{"id":881130,"date":"2026-10-26T17:06:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T15:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=881130"},"modified":"2026-10-26T16:49:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T14:49:34","slug":"dawie-roodts-reality-check-for-anyone-paying-tax-in-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/finance\/881130\/dawie-roodts-reality-check-for-anyone-paying-tax-in-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Dawie Roodt&#8217;s reality check for anyone paying tax in South Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>While higher taxes were not discussed during the recent Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), the tax burden on South Africa has still increased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the recent &#8220;mini-budget&#8221;, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana did not mention any new general taxes or changes to the current general tax and VAT regimes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only new tax mentioned was the new National Online Gambling Tax, which Godongwana said would be detailed in the 2027 budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the MTBPS is not typically focused on revenue or new tax measures, it is often used as an indicator for future changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This year&#8217;s speech did not indicate that the Treasury would need to implement new tax measures, but rather suggested that the government had higher-than-anticipated revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This overrun allowed the government to increase its expenditure for the remainder of the financial year by approximately R45.5 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the MTBPS did not indicate any new taxes for South Africa, Efficient Wealth Chief Economist Dawie Roodt said South Africans are still paying higher taxes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=56NEGXVWKvA\">Alec Hogg on Biznews<\/a>, Roodt said the increased government revenue came from a more aggressive South African Revenue Service (SARS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This means that, while taxes themselves have not increased, the amount of tax being collected from South Africans has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Tax rates are not going up, but the tax take is going up because of a stronger SARS,&#8221; Roodt said, also noting that higher commodity prices had given the government a windfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also raised concerns about what a higher tax take could mean for South Africa&#8217;s economy, which is already struggling to grow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;You are reducing the fiscal deficit not by spending less, but by taking more out of the economy,&#8221; he said. &#8220;In the process, you are increasing the tax burden on the economy.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2025, South Africa&#8217;s GDP growth was 1.1%, below that of many other emerging markets, with 2026 economic growth initially forecast at 1.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the MTBPS, the 2026 forecast was revised downward to 1.2% due to challenging global economic conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Roodt warned that South Africa&#8217;s economic growth could be lower than 1.2% for the year and could even fall below 1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The major concern is economic growth of around 1%, and I don&#8217;t even think we will see 1%,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">An aggressive SARS<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a  data-lightbox=\"post-image\" href=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-855474\" srcset=\"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Dawie-Roodt.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Economist Dawie Roodt<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Roodt highlighted that SARS had become more aggressive with its collections recently, leading to the service having higher-than-expected revenue for the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By the end of September 2026, SARS said it had collected R15.5 billion, or 1.6%, more than had been anticipated in South Africa&#8217;s February budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The revenue service attributed this increase to factors such as strong corporate tax and lower-than-estimated VAT refunds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Roodt warned that higher collections were not a sustainable method for growing tax income, with economic growth necessary to increase government revenue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SARS echoed Roodt&#8217;s sentiment that economic growth is important for increasing government revenue and said it is necessary for sustainable revenue expansion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The year-to-date outcome demonstrates the resilience of South Africa\u2019s revenue system,&#8221; the revenue service said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;However, as reflected in the Minister\u2019s speech, sustainable revenue growth ultimately depends on economic expansion, investment, job creation and broad-based compliance.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Roodt warned that the increased tax collection could be seen as a higher burden on South Africans, SARS said its increased revenue protected taxpayers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Every rand recovered through compliance interventions protects honest taxpayers and strengthens the fiscal framework,&#8221; SARS commissioner Johnstone Makhubu said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Compliance is one of the most effective tools available to safeguard the integrity of the tax and customs ecosystem.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the MTBPS, Godongwana said tax revenue is expected to increase by 6.1%, which Makhubu said was a challenge SARS would meet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The Minister has challenged all 14 500 SARS employees to make every effort to collect the resources needed to make South Africa work,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I am confident that Team SARS will answer the nation\u2019s call.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While the MTBPS did not indicate future tax increases, economist Dawie Roodt says South African taxpayers are still suffering.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":131,"featured_media":810442,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"posted","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"2114736571366740204","_sma_facebook_post_id":"191437357620492_2249923579161374","_sma_instagram_post_id":"18132059224822012","_sma_x_attempts":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11121],"tags":[1459,17448,25144,9194,3246],"class_list":["post-881130","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-dawie-roodt","tag-enoch-godongwana","tag-johnstone-makhubu","tag-mtbps","tag-sars"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881130","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/131"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=881130"}],"version-history":[{"count":30,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881130\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":881328,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881130\/revisions\/881328"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/810442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=881130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=881130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=881130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}