\/strong> <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 89 cents per litre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Illuminating paraffin: <\/strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">increase<\/mark> of 84 cents per litre<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Month to date, recoveries have shrunk by R2 per litre for petrol and by more than R4 per litre for diesel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is how recoveries have shifted this month-to-date (MTD):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Fuel<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">July starting <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">over<\/mark><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(under) <\/mark>recovery<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Current <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">over<\/mark><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(under) <\/mark>recovery<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MTD Change<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Petrol 93<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R2.50<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R0.46<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R2.04)<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Petrol 95<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R2.50<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R0.41<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R2.09)<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.05%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R3.07<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R1.10)<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R4.17)<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diesel 0.005%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R3.51<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R0.89)<\/mark><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R4.40)<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Illuminating Paraffin<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">R3.43<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R0.84)<\/mark><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">(R4.27)<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The smaller cut in petrol and a likely hike in diesel will also slow or stem the recovery in prices toward pre-war levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As things stand, petrol prices are still R6 per litre higher than when the war began, with diesel prices more than R7 per litre higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At current recovery levels, the projected August changes would hardly make a dent in petrol, and would widen the gap for diesel to over R8 per litre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Post-Iran War price adjustments<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><div class=\"table-responsive\"><table class=\"table\" class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Month<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Petrol 95<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Diesel 0.005%<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>March<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R0.20<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R0.65<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>April<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R3.06<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R7.51<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>May<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R3.27<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R5.27<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>June<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R1.43<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">-R2.62<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>July<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">-R1.96<\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">-R3.59<\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Total difference<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>+R6.00<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>+R7.22<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>August (current recovery)<\/em><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><em>-R0.41<\/em><\/mark><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\"><em><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">+R0.89<\/mark><\/em><\/mark><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><em>Projected difference<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><em>+R5.59<\/em><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><em>+R8.11<\/em><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">War rages on<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-857644\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Trump-5.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The ill turn in fortunes can be attributed to the United States&#8217; ongoing war against Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Global oil markets were thrust into chaos and uncertainty when the United States launched attacks on Iran at the end of February 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sudden and unexpected onset of war in the Middle East caused global oil prices to rocket to $120 a barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The war shut down the Strait of Hormuz, a critical channel through which about 20% of the world\u2019s oil is transported.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The oil price shock hit energy prices hard, with fuel prices rising through to June. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding to open the Strait and negotiate a long-term peace agreement, markets turned, resulting in some relief in July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the ceasefire collapsed soon after, with the United States having restarted its attacks and the Strait once again shutting down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets had, until now, been hopeful that the US and Iran would work towards peace, with many analysts optimistically pencilling in prices being contained around $80 a barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$100 a barrel was seen as &#8220;unlikely&#8221;. However, prices hit that level after Houthi attacks on tankers in the Red Sea opened a new front in the Middle East conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump threatened to extend US strikes on Iran as negotiations between the two nations faltered and an end to the conflict remained elusive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global oil prices have once again hit $100 a barrel, sinking petrol price recoveries by R2 per litre this month, and pushing diesel recoveries deeper into the red.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":855633,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"posted","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"2080564652061168071","_sma_x_attempts":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9874],"tags":[9068,19909,2171],"class_list":["post-867330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy","tag-central-energy-fund","tag-diesel-price","tag-petrol-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=867330"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867330\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":867346,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867330\/revisions\/867346"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/855633"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=867330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=867330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=867330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}