Alarm bells for middle-class and rich South Africans
The financial landscape for middle-class South Africans is increasingly precarious, with evidence showing that many salary earners are still on the edge of financial strain.
A recent analysis by Standard Bank highlights the extent of this crisis: nearly half of all salary earners are left with less than R1,000 or have negative balances by payday.
This troubling trend underscores the harsh reality that many South Africans, despite earning regular incomes, are struggling to make ends meet.
The Standard Bank data, which examined over 402,000 individuals receiving salaries on popular payment dates such as mid-month, the 25th, and month-end, paints a bleak picture of financial health in South Africa.
The day before payday, 21% of individuals had R1,000 or less in their accounts, and 28% were in the red or relying on overdraft facilities. This leaves only half of the sampled population with more than R1,000 in their accounts before payday.
Kabelo Makeke, Head of Personal and Private Banking at Standard Bank South Africa, acknowledges that these figures are discouraging.
However, he points to the potential for better financial management, saying that the situation also presents an opportunity for individuals to take proactive steps towards financial resilience.
According to Makeke, the growing challenge for South Africans lies in balancing income with lifestyle, particularly in an environment where rising living costs are eroding household incomes.
Emerging middle-income earners face the greatest difficulty, with the highest percentage of customers having less than R1,000 or being in overdraft before payday.
However, private banking clients are not immune to this financial pressure either, as even one in ten of these higher-income customers has a negative balance before payday.
Makeke suggests that the increased availability of overdraft facilities might be contributing to this trend, as it allows individuals to spend beyond their means, often masking the true state of their financial health.
This financial tightrope walk is compounded by skyrocketing living expenses, particularly in essential areas such as housing, utilities, and transportation.
For instance, utility costs have surged to astonishing levels over the past three decades.
A study by PowerOptimal found that since 1996, water tariffs have increased by 2,100%, while electricity prices have risen by 1,710%.
Both of these figures far exceed inflation, with water prices climbing nearly six times faster and electricity prices almost five times faster than inflation.
Such increases make it increasingly difficult for households to keep up with their monthly bills, let alone save for the future.
Housing costs have similarly skyrocketed.
In 1994, the average price of a home was R160,113. Adjusted for inflation, this price would be approximately R836,627 today.
However, the reality is far more daunting for prospective homebuyers.
According to the Oobarometer report for Q2 2024, the average house price has now reached R1,458,924, an increase of 811% from 1994, far outpacing inflation.
This sharp rise in property prices places significant strain on middle-class households, many of whom struggle to afford homeownership or find themselves in debt to do so.
The cost of transportation has also ballooned.
In 1994, the average price of a car was around R46,477, which, when adjusted for inflation, equates to about R242,852 in 2024.
However, data from WesBank shows that the average price of a new car in the first quarter of 2024 was R392,174, a 744% increase since 1994.
Like housing and utilities, the cost of transportation has risen far faster than inflation, adding further pressure to household budgets.
Data from the latest DebtBusters Debt Index shows the debt-to-income ratio for people taking home more than R20,000 per month (considered to be middle-class) is 127%.
The report further highlighted that home loans and vehicle asset finance (VAF) are major contributing factors to the current debt levels.
All of these factors—soaring utility costs, unaffordable housing, and the rising cost of vehicles—paint a picture of a middle class in financial trouble.
As incomes struggle to keep pace with the increasing cost of living, more and more South Africans are being forced to rely on overdrafts and credit just to get through the month.
While financial literacy and better money management strategies might offer some relief, the underlying issue remains that the cost of essential goods and services is rising far faster than wages, leaving many middle-class households trapped in a cycle of debt and financial insecurity.