All grades of fuel likely cheaper in South Africa next month

Motorists can expect to pay less for fuel at the pumps next week, despite sudden rand weakness against the dollar in recent sessions.

Not even a steep bounce in both the rand/US dollar exchange rate and international oil prices could take the shine off the good news, the Automobile Association (AA) said in a statement on Tuesday (29 September).

The association was commenting on unaudited month-end fuel price data released by the Central Energy Fund.

Based on current data, petrol is set to drop by 24 cents for 93 unleaded and 33 cents for 95 unleaded, while diesel will be down by around 93 cents, and illuminating paraffin by 78 cents.

“The rand’s daily average dipped as low as R16.10 to the US dollar on 18 September, following a long downward trend which began in the first week of August.

“However, a steep jump to around R16.90 followed by a brief plateau and a further spike to nearly R17.20 caught watchers unawares, and there is rightly some concern about the rand’s short- to the medium-term trajectory,” said the AA.

The association said that the rand’s weakening profile was mirrored in strengthening international petroleum product prices.

“Almost in lockstep with the rand, diesel and petrol prices spiked, and then pulled back before starting a further climb. If this trend of a weakening rand and rising international fuel prices continues, it could be extremely negative for South African fuel users, and we will watch further changes with interest,” the AA said.

It noted that the trends since early August have been stronger for the rand and cheaper for oil.

“It is too early to tell whether the spikes in both were a blip or the start of a more sustained reversal, but motorists should continue to be wary given the ongoing instability in both local and global economies,” the AA said.

The table below outlines how the price changes would be reflected at the pumps:

Fuel (Inland) September Official October Expected
95 Petrol R15.16 R14.83
93 Petrol R14.89 R14.65
0.05% Diesel (wholesale) R13.27 R12.34
0.005% Diesel (wholesale) R13.31 R12.38
Illuminating Paraffin R7.16 R6.38

Read: Here is the expected petrol price for October

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All grades of fuel likely cheaper in South Africa next month