{"id":881997,"date":"2026-10-29T14:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/?p=881997"},"modified":"2026-10-29T13:35:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T11:35:36","slug":"business-talk-dr-frans-cronje-on-what-illicit-trade-means-for-south-africas-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/trending\/881997\/business-talk-dr-frans-cronje-on-what-illicit-trade-means-for-south-africas-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Business Talk \u2013 Dr Frans Cronje on what illicit trade means for South Africa\u2019s future"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In this Business Talk with Michael Avery interview, Dr Frans Cronje discusses how organized crime and illicit economic activity are exploiting weaknesses in the South African state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cronje is an Independent Political Analyst and Scenario Planner who runs the advisory firm Frans Cronje Private Clients.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He built up nearly two decades of experience working for Africa\u2019s oldest research and policy think-tank and established that organisation\u2019s risk advisory consultancy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cronje has analysed and reported on subjects including public opinion polling, education trends, growth forecasts, currency estimates, security risks, global trade wars, presidential elections, and much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has also authored three best-seller list books, and taught scenario-based strategy to the MBA program of a top South African business school.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The interview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In this Business Talk interview, Cronje discusses the implications of illicit trade on South Africa\u2019s future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He unpacks how parallel economies can erode the authority of the state across areas such as tax collection, organized crime, and border control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cronje then delves into the question of whether illicit trade is a symptom or a cause of state weakness, and discusses the long-term risks illicit trade poses, including threats to South Africa\u2019s sovereignty and national security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He covers the different types of illicit economies in South Africa, including political funding, tobacco, mining, and organized crime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cronje concludes the discussion by explaining how South Africa can fight back against illicit trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Watch the full interview with Frans Cronje, below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"CGCSA presents - Dr Frans Cronje on South Africa&#039;s R300 billion illicit economy\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/3wgZLIy8Ifg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr Frans Cronje discusses economic sovereignty and the impact of illicit trade on the South African economy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":881998,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"posted","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"2115777176360333548","_sma_facebook_post_id":"191437357620492_2253407878812944","_sma_instagram_post_id":"17900070753397640","_sma_x_attempts":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[8853,21863,26420],"class_list":["post-881997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trending","tag-cgcsa","tag-frans-cronje","tag-illicit-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881997","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=881997"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881997\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":881999,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/881997\/revisions\/881999"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/881998"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=881997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=881997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businesstech.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=881997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}